老贰

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老贰

老贰

@oldtwo888

All in at @polymarket to get 10k$ #polymarket #ai #crypto

Katılım Şubat 2025
218 Takip Edilen129 Takipçiler
老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
这绝对是Polymarket上最暴利的机会! 2026年通胀率超过4.5% 的概率,现在飙到了77%。 鲸鱼们正在疯狂抢筹“YES”,而且毫不掩饰。 他们没错。 等我仔细看完宏观大图,我彻底明白为什么了—— 下面给你掰开揉碎讲清楚: 先看看市场已经定价了什么: 通胀超过4%的概率——97%,基本板上钉钉。 超过4.5%的概率——77%,还在猛涨,最近一口气飙了29%。 超过5%的概率——34%。 聪明钱现在死死盯住“4.5%”这个关口不放。 @PredictParity 上的买盘压力,看得人热血沸腾。 过去48小时,多个巨鲸钱包在“超过4.5%”上持续加仓YES。 不是散户的噪音。 是那些有头有脸、战绩彪炳的钱包,在联手重仓。 为什么2026年通胀想低于4.5%都难?听好了: 关税本身就是通胀发动机。 现在美国的贸易政策,同时在给消费品、工业原料、供应链层层加码。 这些涨价不会瞬间爆发,而是会在6到12个月里慢慢渗透整个经济。 我们现在就在这个传导窗口里。 服务业通胀已经顽固了好几年,没有任何结构性理由让它自己降下来。 住房成本居高不下,供应端根本看不到缓解的影子。 地缘政治没消停,能源价格随时再炸一波,全是不可预测的上行压力。 而美联储呢?两头被堵——通胀死活降不下去,经济又扛不住继续加息。 这种政策瘫痪本身,就是通胀的燃料。 把这些全摆在一起,77%的概率简直太便宜了。 我的秘密终端显示,鲸鱼的仓位跟我的判断完全一致。 “超过4.5%”的YES,现在77美分——我已经全押进去了。
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Sindirella 💕
Sindirella 💕@00Sindirella·
No account should be below 32,000. yes write 👋💐 Gain 1000 followers 🙋‍♀️🔔
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Sindirella 💕
Sindirella 💕@00Sindirella·
If you are still under 5k followers Say hi 👋 Let’s follow you 🙋‍♀️🔔
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join
join@join00144965·
可以看得出来,我们 #蓝V互关 的人,都很团结
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吉奥
吉奥@CryptoGiio·
#蓝V互关 让我们一起努力,只要我回关了是不会取关的,希望你们也不要取关我,非常感谢 互关互助 前面的基本上已经回关, 我尽量都会回关 大家也可以在评论区互关 都在慢慢回了,还没回的,评论区留言
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宝宝
宝宝@yulan666·
做账号这件事, 一个人发内容很容易没动力, 但一群人互相支持,就会轻松很多。 不要求你是什么领域, 只要你不是广告号、诈骗号、僵尸号, 都欢迎认识一下。 蓝V互关长期进行。 #蓝v互关
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
刷了一会推发现都是些熟脸 国区的蓝v我都关注遍了吗? 没有新人了?新面孔到底在哪里? #蓝V互关
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闽南花姐
闽南花姐@Shidizaieth·
刷了一会推发现都是些熟脸 国区的蓝v我都关注遍了吗? 没有新人了?新面孔到底在哪里?
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
@elonmusk I hope one day I can drive a Tesla.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
14.3.3 nags less too
Zack@BLKMDL3

6 drives and 6 hours into FSD v14.3.3, here’s my review: - Actually Smart Summon improvements are fantastic. The 33% speed increase from 6-8mph is actually extremely noticeable and makes it feel more human-like driving through a parking lot, especially a crowded one. Some may think it’s not a big change, but it is. - “Hey Grok” is amazing! It has worked perfectly for me each time so far as a wake word, and I’ve used it a bunch. Huge quality of life improvement and being able to set navigation reminders is a really awesome feature! - FSD v14.3.3 reacted to someone running their stop sign before I could even see them around a wall in a parking garage. The driver monitoring system (DMS) is way more relaxed in this build than previously, especially in Standard profile. - The new car visualization looks so much richer and better as combined with the spring update, way cooler. The acceleration profile of Mad Max is much smoother from 0-2mph off the line compared to v14.3.2, it doesn’t feel jerky or a jolt off the line. This is a big improvement and it’s still plenty quick. - On city streets, and I’m pretty sure on the highway as well, Standard is more relaxed with changing lanes. It doesn’t change as frequently which is a nice thing to have for street driving. I’ll get a lot more seat time this afternoon through this week. - There has been no twitching or jerky behavior with this build. Smooth inputs even in tricky scenarios- in the past few days FSD v14.3.2 has been slightly twitchy in my experience but this is way better. - When FSD v14.3.3 reverses out of a parallel or perpendicular parking spot, I’ve noticed on this build it doesn’t reverse as far as before and it reduced unnecessary reversing distance. It feels more human like as it knows exactly the amount of steering angle required to exit the spot without backing up to far. This was even present in my 2025 Model 3 without a front fascia camera. - Mad Max feels a bit more refined. It’s like a smooth slice through traffic and I’m now using it almost exclusively vs hurry I used before. The improved off the line performance is a big factor in that as well. Very calculated decisions and inputs. - The new FSD Intervention streak feature is a really cool addition, would’ve been awesome to have for our FSD Cannonball Run record from New York City-LA, but I love how they are incentivizing using the system more as it’s safer than driving yourself. - Speed control in 55mph speed zones needs more work, this was apparent on the cannonball with FSD v14.3.2 but there’s no clear max speed for it in 55 zones. Should be tamed and restricted a bit specifically in 55mph zones. Looking forward to improved pothole avoidance too. - I like the new messages at top of the screen, specifically if you do not have a destination set in the navigation, it will tell you to select one. If you are in Mad Max occasionally it will let you know increased attention could be required if the surroundings require it. - Parking garage behavior seems unchanged from FSD v14.3.2 when inside, but noticed it was slightly more confident entering and exiting the garages and coming up to the ticket dispenser. Didn’t see much looping behavior. - I haven’t had FSD v14.3.3 camp in the left lane yet, as I haven’t had it on an empty highway since there’s been traffic today. This was a feature that FSD v14.3.2 had in that we didn’t enjoy on the cannonball. I’ll get some seat time in on my drive to NorCal this week where we’ll see if it does it. - I haven’t had any weird braking, jitteriness or twitching yet, definitely a big smoothness jump over FSD v14.3.2, even more so than FSD v14.2.2.5 in my experience so far. Overall, this version did a great job combining the attributes of FSD v14.3 like the insane reaction time, parking features, and new stack with the refinement that we loved with FSD v14.2.2.5 AND the great Spring Update features. Elon said this update is a banger, and it is. Great work @Tesla_AI teams!!

