Peter Fuller

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Peter Fuller

Peter Fuller

@peterfuller23

Building @TracelightAI - https://t.co/B9b9tqIPAa

London Katılım Ağustos 2021
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
Introducing Tracelight 1.0 After six months, we are live with 5 of the 10 biggest management consultancies in the world, as well as PE funds and asset managers with over $600B in AUM. Tracelight is the best AI add-in to Excel. In testing against the leading alternative add-ins, Tracelight 1.0 was: - The most accurate - 2x faster building analysis on average - 20x faster at finding human errors in complex spreadsheets We’ve been building with early adopters and enterprise partners for months. You can now reach a completely new level of performance in Excel. That’s why today we’re proud to launch a major new version. To celebrate, we're giving 1 month of Tracelight Pro for free to anyone who comments LAUNCH below or TAGs a friend who needs this
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@mikeknoop That's an odd final sentence. Humans absolutely depend on their harness. You wrote this post on a computer, and shared it over the internet. Those tools are not 'internal' to you, but without them you would solve far fewer problems.
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Mike Knoop
Mike Knoop@mikeknoop·
LLM systems swallow harness progress. The most general/universal LLM innovations migrate from client-side harnesses to server-side tools. Innovation typically happens first inside the harness. For example, AI reasoning was originally a harness around GPT-3 ("let's think step by step"). This approach worked so well that it migrated behind the API as a tool (competitive reasons were also a factor; but general utility dominated). Many wouldn't think of AI reasoning as a tool but it definitely is (it's a tool to do natural language program synthesis -- but that's another topic). The same happened with code interpreter which started out as a client-side harness and moved server-side. These tools are made available at inference time to the model alongside specific training to teach the model when and how to use each tool. Because of this, the line between tool and model can get quite blurry. Best to consider such tools as "internal" to the LLM system. This is actually a good test of how general a harness feature is. If a feature remains "stuck" client-side, say inside codex or claude code, then it's likely very task- or domain- specific. Client-side harnesses typically encode a lot of human G factor for specific domains. Whereas tools, due to usage pressure of frontier LLMs, are required to be as general as possible else they wouldn't make the cut. So if you care about measuring AGI it's a good idea to pay attention to default LLM system capabilities behind high usage LLM APIs. And if you care about bleeding edge research ideas, such as RLMs, it's a good idea to pay attention to harness innovation. Ultimately, AGI will not depend on a harness in the same sense humans don't depend on a harness.
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
Tbf every problem he diagnosed is completely correct, I just don't think the path forward is exactly what he thinks it is
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
In the seven days since @andrewchen predicted that spreadsheets are over because of no versioning or connection to code, we have released: - spreadsheet versioning - connections to code (web dashboards built off of spreadsheets) Life comes at you fast
andrew chen@andrewchen

prediction re the end of spreadsheets AI code gen means that anything that is currently modeled as a spreadsheet is better modeled in code. You get all the advantages of software - libraries, open source, AI, all the complexity and expressiveness. think about what spreadsheets actually are: they're business logic that's trapped in a grid. Pricing models, financial forecasts, inventory trackers, marketing attribution - these are all fundamentally *programs* that we've been writing in the worst possible IDE. No version control, no testing, no modularity. Just a fragile web of cell references that breaks when someone inserts a row. The only reason spreadsheets won is that the barrier to writing real software was too high. A finance analyst could learn =VLOOKUP in an afternoon but couldn't learn Python in a month. AI code gen flips that equation completely. Now the same analyst describes what they want in plain English, and gets a real application - with a database, a UI, error handling, the works. The marginal effort to go from "spreadsheet" to "software" just collapsed to near zero. this is a massive unlock. There are ~1 billion spreadsheet users worldwide. Most of them are building janky software without realizing it. When even 10% of those use cases migrate to actual code, you get an explosion of new micro-applications that look nothing like traditional software. Internal tools that used to live in a shared Google Sheet now become real products. The "shadow IT" spreadsheet that runs half the company's operations finally gets proper infrastructure. The interesting second-order effect: the spreadsheet was the great equalizer that let non-technical people build things. AI code gen is the *next* great equalizer, but the ceiling is 100x higher. We're about to see what happens when a billion knowledge workers can build real software.

