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@PrometheusCHT

CIO & Founder | Equities + Macro + Vol. Critical Rationalism. Complexity. Humanism. Bold conjectures, conditionally held. 🇦🇺 🇬🇧 🇬🇷 🇮🇱 🌻🦁🌞 🏉 🥊 🏊

London, England Katılım Aralık 2021
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CHT
CHT@PrometheusCHT·
Advocating for: Humanism, universalism, liberty, free inquiry, reason, rationalism, open society, secularism, pluralism, truth-seeking and science. Supporting: the Enlightenment, the West, Israel and Iranian freedom. Arguing against all tyrannies of mind & state: Islamism, fanaticism, totalitarianism, pseudoscience, Marxism, intersectionalism, historicism, scientism, and all dogma that fears criticism.
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Zineb Riboua
Zineb Riboua@zriboua·
90 million Iranians don’t have access to the internet, and we have the IRGC sycophants on X posting whatever they want, it should be a rule that regime operators cannot use a social media platform unless their people have access to it as well.
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Colin Wight (not Colin Wright)
I’m waking up to the news that people have discovered that French theory, most commonly known as postmodernism (more correctly poststructuralism) is behind wokeism. I’m totally shocked to hear this. I’d never heard of Foucault, Derrida, or Deleuze before.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
The version numbers are a little confusing and deserve some explanation. Internally, we are working on version 9 of our new foundation model, which is 1.5T params. This is substantially better in every way than v8: data curation, training recipe, size, etc. It is also optimized to run on a Blackwells. The public facing v4.2 is based on foundation model v8, trained on Hoppers, with significant shortfalls in training data quality, comprehensiveness and proportionality. It is also only 0.5T in size. The difference between Grok foundation model 8 and 9 is gigantic.
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Peter Boghossian
Peter Boghossian@peterboghossian·
3. What's the strongest argument against your position? Steelman it. 2. If you *felt* your belief was true but the evidence was overwhelmingly against it, would you still believe? 1. If your belief was false, would that make you a worse person?
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Peter Boghossian
Peter Boghossian@peterboghossian·
Five Socratic-based questions to improve your thinking. 1/2 5. What would it take to change your mind? Be specific. 4. If your best reason for believing that was false, would you still believe? (That's called a "real reason check".)
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Shabbos Kestenbaum
Shabbos Kestenbaum@ShabbosK·
I debated a useful idiot on radical Islam. It was horrifying. Leftists openly celebrate the rise of Islamism; you need to watch this:
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Navid
Navid@DooghMerchant·
"I neither asked for nor desire your disgraceful pardon. In response to the bloody massacres of January and the recent criminal executions, it is unquestionably we, the oppressed people of Iran, who stand in the position to forgive you. However ... we neither forgive nor forget."
Reza Younesi رضا يونسى@RezaYounesi

