
NunnButBets
775 posts

NunnButBets
@nunn556
Sports Betting Model Architect | UFC | KBO | NPB | Tennis | NBA | NCAA | MLB | Darts | CBA | KBL | +217.2U | 1U Max | Capital Preservation |


Most bet players to go yard 💣 1. Shohei Ohtani 2. Aaron Judge 3. Kyle Schwarber 4. Cal Raleigh 5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. It was a HR fest yesterday, who you taking for the Jackpot today? 👀




📊 FREE LEANS — HOW TO USE THIS THREAD This thread will contain model-identified leans (≈3–6% edge). These are: • Not part of official card allocations • Not sized for bankroll growth • Not tracked towards “free play of the day” results They exist as model overflow — small edges that didn’t meet our execution threshold. 🔒 Official Plays (VIP Only): • Higher probability + stronger edges • Foundations • Structured unit sizing • Part of the $10k/$20k challenge systems If you’re just browsing, use these as insight. If you’re serious about building bankroll with structure, DM “access”, and you will be on the VIP waitlist. (Access is capped at 7 members per cycle/slate)



Don't nobody give af about you combining Judge & Ohtani for a HR 😭 Congrats on your +500 HR parlay though lol


⚾ FREE Late HR LEANS Cal Raleigh 30.2% | 28.2% | +2.0% | +250 Christian Walker 25.6% | 22.2% | +3.4% | +350 Julio Rodriguez 21.8% | 20.4% | +1.4% | +390 Francisco Lindor 21.2% | 17.9% | +3.3% | +460 Ronald Acuña Jr. 24.3% | 21.5% | +2.8% | +365 Jose Altuve 20.1% | 17.4% | +2.7% | +475 Mike Trout 26.1% | 23.0% | +3.1% | +320 Isaac Paredes 19.7% | 19.6% | +0.1% | +410 Jo Adell 18.5% | 16.4% | +2.1% | +510 Maikel Garcia 15.2% | 12.5% | +2.7% | +700 ⚾ FREE LOTTO PARLAY LEANS **2-LEGS** Cal Raleigh + Ronald Acuña Jr. 7.3% | 5.9% | +1.4% | +1597 Mike Trout + Christian Walker 6.7% | 5.1% | +1.6% | +1853 Mike Trout + Rafael Devers 5.8% | 4.3% | +1.5% | +2168







⚾️ April 3 — FREE MLB LEANS Moneylines/Spreads/Totals KC ML (-115) 58.4% | 53.5% | +4.9% STL/DET Under 8 (-115) 58.4% | 53.5% | +4.9% PHI -1.5 (-130) 60.9% | 56.5% | +4.4% TOR/CWS Under 7.5 (-105) 55.8% | 51.2% | +4.6% ⚾ HR LEANS (TOP 5 PLAYABLE) Matt Olson 📊 22.6% | 19.6% | +3.0% | +410 Austin Riley 21.9% | 19.6% | +2.3% | +375 Corbin Carroll 19.4% | 15.9% | +3.5% | +510 Bo Bichette 💣 17.8% | 11.4% | +6.4% | +780 Luis Robert Jr. 💎 23.5% | 12.5% | +11.0% | +700 (No edge, but high hit rates) Giancarlo Stanton 22.8% | 29.4% | -6.6% | +240 Aaron Judge 28.4% | 38.5% | -10.1% | +160 Corey Seager 20.7% | 22.2% | -1.5% | +350 Adolis Garcia 19.9% | 22.2% | -2.3% | +350 Kyle Schwarber 25.6% | 36.4% | -10.8% | +175 Bryce Harper 23.2% | 27.4% | -4.2% | +265 Juan Soto 24.1% | 23.0% | +1.1% | +335 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 21.3% | 20.4% | +0.9% | +390 😈 Kyle Tucker 24.0% | 23.8% | +0.2% | +320 💣 HR PARLAY LEANS (VERY LOW WINNING PROBABILITY) Luis Robert Jr. + Bo Bichette 4.2% | 1.3% | +2.9% | +4500 Matt Olson + Corbin Carroll 4.9% | 2.9% | +2.0% | +2400 Corey Seager + Adolis Garcia 4.1% | 2.2% | +1.9% | +1925 Aaron Judge + Juan Soto 6.8% | 4.7% | +2.1% | +1030 Bryce Harper + Kyle Schwarber + Yordan Alvarez 2.9% | 1.5% | +1.4% | +3085 Giancarlo Stanton + Aaron Judge + Juan Soto 3.4% | 2.8% | +0.6% | +3510


🎾 APRIL 3rd — WTA FREE LEANS Anna Kalinskaya ML (-130) True: 60.9% | Implied: 56.5% | Edge: +4.4% Yuliia Starodubtseva ML (+125) True: 47.8% | Implied: 44.4% | Edge: +3.4% Marie Bouzkova ML (-270) True: 74.2% | Implied: 73.0% | Edge: +1.2% Emiliana Arango ML (-210) True: 69.1% | Implied: 67.7% | Edge: +1.4% LEANS PARLAY 🎁 Marie Bouzkova ML (-270) Emiliana Arango ML (-210) Parlay Odds: +102 True: 51.3% | Implied: 49.5% | Edge: +1.8%

















