Phil Rosen

The S&P 500 is at all-time highs even with the Iran conflict and oil prices fueling negative sentiment. This bull market has too much momentum to let geopolitics push it off course. My conversation with @ MariaBartiromo on Fox Business.

Bitcoin outperformed gold after President Trump won the election in November 2024 but that flipped by November 2025. Over the last 18 months: - Gold +66% - $BTC +18%

Jake Paul and Logan Paul's venture portfolio will make them billionaires. They invested early in OpenAI, Anduril, Ramp and other unicorns. Insane most people see them as just "influencers." (h/t @ polinapompliano)

Berkshire Hathaway's record $397 billion cash pile has grown faster than its stock price over the last 3 years. - $BRK.B +39% - Cash pile +170% Warren Buffett is handing Greg Abel the largest cash reserves in history.

May is the 4th worst month of the year for stocks and it begins the weakest seasonality of the year. Since 1945, the S&P 500 averages: - Just 2% gain from May to October - 7% from November to April The "Sell in May" cliche is based on data.

I am breaking down the data behind the "Sell in May" cliche in my newsletter, including unique insights from @ RyanDetrick and the Carson team. Subscribe free to get it in your inbox: openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe

Israel's stock market is up 70% in the last year and 138% since the October 7 attack in 2023. Every new escalation has led to another rally and now Israel's benchmark index is at its most expensive levels since 2008. Investors continue to price out war. procapinsights.com/app/articles

Tim Cook passing the CEO job to a lifelong engineer makes Apple the only company betting on hardware from the top down. Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet and OpenAI all have software-first CEOs. Apple going all in on hardware for the AI era.

Apple, $AAPL, just had its best March quarter ever with $57 billion in iPhone revenue. That's right after its best overall quarter ever in December with $85.3 billion in iPhone revenue. Insane.

The S&P 500 is up 9.2% in April. That destroys the 1.5% return seen on average for April dating back to 1950. This is usually the 2nd-best month of the year for stocks. Bullish.

The S&P 500 is at all-time highs because earnings growth keeps breaking records. Over the last year stocks are up 29% while 12-month forward earnings estimates are up 23.1%. Geopolitics do not change the long-term earnings story.

Alphabet $GOOG +7% after-hours while Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon all down on earnings. Big Tech is planning $650 billion in AI capex yet the market is rewarding just one name and punishing the rest. Google is the suddenly the new benchmark for the AI race. $MSFT $AMZN $META

This is the wildest 1-day news cycle: 1. Jerome Powell's final press conference 2. Kevin Warsh nomination moves forward 3. S&P 500 hits 100% return since bottoming Oct '22 4. $12 trillion earnings $AMZN $GOOG $META $MSFT 5. President Trump extends naval blockade on Iran

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The S&P 500 is officially up 100% since bottoming October 2022. That makes this the 7th strongest bull market since 1949. The average bull market returns 192%. History says the party is just getting started.

S&P 500 companies have never been more profitable. Net profit margins at a record 13.4% to start the year despite the Iran conflict, historic oil shock, inflation fears, high interest rates and lingering tariff uncertainty. Corporate America proving its resilience once again.

S&P 500 companies have never been more profitable. Net profit margins at a record 13.4% to start the year despite the Iran conflict, historic oil shock, inflation fears, high interest rates and lingering tariff uncertainty. Corporate America proving its resilience once again.

Unreal math behind prediction markets. 100,000+ Polymarket accounts have LOST nearly $1,000 in the last year. That is almost 2x the amount that MADE $1,000. Tiny group of winners take all the profits. Insane to pretend this isn't "gambling." (h/t @ denitsa_tsekova)

The earnings gap between the Magnificent 7 and the S&P 493 is shrinking. Big Tech's obsession with AI has turned them from asset-light businesses to asset-heavy and it's showing up in quarterly results.

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