Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Phil Quin
24.6K posts
Phil Quin
@philquin
Behind the Cycle podcast: https://t.co/UXFV8K4dcv + wherever else podcasts assemble. [email protected] 🌈
Hastings District, New Zealand Katılım Şubat 2009
1.2K Takip Edilen5.7K Takipçiler
There's counterintuitive, then there's counter-reality. The notion this could HELP the Govt defies decades of research showing voters punish govts for energy price shocks whatever the cause + give no credit for mitigation efforts (Heath 74 Ford 76 Trudeau, Callaghan 79 Carter 80)
English
Hard to overstate what a disaster this is for the Govt.
A PM who’d taken a clear, principled position on the Iran war could rally the country behind the response to the ensuing crisis.
But Luxon went for mealy-mouthed ambiguity, and now they own every red cent of it.
English
Your role is played out. Go where you belong from now on, into the dustbin of history! (Trotsky)
Depart, I say; and let us have done with you. In the name of God, go! (Cromwell)
I look forward to the day when I barely remember your name! (Quin)
Nick@StrayDogNZ
Christopher Luxon in a nutshell
English
Bishop won't try move again after one bad poll. Poll of polls has the coalition (just) ahead. The bad week Luxon is having wouldn't have been any easier for any other Nat - and Bishop's one of the most pro-Israel Nats so he's hardly the right guy for right now.
English
talk of Senior Nats who are list MPs being vulnerable to losing their seats
Nah. Major parties gain/lose candidate votes proportionately with left/right swing
On Curia numbers, National loses 13 seats but also ~13 electorates. So, ~6 list places. Willis, Bishop, Goldsmith safe
Clint Smith@ClintVSmith
This is the thing to watch. Labour+Greens is closing in on the Coalition's support in the polls. If Chippy can credibly say he can govern without TPM that neutralises 1 of National's 3 re-election planks. The others (pray for economic recovery, attack CGT) are already in trouble
English
Apparently this is being called "fake news" because Luxon worked the tables at the event. But I wouldn't dream of saying he didn't work the tables. The man loves a selfie. What I said was he DIDN'T TAKE QUESTIONS, a fact I've confirmed with multiple attendees.
Phil Quin@philquin
Luxon just finished a breakfast fundraiser for supporters in Masterton where he DIDN’T TAKE QUESTIONS -- something I’ve never seen or heard of over a lifetime in politics. If you’re wondering how it went down in the room, ask yourself why I, of all people, was told about it.
English
Luxon just finished a breakfast fundraiser for supporters in Masterton where he DIDN’T TAKE QUESTIONS -- something I’ve never seen or heard of over a lifetime in politics.
If you’re wondering how it went down in the room, ask yourself why I, of all people, was told about it.
English
What's revealing is that they persisted with this obsequious compliance AFTER the Supreme Court striped away any leverage Trump had to inflict pain for doing otherwis. Now, they're just bowing to him by choice. Pathetic.
Helen Clark@HelenClarkNZ
“The #Iran crisis has stripped back the veneer of New Zealand’s independent foreign policy, revealing something far more compliant. The Government has, in effect, stopped speaking with an independent voice.” Got it in one @bryce_edwards #nzpol @TheElders
English
Iranian regime: not cool.
Illegal wars of regime decapitation: also not cool.
Seems straightforward enough but, for Luxon, who's a lot dumber than he's given credit for, it's at least one too many things to hold in his head at the same time.
Clint Smith@ClintVSmith
I feel like Luxon might genuinely not realise when he's not answering a question. 5 or 6 times on RNZ, he was asked whether NZ supports the attacks on Iran and kept saying how bad the Iranian regime is but not saying whether NZ supports the attacks.
English
The Napier Mayor is probably in the wrong but getting lawyers to mediate what’s essentially a political scrap between elected officials is a category error. These things need political remedies, not HR processes.
stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360943…
English
@philquin @1NewsNZ This was more objective & probably why she worked so hard at finding a "line" - she probably resorted to AI for inspiration, she doesn't seem to have any of her own
newsroom.co.nz/2026/02/24/hip…
English
Thought Chippy’s fairly astute speech was getting a fair run on @1NewsNZ tonight until Nicola Willis unveiled the devastating “jelly without concrete” line. Suddenly it was as if Davids Lange & Lloyd George were back among us.
1news.co.nz/2026/02/23/hip…
English
@totaraforest Broken by the Internet, high on their own supply, cowed by the overwhelming self-certainty of a very stupid man, oblivious to their obliviousness.
English
@philquin Everything they’re throwing at us at the moment seems doomed to fail. What’s happened to the renowned National Party machine?
English
This message is so doomed to fail, it fills me with joy to see it.
NZ National Party@NZNationalParty
National’s the team that’s fixing the basics and building the future, so Kiwis can get ahead.
English