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1u - Nikola Jokic u27.5 PTS ($1.80 B365) #ThunderUp vs #MileHighBasketball Wanted to wait for Murray's availability before playing this. The last time these two sides met earlier in the month, OKC made it a focal point of being really physical with Jokic and eat up into his space. When the tandem of Murray and Jokic were working off the PnR, if they were able to get a switch off the ball-screen, that was probably the worst case scenario for Jokic from a scoring standpoint. Meant that Dort was practically hugging him, negating Jokic the opportunity to get the ball again unless OKC were able to switch the likes of JWill or Hartenstein back on him. If he ever did get the ball when a smaller player was on him inside the arc, doubles were sent at him. Thought Hartenstein did great at closing that space off for Jokic individually, not giving enough daylight ATB to simply walk into a 3PT shot, playing on-all defense with his feet just below the 3PT line. As a result, just 16PTS for the Joker off 6-9 FGA. OKC's priority no.1 on defense has always been to protect the paint, which will result in a bunch of CnS opportunities. Although there were a few opportunities in their last matchup where Jokic could've had a couple nice CnS chances. That being said, Jokic vs sides in the top half of paint defense for the season is under in 12/20 (60%) games, under in 10/12 (83.7%) against those sides with <20FGA, which I believe is a good limit in this matchup for him. Happy to bank on OKC's defense to lead this under prop. ❤️IF YOU'RE TAILING THIS PLAY!