pavan rajavarapu

@damskotrades Looks good my friend. God bless you and family.

turned 33 last week family nature peace unc arc is real

@lourenco_vs Obrigado :)

This original post was my best guess pattern for BTC which I laid down back in February. And this is how price has been tracking it. I would say it´s been doing a pretty bang on job.

@lourenco_vs Glad you survived this. Keep racing and be safe.

And to think that the kids these days cry about their meme coin getting rugged or their McDonalds French fries being delivered cold...

@ChartingGuy Thank you CG. I am no hater. Please dont block me :). Love your content and posts.

@damskotrades Happy birthday to the big boy.

you don’t notice it until suddenly they’re not so little anymore 10!

@lourenco_vs Good to hear that you are recovering well. Thanks for the update.

$BTC Hi gang, hope everyone is well. Im already at home recovering after 2 nights at the hospital. Wrt to BTC and in a very simplistic way, with the break of trend and my entry signal giving us a high chance 60k won't be revisited, at least anytime soon with this trend reversal. Some nasty pullbacks are possible, low 70s for example, but as far as Im concerned the macro trend up will continue. Dont go aping in randomly and carelessly, but also make sure you have upside exposure. Best, L

@TradingSailor Thank you for this.

$BTC Tailoring a MONTHLY TFs suit for Bitcoin using numerology system 2. The AI was refusing to draw what I wanted, use my lines. #BTC

@lourenco_vs Please get well soon. Also please keep me updated on your progress and health. I will pray for you.

This how it all ended unfortunately. At the hospital with broken ribs and a punctured lung. Speak soon when I’m up and running.

@EtherRawl No you are not wrong about 2025. Well predicted. BTC did hit 126k in 2025.

GM fam, I reminded about this post I made right before Trump even took office in early 2025 — back when tariffs weren’t even a thing yet, outlining how 2025 could play out in my view, Option one: we get a recession as Trump heavily taxes other countries. Option two: Trump forces Jerome to cut rates by manipulating the unemployment rate and other financial tools. Also added a small prediction, BTC to 150k, ETH to 6,500–7,000 and SPX to 7,000+. What actually happened is that the tariffs didn’t create a recession because Trump folded, and normal rate cuts were delayed due to the uncertainty around the tariffs. Now we’re in 2026, more than a year later, and we can clearly see what unfolded and what didn’t. The most important tip I can give you is this: no recession happened in 2025 and it’s not happening now in 2026 either. Which means it’s not too late for my targets. So… was I wrong?

let's talk about how we see the year 2025: there are 2 big and broad scenarios. 1: the most unlikely scenario is that we will see a recession in the first 6 months of Trump's mandate where he will force other countries to tax very heavily (this is the most unlikely scenario) 2: the scenario I expect is that 2025 is the year of sale and not the year of purchase, we want to see how Trump will force Jerome Powell to cut rates little by little and not all to 0 all at once -even if this were a scenario where something happens and the rates will be aggressively cut to 0, it is and will remain an opportunity to buy stocks/crypto assets because trump will not let the market fall overall, I see that 2025 will be a good year with ups and downs but more up because it is the year of blow of top with btc towards 150 eth towards 8/10k spx towards 6400/7000 and so on, and the year 2026 will be the year of a "bear market" recession

@damskotrades Dank je wel :)

@lourenco_vs That helps me alot. Thank you.

@r_pavan Not leaving, just stepping back.

Morning, as per my last post I will stepping back from this app quite significantly. You do know my overall thesis, there's no point for me to be posting every day, all day. This actually has been a net negative for me because I haven´t been getting any value from it, other than knowing I was able to help someone here or there. I will post important updates when I think there´s a reason for it. I have a number of projects going on, and those cash generating businesses need to be cared for and need more time invested on my part. Crypto will always be here, Im quite invested on spot, charts will go up and down, I will just pay attention at major inflection points. God speed and see ya soon.

@Matt41145588 Fingers crossed for BTC Sir.

CRYPTO 👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀 MAKE OR BREAK ZONE RIGHT HERE AND NOW!!!! ⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️

@WOLF_Bitcoin_ Do you see BTC going down in Q4 to 35k to 40k this year ?

@lourenco_vs Thank you very much Sir. Obrigado.

#CycleAlphaIndicator An important follow up on this. I built this indicator mainly for a long term buy-and-hold strategy, just allowing for protection against large drawdowns and capturing most of the upside. I have also made sure that this indicator, when the signal is fired it is as credible as possible, so by definition this is not meant to wild guess tops and bottoms, but it should be understood as a confirmation tool, that acts way before your typical "confirmation trader". I have also coded it in a way that it fires the signal before real confirmation, meaning in the 2-Day candle previous to actual confirmation, which is what I called it being "LIVE" as you can see on the chart now. So in order to actually confirm this signal we need certain conditions to be met over the next 2 days, so although this is still not a final print it´s more of a "heads up". If/when confirmed, we can then start going into aggressive buying mode on obvious price pullbacks i.e. 5-10% drawdowns (it´s obviously not certain that those pullbacks will come, but they have happened a few times in the past).

@btcanalytica Thank you for sharing your opinion.

@r_pavan We could go lower, yes. My thoughts are that I don’t care. If we go lower, I will continue buying. If we go above the fair price, I will start selling. In the meantime, bots make me money.

Will the D-trend flip bullish?

@lourenco_vs You are the best sir. I book mark your BTC posts :)

Quite interesting how the path Ive laid down back in February is evolving no?

@lourenco_vs Muito Obrigado

@lelos_11 The issue is Grok gives me different answers sir. First it said 2 and then said 0.3 and 0.5. I know it is somewhere between 1 and 2.

@r_pavan Grok can help you,sir. grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5…

2025 is in the rear view - but the "Retire on Bitcoin" numbers have barely changed. My retirement guide estimates, with a $100k/yr living cost (2026 dollars)... 3.5 - 4.5 BTC will be needed to retire by 2030 for many people. Just pick your age and retirement year.