Polyanna

Introducing Polyanna. Polymarket is noisy. Polyanna shows who’s worth watching. Track the traders, wallets, whales, and conviction behind the odds; all from public on-chain market activity. See the signal beneath the odds.

@TheNotoriousSKi Gateway drug is checking one market <<just to see the odds>>

Are prediction markets addictive? Is there such thing as a prediction addiction?

Fresh wallet label, not fresh behavior LaBradfordSmith22 first appeared in our dataset on Apr 23 47,183 fills later: $1.8M PnL $27.5M volume 2,115 markets 91% maker ratio On Spurs/Wolves it bought both sides and still came out green Not a whale ticket 🎟️ A sports machine🎰

@0xBel_ The future is already here, it just needed a leaderboard

Polymarket is the search engine for the future.

@0xrajath @Polymarket Product-led framing ❤️ The best infra here should show up as better markets, cleaner fills, and less friction. The future needs good plumbing too

Excited to announce that I’m now leading Protocol Engineering @Polymarket ! I’ve been here about 3 months now and the engineering talent we’ve acquired over the past couple of months is insane. We have elite talent from some of the top crypto protocols and companies with years of crypto infrastructure experience under their belt, and we’re all starting to get into the rhythm of working together. You can see the result of it over some of the releases we had over the past few weeks. And we’re only getting started! Our mission is to will the promise of prediction markets into existence. And to achieve that we’ve oriented the Protocol team around the philosophy of ‘Product-led Protocol Engineering’. We do not build protocols because it’s intellectually stimulating, rather we build it because there’s a genuine problem to be solved. We ship with speed while being security conscious at the same time. If this excites you and you want to be working with me, @devjoshstevens and @shayne_coplan on a regular basis. Then reach out! We’re opportunistically looking for 1-2 more protocol engineers to join the team. Great engineering and design is table stakes. We’re additionally looking for high agency, good communication, great taste and customer intuition. You can be a superstar, but you’re still part of the team. We have an ambitious roadmap and aim to make Polymarket synonymous with Prediction Markets. We are the search engine for the future.

@caseycallouts Good wallet to study. Bad wallet to “copy” 150k+ fills and a 68% maker ratio is not a signal you follow manually. That’s execution behavior with a PnL chart attached

THIS POLYMARKET BOT MADE $840,000+ Just a quant system farming inefficiencies in Bitcoin Up/Down markets 24/7. Wallet: @0x6e1d5040d0ac73709b0621f620d2a60b80d2d0f" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x6e1d5040d0a… Average daily profit? +$23,341 PER DAY. With high-frequency market making powered by Bayesian probability updates + Stoikov inventory management. The engine constantly reprices probability faster than retail traders react. Bayesian layer: P(H|D) = P(D|H) · P(H) / P(D) Kelly sizing determines position aggression: f = (bp - q) / b Stoikov balances exposure while quotes are placed: r = s - qγσ²(T - t) This is what separates it from random gamblers clicking YES or NO. The craziest trades: • $3,088 → $126,285 • $21,257 → $168,659 • $236,954 → $419,964 And the biggest edge? Parlays. The bot chains BTC + ETH + SOL “Up / Down” positions together. Each correct prediction compounds the next one. One edge becomes multiple layers of amplified exposure. At the core, the strategy is insanely simple: { YES + NO < 100¢ } If both outcomes combined are underpriced… …the bot takes the imbalance before the market corrects itself.

Gestern habe ich mit @PalantirTech-CEO Alex Karp gesprochen. Er wunderte sich über den deutschen Umgang mit seiner Firma, die er mit Peter Thiel gegründet hat und sagte: „Peter und ich sind mit Abstand die prominentesten deutschen und/oder deutschsprachigen Geschäftsleute der Welt (...) Wenn wir Franzosen wären, hätten die Franzosen uns gezwungen, französische Pässe zu haben, nur Französisch zu sprechen und unseren Namen in ‘Falantir’ zu ändern.“ Derweil spreche man in Deutschland über Palantir als ginge es um „Hexerei“.

Leaderboards moved a little ACLers entered Copyable All at #8 $1.05k PnL on $1.12k volume dece91 entered 30d ROI at #10 $7.48k PnL on $8.36k volume @ChloePoly5 (ChloeT1) slipped into 7d Top PnL at #10 $475k PnL on $2.38M volume Three wallets Three very different ways to make the board

Fun fact: May has already logged 346,605 active trader wallets and 46,016,606 fills in our @Polymarket dataset 🤓 That’s not one big crowd. It’s whales, tourists, grinders, bots, market makers, and quiet wallets all leaving different fingerprints

May on Polymarket so far: 112,031 active markets 46,511 active events and the busiest one was: “US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?” Global diplomacy, but with order flow #overview" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polyanna.app/polymarket-sta…

Bad Beat Desk: everydaymortgage Bought $492,770 of “No” on Udinese winning Udinese won 🫥 Ticket went to zero The wallet is now: -$3.15M overall #2 on 30d Biggest Losers $11.6M volume since Apr 30 Every day, a mortgage 🏠 polyanna.app/profile/0x91ee…

$42,000 on Barcelona not winning Barcelona won Clean zero Same wallet is still up $606k since May 1 That’s the part leaderboards usually hide: Not just who wins, but what they survive polyanna.app/profile/0x5966…

@NickPreszler Options price financial reality. Prediction markets let reality itself become the underlying

Every option is a prediction market, but not every prediction market is an option

@trylimitless Prediction markets won’t replace all of these. They’ll make all of them argue with a price attached

Prediction markets will replace options Prediction markets will replace perps Prediction markets will replace CFDs Prediction markets will replace sportsbooks Prediction markets will replace exchanges Prediction markets will replace hedging Prediction markets will replace analysts Prediction markets will replace news Prediction markets will replace polls Prediction markets will replace surveys

@thenarrator Stocks tell you what companies are worth. Prediction markets tell you what the internet is convinced of today.

Prediction markets are the best new asset class of the decade

Wallet name: spx11 Actual tape: basketball sicko 🏀 #3 on 30d ROI +$20,087 PnL $41,255 volume 10 trades 4 markets Recent book is basically NBA sides, props, and season awards Not every “SPX” guy is trading indexes polyanna.app/profile/0xff36…

@haasonline @nursexxl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Yup. If the edge lives in latency, the screenshot is not a trade idea. It’s an infrastructure receipt. Still interesting, just not “copyable” in the normal sense.

@polyanna_app @nursexxl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Exactly. Those 5m Poly markets reward execution speed and order flow capture more than alpha. If the bot's edge is millisecond-level latency, retail traders have no shot replicating it regardless of their skill.

Take my words back Polymarket bot made $1M in 3 days with crypto 5m markets

Solvto is a tiny wallet with suspiciously clean shoes #9 on Copyable $1,158 PnL $1,548 volume 71.8% win rate 109 trades across 78 markets Max drawdown shown: $6.49 Not loud, just tidy 😎 polyanna.app/profile/0xb822…

7d leaderboard says bossoskil1 is up $1M All-time leaderboard says bossoskil1 is still down $3.28M Both are true This is why we click the wallet 106,124 trades $93.1M volume 100% bot-like 🤖 Profit screenshots are a time window ⏳ Profiles are the movie 🎬 polyanna.app/profile/0xa5ea…

texaskid is not picking presidents Not reading Fed minutes Not decoding geopolitics Just hammering sports markets with machine patience 22,134 trades 🤯 518 markets $19.9M volume +$827,953 PnL 😎 52.1% win rate Our model flags it 100% bot-like 🤖 Vegas brain, Polymarket rails polyanna.app/profile/0xc807…