Nofel Daud
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Nofel Daud
@nofeldaud
Context. Is. Everything.
Lahore, Pakistan Katılım Mayıs 2013
933 Takip Edilen244 Takipçiler

@AmbMudassir Well done Ambassador @AmbMudassir sahib! And wishing you the best for your future endeavors!!
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Pakistan’s grid is doing something rare. Fossil has fallen from 66% to 44%. Nuclear is scaling. Solar is breaking out, wind is joining in & decentralised rooftop solar is scaling at an unprecedented pace. Meanwhile, hydro holds the system together as the generational shift begins.
For two decades, Pakistan’s power mix barely moved. Fossil sat around 60–70%, hydro carried ~30%, and everything else was marginal. Then the energy transition began, and it didn’t follow the usual script.
Nuclear moved first. From ~2% in 2000 to ~17% by 2025, it’s one of the few systems globally where nuclear share is clearly rising. That growth is deliberate, built, and running at high capacity, quietly strengthening the backbone of the grid.
Wind edged in gradually. But the real disruption came from solar. From effectively zero to ~8% in a short window, driven less by policy and more by economics. High tariffs, unreliable supply, and cheap panels triggered a massive surge in behind-the-meter installs.
That’s the key nuance. A large share of Pakistan’s solar boom sits off-grid and isn’t fully captured in official generation data. It makes the system look slower to change than it actually is, and makes building a clean dataset far more challenging than in most countries.
Two very different forces are now moving together. Nuclear is scaling from the top down, engineered and centralised. Solar is spreading from the bottom up, reactive and decentralised. They’re not competing. They’re stacking.
Hydro sits in the middle, doing what it has always done, balancing and stabilising the system. Fossil is still large and still necessary, but it’s no longer growing. From ~66% down to ~44%, it’s clearly losing ground.
Pakistan hasn’t followed a clean transition pathway. It’s been pushed into change by cost, constraints, and demand. The result isn’t one technology replacing another. It’s a system being reshaped from multiple directions at once.
Hydro anchors. Nuclear scales. Solar breaks out. Wind warms up. Fossil fills what’s left.
Not merely a transition. A system under pressure, starting to bend.

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* An arsenal would not technically be illegal under international law as Israel didn’t sign the NPT but in practice there’s a de facto ban on new nuclear states. Though of course India, Pakistan, North Korea defied that. But it would be illegal for the US to provide Israel with economic or military aid if Israel confirmed possessing nuclear weapons, because of Symington and Glenn Amendments of the Foreign Assistance Act which prohibit aid to a nuclear armed state unless they are under international safeguards.
But I do like to be called an expert
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara
Massive hypocrisy exposed. Expert Bianca Nobilo confirms the CIA knew Israel possessed illegal nuclear weapons since 1968. Washington actively covers up Israel's illegal weapons program to maintain their fake moral high ground on nonproliferation. Total corruption!
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