Odds Assist

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Odds Assist

Odds Assist

@oddsassist_

+EV & arbitrage bet finders, prediction market tools, odds screen, more 💰 Follow @OddsAssist_ for product updates, picks, prediction market advantages, & more

Katılım Mayıs 2021
2.1K Takip Edilen3.1K Takipçiler
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
LAUNCH: Prediction Markets Pro – The easiest way to gain an edge on prediction markets 🚀 Today were launching two new tools focused on mentions markets on apps like Kalshi: 1) Earnings Call Mention Tracker 2) Sports Announcer Mention Tracker Learn more👇
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Heads up: Kalshi just added a HUGE batch of earnings call mention markets 👀 There are around 20 new markets that just went live last night, including Tesla, Google, Spotify, Microsoft, Apple, Starbucks, Meta, Amazon, and many more. Check them out ASAP if you trade these markets. Getting in early is one of the best ways to get an edge. Here are some early picks using our Earnings Mentions Tracker (check it out in reply tweet): – Starbucks: Recycle NO – Meta: Rayban YES, Sam NO – Visa: Holiday NO, Cybersecurity NO – Spotify: ChatGPT NO We also recommend using limit orders early on since liquidity is relatively thin. Probably 90% of our early trades are limit orders. We only take what's available if it seems to be massively mispriced and think the price will only go up.
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Arbitrage bets are great, but middle opportunities give you even more upside 📈 Using our Middles tool, you can find games where you can win on BOTH sides and are guaranteed to win at least one side. For example, in the Richmond vs Melbourne AFL game, you could take: 1) Richmond +26.5 on theScore Bet 2) Melbourne -22.5 on DraftKings If the game ends with Melbourne winning by 23, 24, 25, or 26, you hit on both sides for +1.74 units. Your max loss is only -0.13 units, since you can't lose both bets. If Melbourne wins by only 21 points, for example, you still hit the Richmond +26.5 bets.
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
🚨 NHL & EPL are LIVE in our Sports Mentions Tool 🚨 Now, you can track past results of the "what will the announcers say" markets on Kalshi for these leagues, in addition to NBA, MLB, and UFC. Note that, over time, the tools will get more valuable as more Kalshi markets resolve. Check them out in the next tweet 👇
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Dave Rathmanner
Dave Rathmanner@daverathmanner·
7/10 on Netflix's earnings call market on @Kalshi for +$169 (29% ROI) 🍿 Netflix has an interesting earnings call format. It's just their investment relations guy interviewing the CEO using submitted questions. Going into this, I felt like it made it a bit more predictable since (1) they don't usually have the same amount of typical finances talk like you see on most calls, (2) they directly control the questions. Some of my favorite picks were NO on "Stranger Things" since it ended back in December (got in at 17c 👀) and YES on "MLB" since they had the exclusive opening night game. I also traded live, getting in on a lot of strikes that were 90c+ pre-call at much lower prices, like competition and live event, that I was pretty sure would hit based on @oddsassist_'s earnings mentions tool. Focus now shifts to Truist and Ally calls tomorrow, then a juicy slate of calls next week (Boeing, United, Tesla, Intel, P&G, and more).
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Dave Rathmanner
Dave Rathmanner@daverathmanner·
Truist Earnings Call Pick: "M&A / Merger" –> YES This is now up in the 80s, but I got in early at an average of 72c. When I first checked the market, it was all the way down at 66c, so I bought up all of that and anything else priced under 75c over the next few days. Truist has said this on 24 of their last 24 earnings calls, and I couldn't find any reason why they wouldn't say it on this next one. I don't see any way this misses 👀
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Want to get an edge on Kalshi's earnings calls? Check out Dave's demo from Monday using our earnings mentions tool to live trade on Kalshi's Wells Fargo market that happened yesterday The results: 8/9 correct for +$412 (65% ROI)
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Lines for the NBA play-in games tonight from Odds Assist Pro... Who are you taking?
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
It's crazy how often @Novig has the best lines on *both* sides of MLB bets (and pretty much every other league). If you're not using them, you're missing out on better odds, which means more profit for you. If you haven't signed up yet, use code ODDSASSIST to unlock $50 when you spend your first $5
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Another big win from today's earnings calls using Prediction Markets Pro 💰
Dave Rathmanner@daverathmanner

+$150 (43% ROI) on Johnson & Johnson's earnings call 💉 I got in on Carvykti (63c) and Rybrevant (52c) right when the market opened, which drove most of the profits. Both had been said a ton on recent earnings calls according to @oddsassist_ 's Earnings Mentions Tool, so I bought up as much as I could. Outside of those, I went perfect besides Nipocalima/Lupus. I had resting orders for some of the others, but they never got filled. Either way, happy with the results.

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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
CLEANED UP on Wells Fargo's earnings call (results + demo) 📈 Wells Fargo's earnings call just finished, and I crushed it, going +$400 for a 60% ROI, using our Earnings Mentions Tool. The only miss was "oil" which I should have sold before the call when it was mentioned in their earnings presentation (released before the call), but I'm still super happy with the results. I recorded a demo yesterday of me making the trades for this market using our tool. If you're interested in learning about how it works and my strategies, check the next tweet.
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Wells Fargo Earnings Mentions Pick: "Private Equity" YES @ 57c 📈 Wells Fargo has said this on 17/24 earnings calls that my tool tracks (71%), including the last three straight. There was a period, including all of 2024 and 2025 Q1, when they didn't say it, but that was likely because they were operating under the Federal Reserve's asset cap restriction, which required them to dramatically reduce the PE side of their business. That restriction was lifted in June 2025, which aligns with when they started mentioning it again. If you take out the time they were under restrictions, they said "private equity" on 85% of calls, which I think makes this extremely undervalued at 57c. Thoughts? Are we missing something? Call is tomorrow (4/14) btw
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
PSA: If you're trading UFC 327 announcer mentions for tomorrow's fights, don't forget to look at historical data 👀 There are going to be a lot of UFC fans trading these announcer-mention markets on Kalshi for the first time ahead of tomorrow's fights. If you want to win, you CAN'T just go off intuition or your gut; you need to use historical data. There are so many words that you think would be said in almost every fight, but when you really dig in, they're a lot less common than you think. For example, "blood"/"bloody" is said in less than a third of fights, "tired" is said in only a quarter, and "Dana" is only said in 7% of fights. A lot more of these strikes resolve to No than you'd think. You can manually dig through past Kalshi markets to find results, or you can use a tool like Prediction Markets Pro that does the work for you.
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Odds Assist
Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
Reminder: our new Executive Orders Signing Tool is LIVE ✍️ It gives you access to historical signing data to help with the "How Many Executive Orders Will Trump Sign This Week?" markets on Kalshi. Here's what you can see with it: 1) Weekly EO signing history with Above 0/1/2 filters, good for spotting trends over time. 2) Proportions of EOs signed by day of the week so you can see when signings are most likely. 3) Historical patterns you can use to determine fair price. For example, if no EOs were signed by Thursday, there was at least one EO signed X% of weeks, at least two signed X% of weeks, etc. 4) Live Kalshi prices for all available markets (Above 0, Above 1, etc.) Check it out in the replies 👇
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Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
This tool is completely free btw
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Odds Assist@oddsassist_·
With the NBA playoffs approaching, if you're thinking about placing a futures bet on who will win... Be sure to check the Futures section of Odds Assist Pro to find the best odds. We let you compare live futures odds across online sportsbooks, social books (like ProphetX), and prediction markets. You'd be surprised at how much the odds vary 👀
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