Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb

Flaneur: probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (real life),Phoenician wine, deadlifts & dead languages. Greco-Levantine.Canaan. #RWRI

Katılım Eylül 2011
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb·
Dear enemies, detractors, libellers, university rats, genocide propagandists, ethnic cleansing & baby murder promoters, & label conscious Davos midwits, it also happens that #Antifragility is the most influential 21st C. concept.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb tweet mediaNassim Nicholas Taleb tweet media
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb

Dear enemies,The Black Swan is now the most influential (that is, discussed/mentioned) 21st C book. While almost all books have a half-life between 2 and 6 months, it does not appear to have a half-life. #Lindy [Same with other 4 books in the Incerto. Graph is US only]

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arka 🌐🗽🏙
@nntaleb a bit out of budget considering my geography,maestro. I'll still apply, considering i have been wanting to be a part of this since 2020.
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Rupert Pupkin
Rupert Pupkin@iheartdicknixon·
@nntaleb Woke up and this popped into my head
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
A central point is that Phoenician city states were not interested in war and domination via land control; with the exception of Carthage, they just wanted commerce.
Timothy Rollings@TimothyRollings

The more the modern world falls apart, the more I understand why the Phoenicians did better after the Bronze Age collapse than the Egyptians. They didn't cling to things "too big to fail," nor did they give up on imagining alternative options.

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Steve Sweeney
Steve Sweeney@SweeneySteve·
Today I$rael tried to kill me in a targeted airstrike in southern Lebanon as I was reporting on was the targeting of bridges and the forced displacement of 1 million people, an ethnic cleansing operation on a larger scale than the Nakba I have absolutely no doubt that this was deliberate. Despite claims there were no warnings ahead of the strike and no notifications sent to the Lebanese Army who allowed us to film As we have seen in Gaza they want to silence journalists who document and report their war crimes It is the western powers who provide political and military support for I$rael, arming it to the teeth to carry out genocide in Gaza and ethnic cleansing here in Lebanon. They are not simply complicit, but active participants and should be held accountable for their actions. But if I$rael thinks today’s strike will silence us and keep us out of the field they are very, very mistaken
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Howard Beckett
Howard Beckett@BeckettUnite·
The moment Irish 🇮🇪 journalist Steve Sweeney take cover from an Israeli 🇮🇱 missile in southern Lebanon 🇱🇧 Israel 🇮🇱 are doing it again Targeting journalists who report on 🇮🇱 war crime.
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Mike Morg🎄
Mike Morg🎄@MikeMorg55·
@nntaleb This is interesting… out of my budget now but hopefully there’s more in the future
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb retweetledi
Kegham Balian
Kegham Balian@kbalian90·
Lebanese cellist Mahdi Saheli playing Armenian composer Aram Khachaturian's Andantino in the ruins of southern Beirut.
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Pax
Pax@dottorpax·
La guerra tra Russia e Ucraina è ormai la più sanguinosa in Europa dal 1945. A livello globale, sulla base dell’approccio che @nntaleb e io abbiamo utilizzato per studiare la distribuzione delle vittime nelle guerre, e smentire la narrazione che ci vuole sempre più pacifici (i dati ci dicono che, a livello mondiale, tendiamo a mantenere il nostro livello di belligeranza nel tempo), ci collochiamo tra l'83esimo e il 94-esimo percentile, a seconda delle stime utilizzate. Le stime più plausibili convergono attorno ai ~600'000 morti complessivi (88esimo percentile), da entrambe le parti, tra miliari e civili, e si basano su report di diversi osservatori indipendenti (alcuni disponibili anche qui: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualtie…), e l'utilizzo di metodi robusti (non banalmente la media). Adottando criteri più restrittivi, quindi limitandoci solo a ciò che è strettamente verificabile e inevitabilmente parziale (anche solo per ritardo temporale), si può scendere a ~380'000 morti (e non che ci sia da brindare!). Includendo invece le stime più alte sulle perdite militari, si arriva a una stima mediana di ~800'000 morti. Poi c’è il numero spesso citato dai media di 1.5-1.8 milioni di “vittime”: ma qui dentro rientrano anche feriti, mutilati, invalidi; non sono “solo” i morti. Come sempre in tempo di guerra, resta fuori quasi tutto ciò che non si riesce a misurare, vale a dire le morti indirette per fame, mancanza di cure, sfollamento, deterioramento delle condizioni di vita. Questi numeri possono facilmente far salire di un ordine di grandezza le stime conservative. Una stima più sensata emergerà solo col tempo, ma resterà sempre una stima, sia perché è oggettivamente difficilissimo contare le vittime in modo preciso (per conflitti come la WW2 abbiamo forbici enormi), sia perché la storia la scrivono i vincitori. Restano i numeri spaventosi di un conflitto, che è solo uno tra i tanti a due passi da casa.
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Dyab Abou Jahjah
Dyab Abou Jahjah@Aboujahjah·
Yesterday, Israel targeted the home of Lebanese journalist Mohammed Sherri, killing him and his wife and injuring his grandchildren. Sherri was the head of political programs at Al Manar TV. While the channel is affiliated with Hezbollah, it remains a media outlet licensed under Lebanese law, and Sherri himself was a civilian. Under international law, this constitutes a crime. Predictably, there will be little to no outrage among many journalists. He was Arab, Muslim, and held views they oppose, apparently sufficient, in some eyes, to render his killing acceptable. #IsraeliCrimes #Lebanon
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American Desi Anonymous
American Desi Anonymous@AmrikanDesiAnon·
@nntaleb The reasoning doesn't work because it is support for the way Israel conducted it's Gaza War that is the minority position. Even you didn't support Israel in that.
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Albert Chancery
Albert Chancery@AlbertChancery·
@nntaleb Unfortunately attitudes like Bardem’s play in the hands of those who say that anti-zionism in the new antisemitism. Nostalgia for the days of nuance and intelligent debates
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