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historical cycle drawdowns for btc
• 2013-2015: -86%
• 2017-2018: -84%
• 2021-2022: -77%
if we should translate that to current ath of $126k:
• 77% drop is $29k
• 84% drop is $20k ish
no point finding out what 86% drop could look like cos what’s the point of the max pain
besides im not expecting bitcoin to drop below 77% btw cos the drawdowns get less brutal each cycle
so a dropdown somewhere around 65-70% might be considered reasonable
that is: $38-$44k ish
im not ready for this bros
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