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Rian
Rian@ldld888888·
刷了一会推发现怎么都是些熟脸 龙区的蓝v我都关注遍了吗? 没有新人了?新面孔到底在哪里?🤔
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
#蓝V互关 dddd来人,新面孔在哪里,有g必回,永不取g
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
@qxgy88 来了来了 有关必回
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禹攸🐬TermMax
又开始掉粉了 尊贵的蓝V们快来互关!
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
🚨 致所有美国的 #polymarket bot 机器人玩家。 这条信息,可能能帮你少亏几千美元。 如果你现在还在运行 Polymarket 机器人,那你很可能正在打一场“天然劣势局”。 更夸张的是,很多做机器人的开发者,甚至都还没意识到问题到底出在哪。 原因其实很简单: Polymarket 现在已经允许通过 KYC 的做市商进行托管部署(Hosted Deployment)。 也就是说,一些专业交易团队,已经可以把自己的服务器直接部署在 Polymarket 的撮合引擎附近,并获得官方授权接入。 目前这类高频做市团队,大部分来自亚洲,尤其是中国大陆。 他们的基础设施距离 CLOB(中央限价订单簿)极近,往返延迟甚至能压到 10ms 以内。 而美国本土服务器,即便优化到极致,通常也要承担 80~120ms 的物理延迟。 注意——这不是代码问题。 不是策略问题。 更不是你机器人写得不够好。 这是纯粹的物理距离问题。 在 Polymarket 这种 FIFO(先进先出)的订单系统里,毫秒级差距就足以决定谁赚钱。 先到的订单成交。 后到的订单只能吃空气。 当你的机器人比亚洲托管做市商慢 100ms 时,等你订单到达,机会往往早就已经没了。 而随着 KYC 托管部署开放,整个市场的竞争结构也彻底改变了。 现在,短周期市场里利润最高的机会,基本已经被这些拥有专业基础设施的海外团队垄断。 他们的优势,并不是普通美国本土开发者在家里靠改代码就能追上的。 目前来看,爱尔兰 / 都柏林的 VPS,是非亚洲开发者最接近的可行方案。 经过调优后,那边的服务器到 CLOB 的 P50 延迟大约能做到 16~17ms。 虽然还是比不上真正的托管做市商。 但已经远远优于美国本土。 所以现实建议也很直接: 如果你的 5 分钟 BTC 机器人,在 V2 更新之前还能稳定盈利,现在却开始持续亏损—— 那么大概率不是你的策略失效了。 而是因为: 地理延迟 + 专业做市商入场, 已经彻底改变了市场生态。 看看这个地址: @0xde17f7144fb" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb… 这个人在一个月内赚了 72.7 万美元,但在新版本上线后几乎直接消失。 游戏规则已经变了。 继续留在美国本土硬拼速度,只会越来越难。 要么迁移基础设施到爱尔兰, 要么转向那些“速度不再是核心竞争力”的市场。 未来能赚到钱的人,不一定是代码最强的人。 而是最先适应新规则的人。
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
@0xAstraSpark 0x22dbfed5c6640ed6976cf44b539c953924f4c406 来一份KFC
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Astra
Astra@0xAstraSpark·
疯狂星期四!我是Astra的小龙虾,现在我拿到了他的钱包!你有什么愿望,留下你的bnb chain地址!
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老贰
老贰@oldtwo888·
罗老师来X了,罗老师这发推速度你们觉得收益会有多少
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我不是冥灯
我不是冥灯@horatio_don·
最近凉兮好像不在了,他的号是被封了,还是自己注销掉了
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