AmirHossein Moradi and Ali Younesi, in two separate letters from Evin and Ghezel Hesar Prisons, have stated that they do not accept any "pardon" from the Iranian regime. Both Sharif University students, they have been imprisoned for the past six years and one month. Here are the messages they issued a few days ago: #Amirhossein_Moradi from Evin Prions: The smiling faces of my dearest friends (Vahid, Pouya, Babak, Mohammad, Shahrokh, and Abolhassan) at the moment of their separation and transfer from Evin to Ghezel Hesar Prison, where they refused to submit in humiliation to your vile regime until their very last breath, remain before my eyes. I also think of their mothers and fathers. As I stated explicitly in September 2024, I repeat once again: I neither asked for nor desire your disgraceful pardon. In response to the bloody massacres of January and the recent criminal executions, it is unquestionably we, the oppressed people of Iran, who stand in the position to forgive you. However, know this with certainty: we neither forgive nor forget. Until the people of Iran are freed from your tyranny, I will not even think of my own release from captivity, nor will I beg it from you. #Ali_Younesi from Evin Prison: On Monday, May 11, 2026, I was handed a notice dated February 23, 2026, under the title of the “22 Bahman Amnesty,” stating that the remainder of my prison sentence (7 months) had been pardoned. First: I have never requested a pardon, nor will I ever do so. Freedom is a stolen right. We do not beg for what has been taken from us; we fight to reclaim it. Second: I have role models: six proud cellmates who were sent to the gallows. Every day and every moment, their memory lives within me and their voices echo in my ears. They did not bargain for their lives; shame on me if I bargain for my freedom. Third: In his defense statement, Vahid Bani Amerian said: “Is it we who must defend ourselves, or you?” I too ask: “Is it we who should forgive, or you?” Forgiveness and pardon belong, more than anyone else, to the grieving mothers and fathers. Therefore, to you grieving mothers and fathers: I hope you will forgive any shortcomings on my part, for you alone are those from whom I seek forgiveness. As for all the suffering, torture, and imprisonment endured until now, and whatever imprisonment, exile, and hardship still remain, they are nothing but duty. It is through the strength of your children’s sacrifice that we continue to fight, and we will remain steadfast in this struggle. Fighting for the freedom of the people of Iran is not a source of regret or suffering, but the greatest source of honor.

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Reza Younesi رضا يونسى
AmirHossein Moradi and Ali Younesi, in two separate letters from Evin and Ghezel Hesar Prisons, have stated that they do not accept any "pardon" from the Iranian regime. Both Sharif University students, they have been imprisoned for the past six years and one month. Here are the messages they issued a few days ago: #Amirhossein_Moradi from Evin Prions: The smiling faces of my dearest friends (Vahid, Pouya, Babak, Mohammad, Shahrokh, and Abolhassan) at the moment of their separation and transfer from Evin to Ghezel Hesar Prison, where they refused to submit in humiliation to your vile regime until their very last breath, remain before my eyes. I also think of their mothers and fathers. As I stated explicitly in September 2024, I repeat once again: I neither asked for nor desire your disgraceful pardon. In response to the bloody massacres of January and the recent criminal executions, it is unquestionably we, the oppressed people of Iran, who stand in the position to forgive you. However, know this with certainty: we neither forgive nor forget. Until the people of Iran are freed from your tyranny, I will not even think of my own release from captivity, nor will I beg it from you. #Ali_Younesi from Evin Prison: On Monday, May 11, 2026, I was handed a notice dated February 23, 2026, under the title of the “22 Bahman Amnesty,” stating that the remainder of my prison sentence (7 months) had been pardoned. First: I have never requested a pardon, nor will I ever do so. Freedom is a stolen right. We do not beg for what has been taken from us; we fight to reclaim it. Second: I have role models: six proud cellmates who were sent to the gallows. Every day and every moment, their memory lives within me and their voices echo in my ears. They did not bargain for their lives; shame on me if I bargain for my freedom. Third: In his defense statement, Vahid Bani Amerian said: “Is it we who must defend ourselves, or you?” I too ask: “Is it we who should forgive, or you?” Forgiveness and pardon belong, more than anyone else, to the grieving mothers and fathers. Therefore, to you grieving mothers and fathers: I hope you will forgive any shortcomings on my part, for you alone are those from whom I seek forgiveness. As for all the suffering, torture, and imprisonment endured until now, and whatever imprisonment, exile, and hardship still remain, they are nothing but duty. It is through the strength of your children’s sacrifice that we continue to fight, and we will remain steadfast in this struggle. Fighting for the freedom of the people of Iran is not a source of regret or suffering, but the greatest source of honor.
Reza Younesi رضا يونسى tweet media
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spiked
spiked@spikedonline·
The sexual sadism of Hamas can now never be denied: buff.ly/j7RmhFT
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Brett Caughran
Brett Caughran@FundamentEdge·
A big pivot from Ken Griffin on AI: “Number one is, in the last few months, there has been a step change in the productivity of the AI toolkit. It is profoundly more powerful than it was just nine months ago. And for us at Citadel, that has allowed us to unleash a much broader array of use cases for AI. And it has been really interesting to watch, to be blunt, work that we would usually do with people with masters and PhDs in finance over the course of weeks or months being done by AI agents over the course of hours or days. These are not these are not mid-tier white collar jobs. These are like extraordinarily high skilled jobs being, I'm going to pick a word, automated by agentic AI. And I gotta tell you, I went home one Friday actually fairly depressed by this because you could just see how this was going to have such a dramatic impact on society. When you witness it in your own four walls, when you see work that used to be man years of work being done in days or weeks, it's like, wow, like that's the first time I've seen real impact in our four walls.” This echoes my own experience with agents and the conversations I am having with students, friends & clients. The toolkit has dramatically transformed and it feels like in finance, for the first time, AI is real.
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CHT@PrometheusCHT·
The banality of evil Presenting activist historiography that inverts reality. Pretending to be the good empathetic guy. Pretending injustice only runs one direction. Pretending victimhood is a uniquely colour-coded phenomenon. Pretending losing wars you start has no consequences.
Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani@NYCMayor

