austinorwtv

does everyone in the sport of tennis have a mental deficiency? how are yall up 4-1 and can’t finish a set this shit ridiculous 😭

@its_david_kuo curry is really being the most passive player ever today, unfortunate man

🚨 Daily NBA Injury Reaction — Fri 4/10 Full-slate breakdown of injury-driven role shifts → focusing on archetype redistribution, not picks. 1. CLE @ ATL Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER James Harden (CLE) Points + Assists OVER Evan Mobley (CLE) Rebounds + Points Mitchell + Allen OUT → Harden becomes sole Primary Ball Handler. Mobley absorbs full interior role. Cleanest dual archetype consolidation on slate. 2. DET @ CHA Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER LaMelo Ball (CHA) Points + Assists OVER Cade Cunningham (DET) Points + Assists Full health → pure star usage environments. No redistribution noise. Clean PBH vs PBH usage. 3. MIA @ WAS Status: MONITORING (Davion Mitchell) Scenario A (Mitchell IN): UNDER Kasparas Jakučionis (MIA) Assists Scenario B (Mitchell OUT): OVER Kasparas Jakučionis (MIA) Points + Assists Guard room already depleted → Jakučionis becomes full creator ONLY if Mitchell sits. 4. NOP @ BOS Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER Jaylen Brown (BOS) Points OVER Payton Pritchard (BOS) Points / 3PM Tatum OUT → Brown absorbs primary wing scoring. Pritchard absorbs off-ball perimeter volume. 5. PHI @ IND Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER Tyrese Maxey (PHI) Points + Assists OVER Paul George (PHI) Points IND fully depleted → defensive collapse. Maxey = PBH vs broken rotation. George = clean wing scoring. 6. TOR @ NYK Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER Jalen Brunson (NYK) Points + Assists OVER Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK) Points + Rebounds Robinson OUT → KAT owns interior. Brunson attacks weakened TOR guard defense. 7. BKN @ MIL Status: SKIP Both teams tanking + Giannis OUT → no stable archetype edge. 8. DAL @ SAS Status: MONITORING (Wembanyama) Scenario A (Wemby IN): UNDER De’Aaron Fox (SAS) Assists Scenario B (Wemby OUT): OVER De’Aaron Fox (SAS) Points + Assists OVER Dylan Harper (SAS) Points Wemby OUT → Fox + Harper absorb full creation + scoring hierarchy. 9. ORL @ CHI Status: READY FOR BETTING OVER Paolo Banchero (ORL) Points + Rebounds OVER Franz Wagner (ORL) Points CHI depleted → Banchero dominates interior, Wagner benefits from clean perimeter looks. 10. OKC @ DEN Status: MONITORING (DEN starters) Scenario B (Jokic OUT): OVER Jonas Valanciunas (DEN) Points + Rebounds OVER Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN) Points / 3PM Jokic OUT → Valanciunas = direct interior replacement. Hardaway absorbs perimeter volume. ⚠️ OKC resting entire core → high volatility game. 11. MEM @ UTA Status: SKIP Both teams tanking + extreme roster depletion → no reliable edge. 12. MIN @ HOU Status: MONITORING (Anthony Edwards) Scenario A (Edwards IN): UNDER Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) Points / 3PM UNDER Jaden McDaniels (MIN) Points Scenario B (Edwards OUT): OVER Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) Points + 3PM OVER Jaden McDaniels (MIN) Points Edwards drives ALL wing usage → binary redistribution to DiVincenzo + McDaniels. 13. GSW @ SAC Status: MONITORING Scenario A (Curry IN): OVER Stephen Curry (GSW) Points + 3PM Scenario B (Porzingis OUT): OVER Draymond Green (GSW) Rebounds + Assists SAC fully gutted → Curry clean scoring environment. Porzingis OUT → Draymond absorbs interior + facilitation. 14. LAC @ POR Status: MONITORING (Shaedon Sharpe) Scenario A (Sharpe IN): UNDER Scoot Henderson (POR) Points UNDER Deni Avdija (POR) Points Scenario B (Sharpe OUT): OVER Scoot Henderson (POR) Points + Assists OVER Deni Avdija (POR) Points Sharpe dictates wing usage → Henderson/Avdija either compress or expand. 15. PHX @ LAL Status: MONITORING (Jalen Green) Scenario A (Green IN): OVER Jalen Green (PHX) Points Scenario B (Green OUT): OVER Grayson Allen (PHX) Points / 3PM OVER Dillon Brooks (PHX) Points Booker already OUT → Green = primary scorer. If also OUT → Allen/Brooks absorb. 🎯 TOP EDGE SUMMARY OVER James Harden (CLE) PRA OVER Jaylen Brown (BOS) Points OVER Kasparas Jakučionis (MIA) PRA (if Mitchell OUT) OVER Paolo Banchero (ORL) P+R OVER Evan Mobley (CLE) P+R OVER Scoot Henderson (POR) PRA (if Sharpe OUT) #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter #GamblingCommunity #NBA #PlayerProps PS - Get more EV plays, Arbs, Mids, Parlay slip suggestions from DMP iOS app. dumbmoneypicks.ai/app

