larry

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larry

@predexonIntern

co-founder @predexon, backed by @alliance.

San Francisco Katılım Aralık 2024
92 Takip Edilen113 Takipçiler
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
Photo of my cofounder and I back when we were just two college kids at Berkeley. I was on track to graduate with a double major in CS and Math, and had multiple full-time offers lined up. Then we got into @alliance. We decided to go all in on building @predexon. I dropped the math major and graduated that semester with just a CS degree. School teaches you to maximize optionality. Startups are about deliberately giving most of it up.
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
@BlockRunAI Amazing progress, building the foundation for the agent economy
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BlockRunAI
BlockRunAI@BlockRunAI·
This week at BlockRun: → Launched SocialClaw — 7 X/Twitter marketing intelligence workflows → ClawRouter crossed 5,400 GitHub stars → All data auto-saved locally — you paid for it, you keep it Next: prediction market signals from X/Twitter sentiment data. github.com/BlockRunAI/Cla…github.com/BlockRunAI/soc… 🦞
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
Met a young 44-year-old named Alex yesterday. He wants to build a prediction market trading bot. Maybe even a full trading desk. He’s eager to get started. Relax, I said. Think in decades, not quarters. First spend a few years decoding contracts and rebuilding the data the official APIs forgot to expose. Then move into a period of quiet reflection maintaining archive nodes, websocket infra, and backfilling historical orderbooks. After that, manually match equivalent markets across venues in CSV files so you can figure out whether two markets are actually the same event. Give it enough time, and one day, maybe in your early 60s, you’ll finally be ready to think about alpha. Thoughts on the roadmap I laid out for him?
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
Sports markets probably have the hardest integrity requirements of any prediction market category. You’re building on top of a live game with leagues, players, insiders, and huge information asymmetries. So it makes sense that the integrity stack matters. Polymarket data could become a major signal here - and an additional revenue line.
Shayne Coplan 🦅@shayne_coplan

Excited to announce our partnership with @PalantirTech and TWG AI to build the next generation sports integrity platform. Some color on why this is significant: Today, in the state-by-state regulatory framework, leagues have limited visibility into what's happening in their markets, fragmented tooling, and have to choreograph their compliance desires across dozens of state regulators with no unified standard. Additionally, the technology being used is rudimentary compared to what's actually possible. The shift to a federal regulatory framework is the chance to innovate around the entrenched, fragmented, and antiquated infrastructure and build this the way it should have been built. Palantir's anomaly detection and data integration is second to none. TWG AI brings deep financial infrastructure and sports expertise, and is owned by TWG, which has ownership stakes in the Lakers, Dodgers, Chelsea, and more. These are the right partners to build something that actually holds up and gets adoption - utilizing our collective domain expertise to build a solution specifically suited for the risk profile of sports markets. If we do this right, our hope is its use will extend beyond sports prediction markets and be valuable to all stakeholders in the sports ecosystem. For the love of the game.

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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
@predexon Excited to announce some of our partnerships soon.
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Predexon
Predexon@predexon·
10+ copy-trading apps and bots are already achieving same-block copy trading with Predexon infra. They detect pending trades in the mempool, react before first confirmation, and submit through our execution layer fast enough to land in the same block as the wallet they’re tracking. If you’re still waiting for confirmed trades, you’re already behind.
Predexon@predexon

🚨 Prediction market trades - before they confirm. Many builders already use Predexon WebSockets for the fastest signals powering: • copy trading • analytics • trading agents Until now we surfaced confirmed trades faster than anyone else. Now we stream pending transactions straight from the mempool. ⚡ Detect trades before confirmation 🎯 Same-block copy trading In some cases your copied trade could confirm before the wallet you’re copying. Pair it with the Predexon Trading API and the execution loop becomes extremely powerful.

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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
HIP-4. We are ready.
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
@crypt0b3ar A lot of inefficiencies can be exploited currently
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Bear
Bear@crypt0b3ar·
@predexonIntern election polls update so often arb window stays wide open
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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
Polymarket empirical data markets can be a goldmine. The underlying asset often has rich, liquid data elsewhere, so you can model fair value there and then trade against a smaller, less liquid orderbook mostly driven by retail order flow. Same signal, weaker market. That’s alpha.
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Predexon
Predexon@predexon·
Predexon 🤝 BlockRun Excited to partner with @BlockRunAI - the leading payment layer for the agent economy. We’re working toward enabling AI agents to access the Predexon API via x402, so agents can programmatically pay for prediction market data and trading infrastructure. This means agents will be able to: • query prediction market intelligence • stream real-time market data • execute trading strategies autonomously. More soon.
BlockRunAI@BlockRunAI

@blockrunai enables AI agents to pay and get paid — seamlessly We're partnering with leading LLM providers and intelligence services like @attentionvc and @predexon to unlock real AI agent productivity.

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larry
larry@predexonIntern·
Photo of my cofounder and I back when we were just two college kids at Berkeley. I was on track to graduate with a double major in CS and Math, and had multiple full-time offers lined up. Then we got into @alliance. We decided to go all in on building @predexon. I dropped the math major and graduated that semester with just a CS degree. School teaches you to maximize optionality. Startups are about deliberately giving most of it up.
larry tweet media
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