nobody jones

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nobody jones

nobody jones

@raindrop_fallin

"Smaller size, wider stop loss is the key" - Palobar. "It's about lowering the cost of being wrong and changing your mind" – anonymous

Oort Cloud Katılım Aralık 2021
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
Everything seems to be happening by itself. From atoms and cells, to stars and galaxies. Thoughts and emotions. Even consciousness. I can't get this notion out of my head.
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David
David@sweetasiandude·
$wheat December contract. Multiple d targets here at 656'2 and 652'4. June 1 is a weekly timing target so look for a turn from either of these 2 numbers.
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
👀
VolumeLeaders@VolumeLeaders

$IBIT - An interesting thing happened yesterday. The #1 trade in $IBIT arrived at the LOD as a late print, with price much higher at the time of its arrival. Almost always, that suggests institutions bought, and intend to take price much higher. Price was 2% higher by the time the trade was reported. At the time of its arrival, the chart looked like image 1. A couple hours later, the chart looked like image 2. Price had returned for a test from above. Not ideal for such a large "bullish" trade, but technically fine. By the end of the day, price had closed below the print and midday today price has continued lower (image 3). Best guess, this guy took a terrible fill just to exit the position. Not something you see very often. Maybe price recovers...but so far this isn't looking good for $BTC. #1 was twice as large as the previous #1, clocking in at $1.26B ... Additional context on the site. volumeleaders.com/register

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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@VolumeLeaders From your experience, Bruce, do institutions sometimes express a long position in the underlying by shorting a leveraged inverse ETF such as this? I realize you never exactly know for sure if prints are buys or sells, but from reading the aftermath, do institutions ever do that?
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VolumeLeaders
VolumeLeaders@VolumeLeaders·
$SCO (2x Bear $WTI) - #4 arrived this morning as the gap-up is being tested from above. Meanwhile, $OILD (3x Bear) printed #1 @ $44.44. Steady decline off that in the first hour since its arrival. Unclear to me if institutions got what they came for and are exiting long positions in the inverse ETFs, or if this is all part of a larger process that will play out in the coming sessions with more near-term downside remaining in oil. TBD...but we have plenty of activity to monitor in the $oil trade. $USO, $UCO volumeleaders.com/register
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VolumeLeaders@VolumeLeaders

$SCO (2x Inverse $WTI) - Institutions hit the tape all day long creating the largest one-day cluster since inception. This cluster included the largest individual trade since inception, and two of the top-four trades. Never in the history of this ETF (2008) has this many top-100 ranked trades all arrived on the same date. Institutions appear to be repositioning themselves. Narrative TBD. I'm not going to try to guess what that story might be. It doesn't matter anyway. Near-term bias can be formed in the $6.55-$6.65 range - which will be adjusted on May 28 by the upcoming 1:4 reverse split. Please note that it's common to see positioning arrive in advance of a fake-out move before the real move. Please see how price dunked below #3 last January before ultimately resolving higher. That process took about a week to get even (see first comment for closeup). Then price ran for a couple months. $SCO longs are safe above that #1 and #4. $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $OIL

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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@Guv999 I have a measured move to $40. Seems unlikely but I like it bc most bulls give up below 50. Maybe during the next stock market panic H2 2026 or H1 2027.
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Guv999
Guv999@Guv999·
Be v cautious in general from second half of July 2026 wrt stocks ( General , PM, AI, Resources, whatever) & all cryptos, friendly advice to all Follows 😎👍
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David
David@sweetasiandude·
Martin Armstrong said he was ideally looking for a low in gold the week of April 13. What did we get? A high during that week. This is called an inversion so the timing was right just the price was at the opposing end. Marty just posted that we could get a false move down in gold next week. Ideal low in gold June 1 or 2. Gold could still hit $6000-$8000 in August. The $6561 area should act as resistance or support. This would be a typical 3 month counter trend reaction off the high if this plays out.
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
Optical illusions… An insight into how the brain creates the impression of a self?
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@Guv999 I would pay for a service like this, Guv. ...I would rather make it to the high net worth category, but not there yet.
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Guv999
Guv999@Guv999·
🤔
Darren@UDiamondBalls

@Guv999 Bro still think you could cater to medium net worth investors. If it was me id be creating a website and be transparent about the joining price. Guys like Graddhy, another solid forecaster charge USD$500 per year with 6 month membership blocks. Bro has over 2300 subscribers. Do the math on that 😎 Not telling Guv what to do just my honest thoughts 🫡

