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ns_human
3.7K posts
ns_human
@ns_human
Trader with engineering background.
Katılım Eylül 2021
882 Takip Edilen962 Takipçiler
ns_human retweetledi
Define a signal, test whether it's predictive for what you want it to capture, and if it is, accept the weight of the risk that comes with trading it. No tricks, no layering on filters to make the equity curve look smoother in a backtest, no pretending you can isolate the good trades from the bad ones. You can't scam the market out of giving you return without taking risk.
The people who struggle are the ones treating risk as a bug to be fixed rather than the price of admission. They keep adding complexity trying to get the return without the pain, and they end up either curve-fitting or shifting the risk somewhere they can't see it until it blows up.
You're getting paid to be uncomfortable. That's the deal, right? You better get comfy with being uncomfy.
Ｋｒｅｕｇｅｒ@Highsenberg_7
@0xaporia The problem is on what basis you have the highest probability you're on a trend or mean revert
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It was literally called PUMP and you sold at the bottom.
ns_human@ns_human
I can imagine later this year people posting "It was literally called PUMP and you sold at the bottom".
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@_juanmanarmy @TraderMotif three bean curry sounds like some fucked up Pornhub browser tab name
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@ns_human @TraderMotif LOL beans and legumes in general are DELICIOUS! Have you tried 3 bean curry? Fantastic!
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I never fight the weekly trend. When structure breaks and other things line up such as oscillators and key contextual levels, I go with until invalidated.
Don’t fight it.
Motif@TraderMotif
Contextually, this is the worst weekly close we’ve had since the FTX dump
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ns_human retweetledi
@Dcpcooks T is your largest asset, not P
The longer you can survive (TIME), the more Profit you will make.
Lose it once and you are done, or at the very least left with less Time to try to rebuild it
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Good thread on integrating your psychology. I was talking to some traders in DMs about this, and everyone is struggling to some extent.
Me personally, I managed to close most months in 2025 non-negative, but some of them came at a high mental cost. Funny thing is I could tell most times that it's going to be a grind ahead, and it's possible to lay back or focus on research with minimal exposure.
We live and we learn.
The Goose@CryptoGoo5e
Discovering Your Own Mental Framework (For Traders) This is a topic I have been thinking about for a while and finally found the words to string something together. There are hundreds (maybe more) of different trading setups, situations, and patterns to become a profitable trader. But I think it is foolhardy to believe you can become a master of them all.
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I think this calls for the classic scene:
youtu.be/LtFyP0qy9XU?si…
YouTube
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas
I hear often. “There are no more Bitcoin cycles”. Reality is, we’re always in cycles. We just can’t help ourselves. We pump until it burst, because we just want more. Then we start again. Only difference is how much shrapnel you avoid and how quickly you reset.
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ns_human retweetledi
Somewhere, Satoshi Nakamoto breaths a sigh of relief that the FED chairman might cut rates.
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ns_human retweetledi
why wing doors? why can this just have normal doors for much cheaper and easier access to the car
it will raise unit price and ride cost to cover unit price.
the goal should be the cheapest travel available and not a 2seater super car look.
what am i missing?
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ns_human retweetledi
@cryptoturk69 The time to be talking about the top was a week ago, we're talking about forming another bottom now.
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@ns_human So are you almost convinced this is the top, so we can instead print another local bottom and full sned to aths, again?
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Happy Monday.
$BTC has failed to push through all time highs very late in weekly Cycle. Was hoping for a last 2-week surge, but time likely run out. Still a chance if it recovered like really soon, but it's suggesting Cycle peaked Week 18 (which is late anyway).
Bright side, late in 4-yr cycle, you want to remain bullish/allocated, market more likely to surprise to the upside. And ALT's for first time holding up, as dominance drops, sign of latter stage action.
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas
$BTC retested the May Cycle high. That might be it for this 60-day Cycle. Most cycles have retests or lower lows, but this stage of the bull market don't count on them. Hoping for a strong push to a late Aug high, followed by the Weekly cycle decline into Sept.
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