ponzi _alchemist
1.2K posts

ponzi _alchemist
@ponzialchemist
slot machine digger ~ occasional wave rider
Duckburg Katılım Eylül 2021
1.5K Takip Edilen152 Takipçiler
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@ponzialchemist I think it will be fine and carry on per usual until labor unwinds
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@Globalflows Hi Brother, solid work from you. Curious to know what's your outlook on the housing market for the next 3-5 years? Do you see home prices also moving higher along with the risk assets? Or will it stagnate with rising interest rates? Thanks
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ponzi _alchemist retweetledi

some ingredients for a bull market;
1. rotation. money doesn’t disappear it rotates.
2. wall(s) of worry. once they’re gone everyone’s in & there’s no one left to buy.
3. stocks not reacting bearishly to signals perceived to be bearish. there's very little the market doesn't price in.
it’s remarkably efficient & can be seen every week via expected moves
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch
*FEDEX NOT GIVING FY PROFIT VIEW DUE TO UNCERTAIN GLOBAL DEMAND Meanwhile, the S&P 500 market is less than 1% from a new all-time high.
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@vtchakarova Now, what if China decides to attack Taiwan?
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They largely buy at the top because they are short the correlation of BTC prices and funding markets, so when the market trades down like in 22 they don't have access to cash and when they do have ready access to cash BTC is near the highs. This wrong way correlation risk creates a drag on their execution (Their avg px is already near the ATH from pre election) and creates the ultimate risk that capital markets are expensive to tap when their bonds are puttable or mature and their only access to cash is selling BTC - creating a self-fulfilling spiral that is the mirror image of the virtuous cycle that is attractive to many now.

Michael Saylor@saylor
If you are not buying bitcoin at the top, you are leaving money on the table.
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This feels like Dec '21 to me. The market was up a ton and things were so frothy before the Fed decided to shift policy.
The $SPX tanked ~4%, caught the obligatory end-of-year bounce, and then met its maker in January.
Backing a recovery bounce: You can also see today that traders want to reflexively sell big percentage moves in the VIX, and probably are emboldened due to "holiday theta".
Additionally there are a lot of 1DTE puts that were worthless yesterday AM, that are now worth something to sell today.
But overall we think that yesterday was more of a spasm and warm-up vs the full move.

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ponzi _alchemist retweetledi

We’ve been majorly long since the August bottom. Near 100% long, and I only pulled back in late September but quickly rebought the dip.
I remain very long. Bears are more concerned about timing the top but don’t realize how much money they’ve left on the table even if they were flat instead of short.
And they’re not going to be let into this next leg up either because they will wait on a crash that isn’t coming yet. $630 $SPY.

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@hongwangusa @618fibtrader @LearningAlways_ Election volatility may ensue over coming day or few so just be careful with positions in place
Aka be in ur well-placed positioning and runners as you can see top #shylobots are along with me 👁️🤲
And if ur a pro, also scalp w/ good R:R + smaller size
5747 🗝️ for 🐂
Win 🏆
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THE UNPARALLELED BEAUTY OF #TheOrder 🗝️
🎯#1 ✅ 5747
🎯#2 ✅ 5727-07
Shylo’s 5858 🩸 and 5808 “critical pivot” changing lives around the world once again 🔮🤲
🎬
shylo シ no discord, no telegram@CallMeShylo
@Incdpd2 A little support here around 5740 for counter trend scalp But yes: 5727 🎯 is (zone #2 🎯) as I said 👇next up if we stay bearish using our second half of position 🤲 Banked half + remaining half in pics 📸 Already a risk free winning trade 😏 And riding it out like a 👑
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@MegaTrader007 @rbswingtrader because markets drop and bounce always :-)
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@rbswingtrader why your chart always draw bounce if drop and reject if pump?
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@ponzialchemist I don't expect 42k personally. 54k floor for me (as of now)
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@PhilSmith_1 run up to election from here but no new ATHs, final flush to new lows year end before the next bull leg.
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