@wagsischasing did this teach you not to fade him or you still doing it next tourney?😭 not trolling genuinely curious if this changed ur mind at all

“Valentin Vacherot is a Masters 1000 semifinalist once again.”

@maxgreer21 @wagsischasing nah i think the people wanting him to lose are a little worse for the sport gang

@wagsischasing So bad for the sport

@its_david_kuo @Gambler77Goated doing the lords work 🙏

@Gambler77Goated Miller's 18.2 L5, but DET is one of the toughest wing matchups in the league — 6.7th percentile range. Recent SFs averaged 11 vs them. He needs efficiency + the game to stay close.

Late Night NBA 🚀💎 1u- Brandon Miller Over 19.5 Points (-104 DK) -Charlotte still fighting for seeing and playin lives. Every game is important down the stretch. Should avoid the Ausar matchup. Hell be on melo. Leaves Cade or Duncan on him likely. He can cook. -Should get 1 on 1 coverage. Had 24 vs them in their last game. Similar players have faired well here with over 2.0 bump in this spot. Pistons rank 27th to forwards on the year. He is over in 12/14 with 28+ mins and playing bottom 15 forward defending team. @propsmadness 💻📲

@wincapital_ sheesh now i can’t hate on dat good value

@notevenanacount Sharps got him -139 live bet

If you bet Joao Fonseca, please sincerely delete your Sportsbook.

@Money_On_Tennis i have no clue about the sport yet you’re confident in a guy who got pushed by cristian garin and zizou bergs? lol you got so mad for what? hope he loses just for you after this LMFAO butthurt ass twitter user

You're a simpleton that's never played the sport. STFU. Stop entering into domains you have no f*cking clue about & putting my followers off my picks. It's like me going into a political domain & saying; "who needs America when you have weapons of mass destruction". Can't stand you Gen Z mainstream, consumer fed, popular culture clowns. Literal NPC consumer lemmings. WORST person to have around me as someone that operates on truth and having an edge. Piss off!!

Zverev ML (vs Fonseca) It's done, it's over. STFU I make my picks. I make my decisions. Not the media. Not South American fanboys. Fk you🖕 I am the #ReaderOfTheGame when it comes to tennis Backhand to backhand cross-court vs Zverev? Come back to me when ur boy has a backhand

@its_david_kuo 100% thank you, n yeah that app definitely gives more insight than some of the others i use it’s been really helpful so far! i get what you mean about only stuff humans would catch because the games today most teams wont be taking seriously and apps probably dont factor that in

@notevenanacount Really glad we can help! Our predictions unfortunately cant be 100 percent accurate but we try to at least give you all the explanations so you can learn to be a better bettor overtime.

You can profit without picking a winner. It's called arbitrage. Coby White assists tonight. Polymarket: Over 2.5 (+243) FanDuel: Under 2.5 (+128) Bet both sides. $100 in. $136.96 out. Over or under, you collect. +36.96% profit. Guaranteed. #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter #GamblingCommunity

@its_david_kuo definitely useful information thank you a lot! gon try to get the hang of that and def join that server because i followed sum of your picks from the tweet about injuries before matches started and they were on point🤝

And doing expected value means you need to stick to a unit like 1 percent of bankroll or even literally betting $1 hands for many (hundreds) to really see the edge. 3-5% edge is realistic once you make enough bets. Betting that volume is probably the biggest surprise/challenge to most people.

@its_david_kuo it was a lot better using it with the NBA side since i know the sport better, I wasn’t sure how much that would matter but it seemed to for MLB because only one read i looked at hit from the MLB side😭 probably need to just it for the stuff i know huh?

How did you choose them? Did you go to recommended bets page? Did you read the ai insights? Even on recommended page ai insights could tell you to pass because of game context. Using the app or any tool does not mean you’ll suddenly win more today. Losing 2 bets in the same day is completely within variance. You’re welcome to come to always free discord and ask anyone for ideas or dm me for more help. We are completely free for everyone and have thorough sports betting education on our site as well.

