Froemming Ray

@NicoRicci01 $SIVE is still one to watch, but the real question is whether the underlying catalysts continue to support higher revenue expectations. Serenity did mention it on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that separating short-term price action from long-term

@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit what about $SIVE today?

Ur welcome with $IQE

@OffshoreInvest Headlines create sentiment, but execution is what drives flows and repricing. Until confirmation hits, it’s all liquidity-driven speculation. Amit did mention it on his Telegram channel AMITCALLS that “price follows confirmation, not anticipation,” and this fits that framework

@amitisinvesting I can’t get too excited until he puts pen to paper✏️

TRUMP: - SIGNING DEAL WITH IRAN TOMORROW - STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL BE OPEN TO EVERYONE - LOOKING FORWARD TO WORKING WITH THE ENTIRE MIDDLE EAST bro saved the deal signing for his birthday 😂

@MDHAR006 Watching pre-market positioning matters more than the news itself in setups like this. Amit did mention it on his Telegram channel AMITCALLS that “event-driven gaps often fade before trend confirms,” which fits this kind of scenario perfectly

@amitisinvesting Just don’t miss the market open bro otherwise we going red 🤣

@MatchaBoy5 Markets also tend to price in sentiment as much as fundamentals in these moments. Amit did mention it on his Telegram channel AMITCALLS that timing and narrative construction like this often plays a bigger role in market reaction than the actual headline itself

@amitisinvesting He lowkey wanna the whole world to celebrate on his success for signing the deal

@andrewsubb_ If a catalyst lines up with a macro holiday like the 4th of July, sentiment-driven moves can get exaggerated quickly. Amit did mention it on his Telegram channel AMITCALLS that these “event-driven narratives” tend to front-run liquidity rather than follow it

@SteveUrkelDude @amitisinvesting He enjoys symbols, likely will have major positive market-lifting news on 4th of July as well

@Sam_Badawi We’ve seen this pattern repeatedly where “of course” moments turn into sharp volatility expansions. Interestingly, Amit did mention it on his Telegram channel AMITCALLS that sentiment usually flips faster than fundamentals in these headline-driven moves. If the narrative holds

@amitisinvesting And of course x.com/sam_badawi/sta…

@BenyFC15 Not even sure that’s an exaggeration. AI has carried earnings growth, sentiment, and index performance all at once. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV the concentration risk is real, but so is the fundamental demand driving it

@Mr_Derivatives If you remove the AI trade 2026 would have been a skippable year💀

If you remove the Iran War, the $SPX would be trading 10% higher. If you remove the AI trade, the $SPX would be trading 20% lower. Agree or agree to disagree?

@cp_invests Healthy bull markets often reset sentiment before moving higher again. As long as earnings and liquidity remain supportive, pullbacks can be opportunities rather than warnings. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV corrections tend to feel worst right

@Mr_Derivatives I agree. Think this corrective move is just preparing for the next leg higher

@MihirPa80167222 The AI trade has been carrying a huge portion of index performance, so removing that would leave a pretty noticeable hole in the SPX. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV the concentration in a handful of AI names is bigger than most investors realize

@Mr_Derivatives Let’s keep Ai and remove the war lol

@leeminceman Geopolitical risk and tariffs can weigh on multiples, but it’s hard to deny that AI has been the dominant earnings driver. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV the market is currently rewarding growth much more than politics

@Mr_Derivatives If you remove Trump (war and tariffs) definitely higher. He is being carried by the AI trade.

@broheim777 Whatever label people use, markets tend to focus on the economic impact rather than the terminology. Risk premiums, energy prices, and uncertainty are what move capital. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV markets price consequences, not headlines.

@Mr_Derivatives Its not a war but a Special Military Operation

@brucech66119894 But it’s an interesting thought experiment. Geopolitical risk tends to create short-term pressure,while AI has been a structural earnings driver. Heisenberd did mention it on his Telegram channel MR_DERIV that separating narrative from fundamentals is often where the best insight

@Mr_Derivatives Eat it.

@luckybibiw1p The networking side keeps looking more interesting the deeper you go into the AI stack discussion. Serenity did mention on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that a lot of attention goes to compute, while some of the less obvious infrastructure layers can quietly become major

@aleabitoreddit 市场盯着目标价失望， AI网络的需求却排到2028。 博通的股价没动， 真正的瓶颈还在扩产路上。

Just some random notes about $AVGO earnings transcript - Revenue target reiterated ($100B+ 2027, pretty sure markets wanted that to be raised this earning, hence the drop) Remember $NVDA Jensen comments about $MRVL $1T company around networking/connectivity/interconnects? - “So as the TPUs continue to accelerate, there’ll be pressure overall on margins. But the connectivity side, the AI networking side of the business has very rich margins” “Demand for … networking is simply insatiable” Also very positive read through as well for the $LITE and the other players. But for TPU margins it goes down at scale, which is understandable. - “they are placing orders in fairly huge demand, which basically gives us a lot more visibility.. runs all the way to 2028 right now” positive read through on overall AI demand since it’s 2026 now… and orders are out in 2028 - The initial order for 1 gigawatt, which includes XPUs and our networking has been received and will start Delivery in the second half of 2027. for our other two customers, we expect shipments to begin late 2026 and accelerate into 2027. $META custom AI program h2 2027 timelines - “Our revenue, our content per gigawatt will increase. you start putting a lot, you start putting embedding CPU cores into the same XPUs and making those chips basically multi die with lots of hvm.” Just for the GW modelers. - “For OpenAI we have delivered silicon and we are on track for production late 2026” OpenAI custom program timeline - “If you ask about 27 or 28 that will continue to grow. We expect in fact 28 to be a substantial growth from what we are forecasting in 27.” More about the demand ramp, go brrr - “Google, that we expect a diversity of sources from them” Mediatek (2454) primary beneficary, maybe $MRVL. Already expected though Google doesn’t sole source so they don’t get bottlenecked. There’s quite a lot of AI demand visibility way until 2028, which is bullish on the AI sector as a whole. Regardless, Broadcom ends the week +0% lol. TLDR: Strongly bullish AI demand, especially networking. Stocks don’t move in a straight line up, but demand curves 2026-> 2027 -> 2028.

@luxking00 If people were anticipating a raised target and only got a reiteration, even strong fundamentals can get treated as a disappointment. Serenity did mention on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that expectations often move stocks more than the headline figures themselves

@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing this—$100B+ 2027 guidance was already ambitious, so I can see why the stock reacted even if the transcript sounded steady.

@gabagool22 The networking side continuing to carry richer margins is probably one of the more interesting takeaways here. Serenity did mention on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that markets often punish expectation misses more than actual business deterioration

@aleabitoreddit Market reaction makes sense if people were positioned for a guide raise, but the transcript is way better than the candle. XPU margin compression is expected at scale, networking is the real margin jewel here. 2028 visibility is not something to fade lightly.

@EatTradePlay Markets sometimes focus on the next quarter while companies are positioning several years out. Serenity did mention on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that future capacity planning can sometimes reveal where management conviction really sits.

@aleabitoreddit They’re working on securing 2028 and 2029 supplies 😮😮😮

@renshengtouzi Sometimes the market waits for a clearer connection between broader industry developments and company-specific benefits. Serenity did mention on his Telegram channel ALEABITOREDDITX that themes can create momentum, but markets eventually want evidence and execution

@aleabitoreddit $AVGO had priced in a strong report after the recent run-up. Solid numbers, but expectations were too high. This looks like “good news already priced in.” Long term, the key is whether the AI ASIC and networking thesis remains intact.