Today marks Nakba Day, an annual day of remembrance to commemorate the expulsion of more than 700,000 Palestinians between 1947 and 1949 during the creation of the State of Israel and the year that followed. Inea is a New Yorker and a Nakba survivor. She shared her story with us — one of home, tradition and memory over generations.

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Cullen Roche
Cullen Roche@cullenroche·
I did a small update on our bond escape velocity tool. This shows the theoretically optimal point on the yield curve (or where your duration risk is limited). We added a shock scenario analysis and historical background on how escape velocity would have looked historically. As of today the escape velocity point is 4.54 years.
Cullen Roche tweet media
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Agustin Lebron
Agustin Lebron@AgustinLebron3·
Fascinating that it doesn't seem to occur to these post-economic people to pass on their knowledge and experience. Teach, coach, mentor some bright kids, etc. The fact it's seen as low status, when it even gets considered, says a lot about the solipsistic culture they're in.
Deedy@deedydas

The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen. Over the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope AI estimation). Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there. Worse yet, layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI. As a result, 1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb. Everyone's trying to align with a new set of career "paths": should I be a founder? Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI? should I get into AI? what company stock will 10x next? People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more. 2. There’s a deep malaise about work (and its future). Why even work at all for “peanuts”? Will my job even exist in a few years? Many feel helpless. You hear the “permanent underclass” conversation a lot, esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think "man, if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago, I could retire" 3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed. Many have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just "start a company". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall: middle management is being hollowed out in many companies. 4. The rich aren’t particularly happy either. No one is shedding tears for them (and rightfully so). But those who have "made it" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some, comparison is the thief of joy. For some, they escape to NYC to "live life". For others still, they start companies "just cuz", often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30, they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said "and do what? right now, everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell, I will only have money." I understand that many reading this scoff at the champagne problems of the valley. Society is warped in this tech bubble. What is often well-off anywhere else in the world is bang average here. Unlike many other places, tenure, intelligence and hard work can be loosely correlated with outcomes in the Bay. Living through a societally transformative gold rush in that environment can be paralyzing. "Am I in the right place? Should I move? Is there time still left? Am I gonna make it?" It psychologically torments many who have moved here in search of "success". Ironically, a frequent side effect of this torment is to spin up the very products making everyone rich in hopes that you too can vibecode your path to economic enlightenment.

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Josh Wolfe
Josh Wolfe@wolfejosh·
A quick article on the inevitability and superiority of CAPITALISM always and everywhere once you realize free choice and free preference and diversity of both lead to EXCHANGE ...which give us PRICES ...which gives us INFORMATION ...which gives us SURPLUS ...which gives MORE...
Josh Wolfe@wolfejosh

x.com/i/article/2055…

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CHT@PrometheusCHT·
How come Democrats don't seem to ask whether enemies of the West want an unelectable Democratic party? How come reason does not guide them?
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