@its_david_kuo yeah i used the insights for hart and RJ they said take for those only one that was “on watch” was springs, RJ was a bad beat jus by .5 so the read was there just unlucky but brunson and springs weren’t close. wish it had tennis that’s my main sport but that has a LOT of variance

@trexportrait @tennisarchives_ what world do you live in where rat is a racial slur? lol

@tennisarchives_ hey so calling someone a slur because they like steffi graf is actually not okay! it’s racist! hope that helps!

the type of men i attract are RATS 🐀 😷

@its_david_kuo genuine question how do you determine which props on there are more likely bait or just not actually good or is it more so for just finding value lines?i tried using it for some of today’s games instead of my other research app and missed like everything 😭💀 2 weren’t even close

@notevenanacount Yea I actually have that data but my fault for not pulling it in. So I am going to merge injury and bet resolution policy to show better arbitrage opportunities.

@cmay13x @wagsischasing 🎯

@wagsischasing Probably better to just take the over right

ATP 🎾 Alexander Zverev ML (2%) Sure Joao Fonseca will have a mighty crowd behind him and that he’s overall a very talented player, but this match needs to be priced wider. It’s way too short. Despite the flashes of how great Fonseca can be, he lacks maturity. He’s 19 years old and is still developing overall. Fonseca is a very aggressive player, but lacks control at times. That’s an aspect of his game that needs work. It’s his consistency. If he’s on, he’s unplayable, but if he’s off, he’ll pile up the unforced errors and begin spiraling. Zverev is a Top 3 player. He’s experienced and is quite literally the definition of baseline consistency. He’s not a guy that racks up a lot of unforced errors and is usually good at playing to his opponents pace. A large part of this short pricing is the Garin match, but he rebounded really well against Bergs. The serve is strong part of Zverev’s game. He’s usually pounding the first serve over 70% of the time and Fonseca isn’t the greatest returner and will struggle on return if Zverev is effectively landing the serve. Regardless, it all comes down to baseline consistency. Zverev has been more aggressive this year with his attack, especially wanting to establish more of an offensive game. Zverev’s ability to control pace and remain consistent from the baseline, can be a problem for Fonseca if he’s not finding the court. Fonseca upped his level and played very good tennis against Sinner, but he was also priced very wide and priced accordingly. This is a different scenario. He’s priced extremely short. The market is giving him too much appreciation. If Fonseca ups his aggressive nature and if he’s finding the court, Zverev will start playing passive, especially during big points. That’s how Fonseca wins this match. If he can’t remain consistent, he’ll get worn down by Zverev. Zverev is a must play in my opinion at this price. It’s too short. Zverev is too good of a player and is experienced in these matches to fade here. With his strong baseline play, combined with a more aggressive attack this year, I like him at these odds to win.

@wagsischasing this is a different level of coping LOL

“Um Hubi, you weren’t supposed to win that first set, but we know that you can’t help that Vacherot is shit. Valentin is going to take a fake medical timeout here so we can organize a plan. Lose 12 of the next 20 games and the money is all yours.”

@kreptspix @wagsischasing game over brudda, adm not a strong server even after his impressive serving here and vacherot been playing out his mind wit home support should be 2 close sets or a back and forth

@wagsischasing What’s the play for this one king

Next man up…

@angvecc13 @wagsischasing jus take his game spread or him for a set if you aren’t confident in a win, his serve even on clay should be enough to keep him in these sets if his mental doesn’t get in the way

@wagsischasing W that being said, I agree Jiri should be tired and I’m gonna trust that you’re right. And Bublik should take advantage

ATP 🎾 Alexander Bublik ML (+112) (2%) There’s no better spot to back Bublik than right here against Jiri Lehecka. While Lehecka has been playing very solid tennis, he’s approaching 6 hours on court with back-to-back 3 setters already at Monte Carlo, while also coming off 6 matches a week ago in Miami. Lehecka has played lots of tennis and despite the victories so far at MC, he’s won very sluggishly. Grabbing Bublik as a dawg in this spot is pretty solid value. Bublik is coming off a MONSTROUS 2025 clay season which ultimately turned out to be his best performing surface. When you watch Bublik play on clay, it just fits his pace. His ability to significantly strike the ball off the slow bounce is just devastating for defenders. Bublik is the more fresh player and given his current success on this surface, this ultimately feels like a must hammer at this price.

@DiogoSI24 @angvecc13 @wagsischasing no way you think zverev is safe after what he did yesterday LMAO bergs looking clean i would not bet zverev there😭 at least not at that value

@angvecc13 @wagsischasing Just go with Casper Ruud and Zverev. It's too much of a risk to bet in any of those 2