cumali onal

Analysis on the #MiddleEast, #Africa & #Turkey. Covering key developments in Turkey, Egypt, #Syria, Iraq, Sudan, #Libya, Sahel region. I focus on verified information, independent reporting and in-depth analysis. Follow for updates, threads, and expert insights.

@ankara_kusu MHP lağvedilmeli. Çağdışı ve zararlı. Mafya ocağı.

MHP İstanbul il yönetimi ve ilçelerin tamamı görevden alındı

FOKUS | Sahel’den Akdeniz’e Uzanan Tehdit: Fas-İspanya Ortak Operasyonu Ne Anlatıyor? 🖊️ Göktuğ Çalışkan (@goktugcaliskan1), değerlendirdi. 🔗 Yazının tamamını okumak için ⬇️

@etkiIihaberyeni Tüm Atatürkçüler ağıt yakıyordur.

SON DAKİKA | Yılmaz Özdil, Sözcü TV'deki görevini bıraktı. (Yeniçağ)

@Yilmaz_Ozdill Sözcü Tv’den istifa etmiş. Artık havuza resmen adım armalı. Hem gazeteci değil, hem de muhalif değil.

@BirGun_Gazetesi Sanırım Atatürk ona pek rant sağlayamadı.

Yılmaz Özdil, Sözcü TV’den istifa etti birgun.net/haber/yilmaz-o…

Why JNIM Expands Expansion offers several strategic advantages: •Recruitment: access to new fighters. •Financial gain: profits from cross-border trade. •Strategic flexibility: opening new fronts to reduce pressure from armies. •Safe retreat: the ability to withdraw into other territories if defeated. •Competition: strengthening its position against the Islamic State in the Sahel (IS-Sahel). Internal Debate Within JNIM •Expansion creates internal tensions within the group. Two main views exist: Lower-level fighters •Support expansion. •Benefit from new resources and influence. Leadership •Prefers consolidation of existing territories. •Fears: ◦Overstretching resources ◦Losing control over local fighters ◦Internal fragmentation or splits. Why Expansion Is Still Limited •JNIM tries to balance: ◦Centralized strategic leadership ◦Operational autonomy of local units •Leadership concerns about cohesion may explain why expansion toward coastal states has been slower than expected. Security Risks for West Africa •JNIM’s expansion is a major security threat for West African states. •The countries most exposed are: ◦Benin ◦Togo •There is a risk of jihadist violence spreading further along the Gulf of Guinea. Policy Recommendations Countries under threat should: 1. Improve Understanding of Local Dynamics •Study local grievances and vulnerabilities that jihadists exploit. •Invest in better intelligence gathering. 2. Avoid Heavy Military Responses Initially •Use police and community engagement rather than large military deployments. •Prevent stigmatization of communities such as nomadic herders, who are often wrongly accused of supporting militants. 3. Restore Regional Cooperation •Rebuild trust and cooperation between Sahel and coastal countries. •Regional coordination has weakened due to military coups and political tensions in the Sahel. 4. Consider Negotiated Understandings •Governments could explore local agreements with insurgents to reduce violence.

Algeria’s concerns regarding a potential Iran war A possible war involving Iran is seen as part of a broader transformation in the international system that could destabilize regions beyond the Middle East. Experts identify three main analytical levels behind Algeria’s worries: 1. Structural (Global System) •A war against Iran may signal a shift toward power-based international relations where military force overrides legal norms. •This could legitimize pre-emptive wars and interventions, repeating patterns seen since the 2003 Iraq War. 2. Regional Level •Instability in the Middle East could: ◦Increase militarization across nearby regions ◦Affect North Africa and the Sahel, which is already unstable ◦Encourage the return of international military actors in the Sahel 3. Domestic Level •Large conflicts can create: ◦Global economic uncertainty ◦Pressure on supply chains ◦Social and economic instability •There are also fears of security spillover, such as irregular migration or cross-border networks. Energy and Economic Factors •Algeria might temporarily benefit from higher oil prices during global crises. •However, long wars could damage the global economy and create long-term instability affecting developing countries. Algeria’s Strategic Approach •Algeria maintains a doctrine based on: ◦Rejecting aggression ◦Supporting state sovereignty ◦Preferring diplomacy and mediation •The country seeks stronger partnerships in Maghreb and Mediterranean regions to protect regional stability.

