Not into Finance
33 posts
@notintofinance
Official account for Not Into Finance | Riset Institusi x Bahasa Ritel 🧙♂️ | Join our community below!
3 event indeks global yang perlu dipantau investor dalam waktu dekat : FTSE Country Review (7 April) MSCI Index Review (12 Mei) FTSE Index Review (22 Mei). Masing-masing bisa pengaruhi aliran dana asing dan pergerakan IHSG secara langsung. Simak penjelasan kita 👇🏻
Udah nonton podcast radit yg bareng sm owner HMNS? Wah keren parah sih! Background geologi itb, freshgrad diterima di pertambangan gaji 2 digit, ditolak, pilih Magang sbg copywriter gaji 350 rb di perusahaan sepatu, Karena perform, setahun magang ditawari jd ceo sister company tmpt magangnya, mulai bertugas ceo pas company terlilit hutang, 1 th jd ceo omzet naik 100x😃 Setelahnya cabut krn negosiasi untuk ia bs ikut punya share ga berhasil. Tabungan 10 juta, bikin marketing agency. Tp krn ia merasa kurang puas ketika ide marketingnya tidak well executed ketika tdk ia jalankan sendiri, akhirnya dia bikin produk sendiri sbg pembuktian ide-ide marketingnya bs works! Jadilah parfum HMNS yang bau-baunya membersamai memori kita itu😅 Yup! Dia-lah bos parfum HMNS yg populer itu. Yg aku pelajari : curiosity, daya tahan, dan totalitasnya memang luar biasa!
Saya ada rumus cara ngitung data NFP dengan 90% probabilitas😁
Some of my wealthiest friends and relatives don’t follow markets at all. No charts, no thesis, no screener. But they own BBCA. And their strategy is almost embarrassingly simple: if it drops more than 10% from their average, they buy more. That’s it. No stop loss, no scenario analysis, no ikut ikutan kelas. And honestly? For them, it works. Because BBCA is a small slice of a much larger picture. Their real wealth sits in property, business equity, private credit. The stock portfolio is almost recreational. So the psychological math is completely different. A 30% drawdown on something that represents 3% of your capital is not the same animal as a 30% drawdown on something that represents 60% of your liquid savings. Position sizing changes everything about what the right behavior is. The “jangan cut loss, company bagus akan balik” logic is not universally wrong. It’s wrong when the position is too big relative to your total capital and your ability to stay solvent, patient, and rational while it bleeds. For someone with deep pockets and a 5% stock allocation, averaging down on BBCA is a completely reasonable strategy. For someone with 80% of their savings in one or two names, the same behavior is a slow liquidation of their financial future. And this is one of the most common mistakes traders and investors make. They watch a conglomerate, a family office, or a big institution hold through a 40% drawdown without flinching, and they think “okay, that’s the move.” What they don’t see is that the conglomerate is only deploying 1 to 2% of their total capital into listed equities. The rest is in operating businesses, hard assets, and private structures that don’t mark to market daily. They’re not being brave. They’re just playing with money that genuinely doesn’t hurt if it disappears. Copying the behavior without copying the balance sheet is one of the most expensive mistakes in investing. You’re mimicking the surface. Not the structure. (example : orang X liat #NETV diakum di 120-150 lalu junam ke 70) This is why copying the behavior of wealthy investors without copying their balance sheet construction is dangerous. You see the action. You don’t see the context that makes the action safe. The real lesson here isn’t “cut loss always” or “hold always.” It’s: know what role each position plays in your total picture, then decide the rules accordingly. Most people skip that step entirely. They just react. Mereka yang tajir tadi bukan gak ngerti risk. Mereka ngerti banget. They’ve just structured their life so that one position going wrong doesn’t change anything. That’s the actual edge. Bukan strategi-nya. The architecture underneath it.
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