Owen Davis

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Owen Davis

Owen Davis

@odavis_

Labor economics, demographics, technology. Senior economist at NYC Independent Budget Office. Mycophile.

Brooklyn Katılım Ağustos 2012
1.3K Takip Edilen2.5K Takipçiler
Alex Yablon
Alex Yablon@AlexYablon·
Listening to the new Wendy Eisenberg and wishing I’d paid more attention when learning music theory
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
Fake it till you make it!
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
Some wild details in this NYT story on what is kind of sort of the first one-person billion-dollar company, a middleman for GLP-1s. Puprortedly $20k in AI token costs to get to 9-digit revenue.
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
Can Claude lol?
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
Possible AI usage metric: share of github commits with comments including "lol", "lmao" and suchlike
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
@rick_carp yes exactly! so the real problem goes back to photoshop...
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
AI reduces the cost of making convincing fakes. Does that increase or reduce the number of April Fool's posts? Part of the point seems to be eliciting a reaction of "boy you went to all this trouble huh." Which AI kind of spoils.
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Owen Davis retweetledi
Forecasting Research Institute
We completed the most comprehensive study of how economists and AI experts think AI will affect the U.S. economy. They predict major AI progress—but no dramatic break from economic trends: GDP growth rates similar to today's and a moderate decline in labor force participation. However, when asked to consider what would happen in a world with extremely rapid progress in AI capabilities by 2030, they predict significant economic impacts by 2050: • Annualized GDP growth of 3.5% (compared to 2.4% in 2025) • A labor force participation rate of 55% (roughly 10 million fewer jobs) • 80% of wealth held by the top 10% (highest since 1939) 🧵 Here's what we found:
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
A dispiriting finding in the fascinating new pre-print study on household ChatGPT use (just written up in the Wall Street Journal): increased chatbot usage is associated with decreased news consumption.
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Gregor Schubert
Gregor Schubert@gregorschub·
In our paper, we use internet browsing data to track when households use ChatGPT - and find that post-ChatGPT online browsing involves more leisure (social, gaming, streaming etc.), and less "productive" activities online (research, job search, shopping etc.)! (3/n)
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
This morning a NYT story suggested that private credit's weakness might be alleviated by Trump admin's plans to allow 401(k)s into alternative assets. Just now, the DOL released the proposed rules. Q: Are alternative asset purveyors already positioning to market to this segment?
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
This seems like a big change in a decade, wonder if it's validated elsewhere. Theoretically, information technologies like AI should increase managers' span of control.
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Owen Davis
Owen Davis@odavis_·
Guy I want to meet: NYC transplant who's a Mets fan *because* they’re owned by the founder of Point72 Asset Management
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