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Amaan
Amaan@amaankahmad·
We're excited to announce Pathfinder's $4M seed funding led by Gradient and Reach Capital to put education back into the hands of parents  - pathfindercard.com/seed
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
From today, @TracelightAI turns your spreadsheets into beautiful, shareable webpages. I’m so excited about this feature, it’s magic. You could already create Powerpoints or Word docs with Tracelight. But now you can build interactive webpages that tell the story of your analysis so much more powerfully. It’s not just about saving time - although it definitely does that. It’s about differentiating yourself. Once your clients and team see dynamic artifacts like this, they won’t want to go back to the old way of doing things. Over the next few days, we will be making Tracelight’s webpages even better - adding chat, and native citation to the underlying Excel. Welcome to the future everyone 🙂
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
Someone changed a number in your model. Good luck finding it. Today we're launching something to fix that - Spreadsheet Compare. Drop two versions of the same spreadsheet into Tracelight's platform, and you get: - A view of all the changes between the sheets: what cell values and formulas were before, what they are now, and any structural changes (new rows or columns) - An AI summary of the differences This solves so many problems for our users. To name just a few: - Checking what changes your associate made to the model - Figuring out the drivers of valuation changes between periods - Making sure no one has made unauthorised changes The more powerful AI gets, the more you’re going to need this. Model comparison and versioning is one of the key pieces of infrastructure that will allow us to hand off more modelling work to AI. You can try it now on @TracelightAI's platform - link in the comments!
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@s8mb I don't think William Hague's point is valid. Barack Obama spent his early career organising at a local level - being a 'local caseworker'. Didn't stop him.
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@andrewchen If someone's homework reply is 15 pages of meandering AI-generated slop, you just shouldn't hire them It's still a good filter
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andrew chen
andrew chen@andrewchen·
In recent years interviews for execs, product managers, marketers, etc have started to add a homework step so that people can show work output. It can be super helpful signal In recent weeks these homework replies have become overwhelmed with AI slop. Instead of 2-3 succinct pages reflecting a career of deep thinking, you get back fifteen pages of meandering ideas that anyone could generate What's the best way to address this? The best way, of course, is to actually work with them on a work trial so that you can really get a feel for how they act; however this is difficult because it takes a lot of time for them and for you so you have to reserve it for the end of your hiring funnel A more scalable idea is to ask people to present their homework in a recorded presentation so that they actually sign off on everything that they say and it's possible to ask them interactively later If you go much more structured, you risk offending the highest-end talent Other ideas? Open to the thoughts
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taimur
taimur@taimurabdaal·
taimur tweet media
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Peter Fuller retweetledi
Matt Clifford
Matt Clifford@matthewclifford·
We’re excited to announce that @join_ef has raised $200m of fresh capital, including $130m into our management company at a unicorn valuation, to be the natural home of the world’s most ambitious people in the Age of Entrepreneurship 🧵
Matt Clifford tweet media
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@nathanbenaich AI will spread to every corner of the economy but still British Airways will stand firm When the BA mobile app and website have been refactored we will know that the last bulwark has been breached
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Nathan Benaich
Nathan Benaich@nathanbenaich·
ba it webmaster is not a sucker for details
Nathan Benaich tweet media
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@s8mb Nothing standing in your way! Please share when done
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
Always been sceptical of the claim that 'with AI, the juniors aren't going to learn the mechanical basics of the job, so won't become good seniors' Seems easy to build AI that teaches? And would be better than current training. Cursor could have 'learning mode' etc
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Taelin
Taelin@VictorTaelin·
I think for the first time in all these years I feel like I'm finally about to release something that is ready to, and *will*, be massively adopted... ofc it could just flop (and that's fine too!! expected, even), but I never felt like that and that's a very cool feeling
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
