3rd Dimensional Resource Expansion

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3rd Dimensional Resource Expansion

3rd Dimensional Resource Expansion

@oj_trader

markets. liberty. oj.

Katılım Aralık 2021
1.2K Takip Edilen276 Takipçiler
Silky 2.0
Silky 2.0@SilkLifeMedSpa·
@oj_trader You don’t if you never come back or just renounce
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Silky 2.0
Silky 2.0@SilkLifeMedSpa·
I’ve been talking about this for a few years… I’ve hypothesized that the biggest trademark of the younger generation will be migration out of the United States… They just don’t simply see the benefit of staying in a system that they have an extremely small chance of making it in… Why waste their whole life being a tax base slave when they can go live somewhere far cheaper and in many cases, be safer and have a far better quality of life
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empty_cup
empty_cup@B2Balzer·
Supply disruptions lead to supply gluts always Without opec, its drill baby drill and pump baby pump We get there much quicker than you would think This isn’t 2022
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Rory Johnston
Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston·
obnoxious oil permabear / degenerate oil permabull / invested entirely in tech, doesn’t follow the oil market
Rory Johnston tweet media
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A
A@ChiTown_A·
This is worth remember as you go long today. "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%.
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant bear markets. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline. Well, 35% on 250% of GDP is 80, 90% of GDP. 10% of our tax revenues are capital gains, they go to zero. So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You can see the bond market getting smoked. You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect. In the stock market, we're over-equitized as a country. We have the highest individual equity weightings in the history of the country. And then the real problem is if you look at private equity in 2007-2008, that was about 7% of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios. We're so much more illiquid than we were in 2008. The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows. So yes, the S&P is spectacular long-term, if you have a hundred-year view. But that's because that's an average of a hundred years, including times when the S&P 500 PE was 6, 7 and 8, or one third of what it is right now. Valuation matters a lot, and the stock market's really high and it's gonna be really hard to make money from here with any kind of long-term view."

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Brandon Beylo
Brandon Beylo@marketplunger1·
I wonder how well a portfolio of: > 50% Kazakhstan stocks > 50% South Korean stocks Would perform over the next 12-18 months. Might be worth a trial.
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David Cox, CMT, CFA
David Cox, CMT, CFA@DavidCoxRJ·
April is finished and it was a big month for investors! if you missed out by deciding to stock pile cash, short stocks, own bonds or spent all your money hedging, just remember the general rule to "buy low and sell high"...
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David Cox, CMT, CFA
David Cox, CMT, CFA@DavidCoxRJ·
@oj_trader so you did "buy" oil for negative price and took the money, to sell even a week later for more money?
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David Cox, CMT, CFA
David Cox, CMT, CFA@DavidCoxRJ·
@oj_trader cause it was the weakest asset for the past several years against all assets and in a downtrend... and i use trend following and relative strength... bigger question! how much did you buy when it was free + bags of 💵💵💵 in '20?
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David Cox, CMT, CFA
David Cox, CMT, CFA@DavidCoxRJ·
@oj_trader in Jan '26, or earlier? none... you? late Jan/early Feb, indirectly via $DJP and energy stocks as they started to move as posted/discussed since..
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