@Rajmalhotrachd Were regimes built on the backs of Russian mercenaries?

The Sovereign Mercenaries of the Sahel: The Sahel has achieved dependent independence. Nations like Mali and Burkina Faso have fully embraced the chaotic order of rejecting UN peacekeepers, pivoting to the official vigilantism of Russian private military statecraft to secure their safely endangered regimes.

Welcome to the cheerfully devastating dawn of our beautifully broken epoch, an immaculately ruined stage where the brilliantly foolish actors of world politics perform a perfectly flawed symphony. Here, we gather in delightful despair to observe the harmoniously discordant unraveling of the globe, a joyfully grim spectacle where every terrifyingly comforting truth is laid bare in an organized mess of enlightened ignorance. Here is the definitively inconclusive, comprehensively partial, and reliably unpredictable 🧵 mapping the stationary acceleration of our ordered chaos on exactly this violently peaceful day, April 6, 2026. 👇 @ShashiTharoor @MohanCRaja @HappymonJacob @johnstanly @suhasinih

En son konuşacak kişi bu karaktersiz. Elinde güç olsa gidip anında iktidarın kucağına oturacak. @vekilince @eczozgurozel

@KararHaber Bunun mimarlarından biri sendin.

Eski Anayasa Mahkemesi Başkanı Haşim Kılıç, Demokrasi Platformu’nun Ankara’daki “Önce Siyaset Değişmeli” konferansında, Türkiye’de ifade özgürlüğü alanının giderek daraldığını belirterek, toplumda özgürlüğü kullanmak yerine susmayı tercih eden bir refleksin güç kazandığını söyledi. Kılıç, yargıdaki sorunların artık ertelenemeyeceğini vurgularken, AYM ve AİHM kararlarının uygulanmamasının hukuk devletine olan güveni zedelediğini ifade etti karar.com/guncel-haberle…

The Turkish-owned ship Ocean Thunder passed through the Strait of Hormuz. Minister Abdulkadir Uraloğlu: The three Turkish ships that have been waiting in the Gulf since the beginning of the war have safely departed the strait.

@MazMHussain @johnwgunnison @AnwarGargash Interestingly, the Turkish base in Qatar has not been targeted so far. Does this make Türkiye a legitimate deterrent in the eyes of Iran?

@hiiraan Will Türkiye become more firmly entrenched in Somalia with this move?

Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Saturday that Jews are committing killings, "ethnic cleansing," and "crimes against humanity" in the West Bank v.aa.com.tr/3892115

@t24comtr Saçma sapan bir hikaye. Propagandadan başka birşey değil.

Ekvador'da kartellerin kaçırdığı gezgin 'Kim Milyoner Olmak İster?' yarışmasında yaşadıklarını anlattı: Hayatımın kara günüydü t24.com.tr/magazin/ekvado…

Somaliland argues international recognition could unlock major economic potential: the Berbera port, new investors in the Berbera Economic Zone, possible sea-access deals with Ethiopia, and large reserves of lithium, cobalt, coltan, and rare earth minerals—resources it has offered the US as an alternative supply chain to China.

ÇILGIN TÜRKLER! New York'taki federal müfettişler, büyük bir doğum turizmi şebekesini çökertti. Altı organizatör, 117 hamile kadını Türkiye'den Long Island'a kaçırdıkları, orada sahte ikametgah düzenleyerek Medicaid'den doğumla ilgili bakım hizmetlerinde 1 milyon dolardan fazla dolandırıcılık yaptıkları gerekçesiyle mahkum edildi.