'Winter Olympics' possibly the greatest branding of all time This thing is not serious, these people are frolicking in the snow
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Nathan 🔎
Nathan 🔎@NathanpmYoung·
The British Government could 10x its AI Safety Department. We are legitimately world leading.
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
Introducing Tracelight 1.0 After six months, we are live with 5 of the 10 biggest management consultancies in the world, as well as PE funds and asset managers with over $600B in AUM. Tracelight is the best AI add-in to Excel. In testing against the leading alternative add-ins, Tracelight 1.0 was: - The most accurate - 2x faster building analysis on average - 20x faster at finding human errors in complex spreadsheets We’ve been building with early adopters and enterprise partners for months. You can now reach a completely new level of performance in Excel. That’s why today we’re proud to launch a major new version. To celebrate, we're giving 1 month of Tracelight Pro for free to anyone who comments LAUNCH below or TAGs a friend who needs this
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Peter Fuller
Peter Fuller@peterfuller23·
@shivmalik @Markos_mom Shiv I'm a supporter but these mostly seem like good questions you should answer. And you shouldn't complain about someone being an anon on twitter imo
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Shiv Malik
Shiv Malik@shivmalik·
@Markos_mom Sure buddy. You can create straw mans all you want but it’s a game I ain’t gonna play with an anon. Have a nice weekend.
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Markos Mom
Markos Mom@Markos_mom·
Two entrepreneurs want to build a million-person city on Suffolk farmland. - Permanently affordable homes. - "Permission, not subsidy." (their words) The numbers tell a different story entirely IMO. I wrote the bids for half the Homes England feasibility studies. I've delivered housing and infrastructure at scale. Happy to argue any of this. The model proposes 400,000 homes via Community Land Trust, meaning resale prices are capped forever. That's 235x more CLT homes than the sector has ever delivered, ALTOGETHER. When asked how, the founder's answer was one word: "Community land trust." No mechanism. No understanding. Just dismissive platitudes. Cost estimate for 400,000 homes plus hospitals, schools, trams, rail, utilities, nuclear reactors: £130-200 billion. That's conservative. Assuming we were a nation who were actually able to deliver infrastructure properly. They're raising £200 million. For planning. That's 0.13% of what's needed. Investors at £100bn+ scale need 5-15% annual returns. 5% on £100bn = £5 billion per year. Where does £5bn annually come from if prices are capped forever? It can't be government, because they said they weren't asking for subsidy. So it's private investors. The saudis? Quataris? Kuwait sovereign funds? You cannot promise investors market returns AND promise residents prices won't rise. The maths doesn't work. When pressed, the founder admitted: "The SEZ squares the circle." Special Economic Zone. That means tax exemptions, business rates relief and regulatory carve-outs. That's not "no subsidy." That's billions in foregone tax revenue. They want to break ground within this Parliament. ~4 years. That probably sounds really ambitious and achievable if you've never actually been involved in infrastructure planning and delivery at scale. It will take 4 years to commission and deliver a realistic feasibility study at that scale. Never mind the collosal undertaking of putting that amount of land through compulsory purchase orders. The entire UK builds c.200,000 homes per year total. They're proposing double that in one location. Where do the workers come from? The materials? The supply chains? And that's just for the housing, never mind the collosal infrastructure required. Let's look at the land. What do they control? Nothing. By their own admission, 50% of the land is owned by three lords, an Arabian sheikh, and two solar farms. No options. No agreements. A map with a circle. Their plan is to lobby for Development Corporation powers, and use compulsory purchase powers. That's not "permission not subsidy." That's asking the state to forcibly acquire hundreds of millions in private land on their behalf. The founders have stated their company would receive 80 acres of city centre land as "reward." Agricultural land trades around £10k/acre, vs prime city centre in a million-person SEZ at £2-5m/acre. That gift could be worth £150-400 million, and under SEZ rules, there'd be reduced taxation on profits. I believe the founder stated the trust wouldn't be controlled by residents because "democratic choice often runs counter to long-term interests." That's the opposite of how CLTs work. So what do you have? - Fantasy maths - Fantasy land - Fantasy permission - Millions in profit for the two entrepreneurs and their backers - Zero growth for residents. Locked in to low value housing forever - A shift in the overton window on new towns - The two entrepreneurs and their advisory board positioned as the go-to consultants for new towns and cities (the likely grift IMO)
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