NunnButBets

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NunnButBets

NunnButBets

@nunn556

Sports Betting Model Architect | UFC | KBO | NPB | Tennis | NBA | NCAA | MLB | Darts | CBA | KBL | +217.2U | 1U Max | Capital Preservation |

United States Katılım Temmuz 2024
15 Takip Edilen126 Takipçiler
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NunnButBets
NunnButBets@nunn556·
📊 FREE LEANS — HOW TO USE THIS THREAD This thread will contain model-identified leans (≈3–6% edge). These are: • Not part of official card allocations • Not sized for bankroll growth • Not tracked towards “free play of the day” results They exist as model overflow — small edges that didn’t meet our execution threshold. 🔒 Official Plays (VIP Only): • Higher probability + stronger edges • Foundations • Structured unit sizing • Part of the $10k/$20k challenge systems If you’re just browsing, use these as insight. If you’re serious about building bankroll with structure, DM “access”, and you will be on the VIP waitlist. (Access is capped at 7 members per cycle/slate)
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NunnButBets
NunnButBets@nunn556·
@MLBHR +460 clears early from the Lean tier ✅ Free leans were posted. This is the difference. More coming.
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MLB Home Run
MLB Home Run@MLBHR·
Kerry Carpenter - Detroit Tigers (1) 2-run 359 feet +400
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NunnButBets@nunn556·
@MLB @tigers +460 clears from the Lean tier ✅ Free dropped earlier — but this is the difference.
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MLB@MLB·
Kerry Carpenter and the @Tigers are off to the races in Detroit 💪
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NunnButBets@nunn556·
First MLB game on… +460 clears from the Lean tier ✅ Free dropped earlier — but this is the difference. More coming.
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NunnButBets
NunnButBets@nunn556·
💣⚾️ April 4th — Free HR leans — model insights. Higher-confidence edges (5%+) stay in the Lean tier. No edge = no play. Bryce Harper 28.7% | 23.8% | +4.9% | +320 Michael Harris II 18.7% | 13.9% | +4.8% | +620 Ozzie Albies 16.5% | 11.9% | +4.6% | +740 Riley Greene 22.1% | 17.9% | +4.2% | +460 Max Muncy 28.9% | 25.3% | +3.6% | +295 Mookie Betts 21% | 18.5% | 2.5% | +440 Nolan Gorman 18.2% | 15.9% | +2.3% | +530 Shohei Ohtani 35.4% | 35.1% | +0.3% | +185 Kyle Schwarber (+210) → Fully priced (no edge)
NunnButBets@nunn556

📊 FREE LEANS — HOW TO USE THIS THREAD This thread will contain model-identified leans (≈3–6% edge). These are: • Not part of official card allocations • Not sized for bankroll growth • Not tracked towards “free play of the day” results They exist as model overflow — small edges that didn’t meet our execution threshold. 🔒 Official Plays (VIP Only): • Higher probability + stronger edges • Foundations • Structured unit sizing • Part of the $10k/$20k challenge systems If you’re just browsing, use these as insight. If you’re serious about building bankroll with structure, DM “access”, and you will be on the VIP waitlist. (Access is capped at 7 members per cycle/slate)

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ѕнα∂ყ 👻@ShadySlips·
@iulaiii I'm talking about the stat type, if you're asking for a HR (Hardest thing to do in sports) at those odds. It's ridiculous.
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MLB
MLB@MLB·
Francisco Alvarez goes dead center for his second home run of the year ☄️
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MLB Home Run
MLB Home Run@MLBHR·
Francisco Alvarez - New York Mets (2) Solo 415 feet +800
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Tennis Channel
Tennis Channel@TennisChannel·
Get ready for semifinal Saturday with these exciting matchups ✨⚔️ Watch all the action on the Tennis Channel App 🙌 #CharlestonOpen
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Tennis Channel
Tennis Channel@TennisChannel·
Yuliia Starodubtseva just made her first career tour-level semifinal 🥹🙇‍♀️👏 #CharlestonOpen
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NunnButBets
NunnButBets@nunn556·
both SGPS separately
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NunnButBets@nunn556·
1+ HRR LOTTERY 💣
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NunnButBets
NunnButBets@nunn556·
⚾ FREE Late HR LEANS Cal Raleigh 30.2% | 28.2% | +2.0% | +250 Christian Walker 25.6% | 22.2% | +3.4% | +350 Julio Rodriguez 21.8% | 20.4% | +1.4% | +390 Francisco Lindor 21.2% | 17.9% | +3.3% | +460 Ronald Acuña Jr. 24.3% | 21.5% | +2.8% | +365 Jose Altuve 20.1% | 17.4% | +2.7% | +475 Mike Trout 26.1% | 23.0% | +3.1% | +320 Isaac Paredes 19.7% | 19.6% | +0.1% | +410 Jo Adell 18.5% | 16.4% | +2.1% | +510 Maikel Garcia 15.2% | 12.5% | +2.7% | +700 ⚾ FREE LOTTO PARLAY LEANS **2-LEGS** Cal Raleigh + Ronald Acuña Jr. 7.3% | 5.9% | +1.4% | +1597 Mike Trout + Christian Walker 6.7% | 5.1% | +1.6% | +1853 Mike Trout + Rafael Devers 5.8% | 4.3% | +1.5% | +2168
NunnButBets@nunn556

⚾️ April 3 — FREE MLB LEANS Moneylines/Spreads/Totals KC ML (-115) 58.4% | 53.5% | +4.9% STL/DET Under 8 (-115) 58.4% | 53.5% | +4.9% PHI -1.5 (-130) 60.9% | 56.5% | +4.4% TOR/CWS Under 7.5 (-105) 55.8% | 51.2% | +4.6% ⚾ HR LEANS (TOP 5 PLAYABLE) Matt Olson 📊 22.6% | 19.6% | +3.0% | +410 Austin Riley 21.9% | 19.6% | +2.3% | +375 Corbin Carroll 19.4% | 15.9% | +3.5% | +510 Bo Bichette 💣 17.8% | 11.4% | +6.4% | +780 Luis Robert Jr. 💎 23.5% | 12.5% | +11.0% | +700 (No edge, but high hit rates) Giancarlo Stanton 22.8% | 29.4% | -6.6% | +240 Aaron Judge 28.4% | 38.5% | -10.1% | +160 Corey Seager 20.7% | 22.2% | -1.5% | +350 Adolis Garcia 19.9% | 22.2% | -2.3% | +350 Kyle Schwarber 25.6% | 36.4% | -10.8% | +175 Bryce Harper 23.2% | 27.4% | -4.2% | +265 Juan Soto 24.1% | 23.0% | +1.1% | +335 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 21.3% | 20.4% | +0.9% | +390 😈 Kyle Tucker 24.0% | 23.8% | +0.2% | +320 💣 HR PARLAY LEANS (VERY LOW WINNING PROBABILITY) Luis Robert Jr. + Bo Bichette 4.2% | 1.3% | +2.9% | +4500 Matt Olson + Corbin Carroll 4.9% | 2.9% | +2.0% | +2400 Corey Seager + Adolis Garcia 4.1% | 2.2% | +1.9% | +1925 Aaron Judge + Juan Soto 6.8% | 4.7% | +2.1% | +1030 Bryce Harper + Kyle Schwarber + Yordan Alvarez 2.9% | 1.5% | +1.4% | +3085 Giancarlo Stanton + Aaron Judge + Juan Soto 3.4% | 2.8% | +0.6% | +3510

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