arcy

2.4K posts

arcy banner
arcy

arcy

@notaarcy

dead

Katılım Ocak 2013
987 Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler
wtf4uk
wtf4uk@wtf4uk·
🌸
wtf4uk tweet media
QME
15
0
59
1.3K
arcy
arcy@notaarcy·
@wtf4uk kotactb
Slovenščina
1
0
1
28
wtf4uk
wtf4uk@wtf4uk·
pet ur drun right now! /ᐠ > ˕ <マ ₊˚⊹♡
wtf4uk tweet media
English
3
0
23
529
arcy retweetledi
yeat
yeat@yeat1_·
ADL THE ALBUM.. 3.27.26… 💿
yeat tweet media
English
413
2.8K
21.3K
542.3K
j.mike ./
j.mike ./@miketwinks·
my dream number one ❀ ✿ ✾ aloha ❀ ✿ ✾
j.mike ./ tweet media
English
18
0
59
1.1K
rari
rari@0xwhrrari·
I gave my Claude bot $2,000 on Polymarket and one rule: "maximize profit" It lost for 2 weeks Then $2,000 → $15,240 No predictions, no labels, no "if this, then that" Just reinforcement learning - the bot writes its own rules Most bots use supervised learning Train on history, predict outcomes, hope it holds Mine doesn't predict anything It gets reward for profit and penalty for loss 47 features Price, volume, spread, volatility, sentiment, time to resolution Nobody told it what matters 7 actions Buy YES/NO at 5%, 15%, 30% or hold First 2 weeks - chaos 30-40 trades a day, bleeding money Then something shifted The bot learned to wait, trades dropped to 8-12 per day HOLD went from 30% to 62% It figured out timing on its own, 78% of trades happen in the last 6 hours before resolution It discovered Kelly sizing without knowing Kelly exists High confidence → big position. Low confidence → dust It stopped trading crypto entirely, moved to weather and geopolitics - where edges last longer Nobody programmed any of this Win rate: 64.7% Sharpe: 2.84 Max drawdown: -4.1% 1,680 trades, profit factor: 2.12 Weekly retraining every Sunday, if new policy has worse sharpe - auto rollback Runs on a Mac Mini M2 $47/month The bot doesn't know what's going to happen It just knows how to trade
self.dll@seelffff

x.com/i/article/2032…

English
31
10
138
26.2K
arcy
arcy@notaarcy·
@wtf4uk хохохо
Русский
0
0
0
36
wtf4uk
wtf4uk@wtf4uk·
happy woman’s day 𓍢ִ໋🌷͙֒✧˚ ༘ ⋆。˚♡
wtf4uk tweet mediawtf4uk tweet media
English
15
1
71
2K
arcy
arcy@notaarcy·
@pixnvm корова
Русский
0
0
1
15
pix
pix@pixnvm·
cow
pix tweet media
16
3
64
1K
Hanako
Hanako@hanakoxbt·
Jane Street rolls back your application if you can't spin up Monte Carlo in your head Most traders look at a $100 stock and place a bet. Jane Street interns look at the same stock and simulate everything. 500,000 paths. One pricing equation: ST = S0 × exp((r - σ²/2)T + σ√T × Z) Each path is a possible future. Average discounted payoff across all of them is the price. Converges to Black-Scholes within pennies. No opinions involved. Pure math. Now here's why Jane Street tests this on a whiteboard. They hand you a marker and expect this from memory: d1 = (ln(S/K) + (r + σ²/2)T) / (σ√T) d2 = d1 - σ√T Drift μ vanishes completely from the equation. Option price doesn't care where you think the stock goes. Risk-neutral pricing broke everyone's intuition and Jane Street checks if you understand why. The superday filters hard and fast: > Zetamac below 50 means instant rejection. > Unsolvable problems test your iteration with hints. > Mock trading exposes your runtime under real pressure. > Five rounds. No breaks. No second attempts. Two thirds of their interns came from CS. One third from pure mathematics. Finance degrees almost never survive the screening. The result for those who do: $300K to $500K starting. $1.4M company average. $30M ceiling for star traders. The edge isn't knowing the formula. It's deriving it under pressure while five people watch.
Hanako tweet mediaHanako tweet media
gemchanger@gemchange_ltd

x.com/i/article/2028…

English
80
264
3.3K
599.2K
arcy retweetledi
Rei on base
Rei on base@rei_on_base·
building Rei. AI assistant in your messenger for tasks, notes and daily thinking. not "optimize your time by 69%". more like letting your brain finally stop boiling over. applying to @base batches. demo soon. @base @jessepollak
English
19
6
43
863
arcy retweetledi
Succinct
Succinct@SuccinctLabs·
Next week, we Prove What's Real.
English
87
43
279
15.4K
arcy
arcy@notaarcy·
@wtf4uk изи
Русский
1
0
1
87
Ethereum Maxis
Ethereum Maxis@Ethereum_Maxis·
Airdrop famrers are not community members, they are extractive parasites that deserve to have their socials and wallets blacklisted by every serious project. I have compiled a blacklist of farmers and popular farmer accounts + wallets. DM me if you are a project and want access.
English
68
2
91
23.1K
pix
pix@pixnvm·
pix tweet media
ZXX
15
3
79
1K