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David
David@sweetasiandude·
$CAT short term there's a panic cycle on Thursday so my guess is we bottom Thursday for a bounce up. Big picture there are yearly targets in 2032 and 2033 which is the end of this super cycle. This should be the top in all assets in the west. After this the financial capital of the world shifts to Asia.
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Bob Thompson
Bob Thompson@bobthompsonrj·
@garysavage1 I think the way to short the bubble is to go long the things that will cause the bubble to pop. In this market, soft commodities (agriculture) and energy
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Gary Savage
Gary Savage@garysavage1·
I'd say the odds are good that stocks are well into their bubble phase. Where the top is no one knows. But these can last longer than most people expect, and trying to short a bubble is an extremely efficient way to lose a lot of money very fast.
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Palobar
Palobar@panpalobar·
#gold #silver #preciousmetals "It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!" Quick Note> 1. There is NO pattern of "higher HIGHs, higher LOWs" in silver yet. These are NOT true highs and lows; that is why these same calls in February (and in the past) have failed. 2. The $95.56 level that I noted in February kept us on the safe side. Silver failed to close > that level and declined 37%. Above $95.56, the bulls are in control. Below $75, the bears will be in control. 3. My original idea was that the decline in gold and silver would most likely conclude by April. My max decline for gold was $4150-$4200 (spot). So far, this has been accurate. 4. The short-term situation in gold can be best described imo as "a lack of interest". (in terms of positioning). 5. In late February, I drew your attention to the Feb 17 low. Notice where the recent bounce was rejected. The high came exactly on April 17 (key date). 6. Gold has been forming "Lower highs and lower lows". The big boys are surely watching this. Under $4649, it gets into a tricky position. If we break the May low, it will attract speculative short positions. CONCLUSION In my opinion, the consolidation/correction is not over yet. A retest of the recent lows is still possible. I could be wrong (I have been wrong many times), but I think ~$3800s (gold) and $54 (silver) are still on the table. This is a healthy correction after the massive moves we saw. Long-term, much higher.
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Palobar@panpalobar

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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@sweetasiandude Looks like we're getting exact outcome you cautioned (W1 wick <86.13) - in conjunction w being back below bottom of Palobar's dates, & 4649. Really appreciate you sharing your work. Simply awesome to have another voice of high competency to help us read the tea leaves. Thanks 🙏
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David
David@sweetasiandude·
$silver would be nice to have a strong closing this week
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@panpalobar Your mom sounds like a strong lady. Asking the universe for a positive outcome and better days on the near-term horizon. 💙
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Palobar
Palobar@panpalobar·
All these days, my mother has been suffering from the same issue as I. She has been living with my sister now. Today is her birthday, but unfortunately, her condition has deteriorated again. Depending on her medical examinations, I might have to take her to the hospital.
Palobar@panpalobar

I will share my thoughts after today's close.

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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
@panpalobar All the beautiful messages here are a testament to who you are -and to the type of followers you cultivate. Awesome to have you back, brother. Wishing you peace and strength on your continued recovery.
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Palobar
Palobar@panpalobar·
My dear friends. Thank you for your kind messages. Apologies for my absence. An important personal matter and presentations to family offices in April initially kept me away. During my visit to Athens, I got a cold, which I underestimated. Unfortunately, it later turned into something serious. I am better now, but I will need a few more days to recover.
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
#Duality #NonDuality #Oneness How is it that we all have different experiences if we are not different, separate things? How is it that you yourself appear to be one thing, one soul, one consciousness, and yet you have two eyeballs, two different points of perspective?
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Guv999
Guv999@Guv999·
Looking for a super spike in #WTIC to USD 165-170 levels in coming weeks/next few months, that will be the time to exit Oil stocks for medium term investors. 😎👍
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David
David@sweetasiandude·
@panpalobar identified the high and low range so now let's see what $silver does as this should act as support or resistance. We also have the 86.13 weekly bull reversal so we need a weekly closing above this to keep things bullish. If we spike above and close back down below this reversal that would make me cautious.
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nobody jones
nobody jones@raindrop_fallin·
… So bulls probably a good idea to watch out for a couple weeks here. Feel like I'm probably a decent contrarian indicator at the moment.
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