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aaron
5.7K posts
aaron
@probaaron
actuary, prediction market analytics co-founder @kalshinomics 🚵♂️
denver Katılım Şubat 2025
2.6K Takip Edilen3.7K Takipçiler
Hey @mattkalish I have friends at Kalshi saying you can’t keep this up for another week.
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@stevebrubaker agree, too many lazy arguments on both sides. data would help
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@probaaron I’d like to see a more honest representation of the PM model and detractor arguments. Honesty and transparency of positions is needed. Role of market makers and the revenue they are making should be openly discussed and numbers made available.
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aaron retweetledi
BREAKING: exchange makes money when people trade on exchange
“Kalshi wins when you lose”
yeah, and when you win too
x.com/FairPredicts/s…
FairPredicts@FairPredicts
You aren't trading against your neighbor. You're trading against trillion-dollar market makers. Our ad campaign is live across Washington, DC highlighting the TRUTH about Kalshi.
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If you’re an active trader of prediction markets, you need to be in this group chat.
We been discussing trades and plays, most importantly, help each other get better.
Who wants in?
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@MickBransfield wild that they can hide donor info.. who could it possibly be
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@probaaron And FairPredicts is a dark money group hiding its donors.
Who could possibly be funding them?
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@GenaTheCroco ah fair, they showed up on the leaderboard once and had a massive negative pnl, wonder where they're at now
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when the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency @pulte follows @Kalshinomics for the razor tight spreads on Parcl/Polymarket home value markets
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It’s 7:42pm PST. What do you think Kalshi’s PR team is working on rn?
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@TheNotoriousSKi good to know, means something coming from the leader of the coup
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@probaaron Nah I think there was a misunderstanding. Someone was too quick in jumping to conclusions based on background b roll footage or something.. community gets too defensive too quickly whenever the news highlights something bad.
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50 Minutes identifies 50 Pence as an insider..? 🛰️
this industry needs more serious people and stronger data integrity before making accusations like this
x.com/polyint/status…
50 Pence@polyint
I was cool with @Deebs_DeFi insinuating I was a traitor, treasonoor, criminal, insider trader, etc., but wtf is this trader label icon? 🛰️🛰️🛰️ Satellite? As in my trades revolve around the insiders? Are you calling me a CopyTrader? Now that is false and defamatory. I demand a retraction and that @CBS rename the show to "50 Minutes" in my honor and as an admission of their decades of lies, cause everybody know w/ commercials the show sure as shit ain't 60minutes long.
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Dor Brothers should just run White House comms at this point
x.com/thedorbrothers…
The Dor Brothers@thedorbrothers
WHITE HOUSE Song: 21 Savage, Young Nudy - STEPBROTHERS
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Not offering parlays, which have no utility as a risk management tool and are super fucking addictive, would be a different, more concrete way of demonstrating that you care about trader health and safety, but whatever.
Tarek Mansour@mansourtarek_
We’re funding a new Financial Trading category within NCPG to advance trader health & safety. While financial markets have different incentive structures than casinos and sportsbooks, there is still risk of irresponsible trading, whether it’s active stock trading, short-dated options, levered futures, crypto, or prediction markets. NCPG’s initiative will invest in education and awareness of our responsible trading resources - self assessments, risk management, account limits, and more. As retail participation in markets increase, we have a responsibility to balance free markets and individual responsibility with customer education and safety guardrails. We want to set a new standard for the industry and hope other retail financial platforms join us. news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-ncpg-…
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