Ralph R. Smith
12 posts

Ralph R. Smith
@ralpfrsmith
re-tweet = endorsement! @ralph has unblocked you ጥፉ!
Mirinda Island Katılım Temmuz 2025
426 Takip Edilen154 Takipçiler

@martinplaut Did Ethiopia really “recognize” its own landlocking? Ethiopia had no elected national government then - just two rebel movements who exploited the fall of the Derg. It was a geopolitical project which didn’t end, a time bomb for Egypt and the Arabs who supported the rebels.
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Ethiopia is just one of 44 nations around the world that are landlocked. This came about after Eritrea won its independence and statehood: recognised by the UN, African Union and - yes - by Ethiopia
The Jerusalem Post@Jerusalem_Post
Opinion: Ethiopia’s push for Red Sea access reflects economic necessity, not a call for war. jpost.com/opinion/articl…
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@Aaronbarfield @nikolin_paloka You mean “another top”? That is how Tesla made millionaires from Billionaires in the last 5+ yrs, and now or at $500 is a buy zone for them!
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@Kiyya1988 So you don’t have backyard, right? See the difference? We grilled ribeye in the backyard👍🤣😂
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Ralph R. Smith retweetledi

Sisi To Trump: Pressure Ethiopia, Control GERD, Lock a Basin-Wide Veto
Here we go again.
A new headline, the same old mindset. Cairo cannot win a fair deal in Africa, so it runs to Washington and asks for pressure, then calls it diplomacy.
A report dated December 12, 2025 by The National claims Egypt may ask President Trump to pressure Ethiopia into a “joint operation” framework for GERD involving experts from all eleven Nile Basin countries plus African Union representatives. The same report claims Egypt also wants United States support for a treaty that would block Nile Basin countries from building dams without “consultation.”
Let us translate that honestly.
Consultation becomes permission.
Cooperation becomes control.
A shared river becomes a permanent veto.
Really? How?
When turbines need real time decisions, do we call eleven capitals?
When grid stability is at risk, do we wait for committee politics?
When safety decisions must be made in minutes, do we pause for “regional consensus”?
This is not engineering. It is political control wearing a lab coat.
GERD is inside Ethiopia. It is Ethiopian infrastructure, built for Ethiopian development, financed by Ethiopians. You cannot refuse to lift one bag of cement, then arrive later demanding the keys.
Joint operation means shared control. Shared control only makes sense when there is shared ownership. That is why genuinely shared projects are run jointly, because the owners share cost, risk, and benefit.
And the treaty idea is worse.
A rule that stops Nile Basin countries from building dams without “consultation” is not cooperation. It is a basin wide permission system. A basin wide veto. A plan to freeze upstream development forever.
Yes, Egypt has water security concerns as all nile basin countries do. But concern does not equal entitlement. Concern does not give the right to control Ethiopia’s infrastructure. Concern does not justify outsourcing African disputes to Washington.
If Cairo wants real cooperation, act like a normal basin partner. Stop chasing special privileges. Stop treating upstream development like a threat that must be blocked. Stop trying to turn consultation into consent.
Ethiopia’s position can be firm and mature at the same time.
Yes to transparency and data exchange.
Yes to dam safety coordination and emergency communication.
Yes to drought planning guided by hydrology.
Yes to African Union facilitation.
No to joint operation of a sovereign Ethiopian dam.
No to any treaty that creates a permanent veto over upstream development.
The Nile is shared. Ethiopia’s sovereignty is not.
No, Cairo. Not now. Not ever.
#GERD #RenaissanceDam #GrandEthiopianRenaissanceDam #NileBasin #BlueNile #Ethiopia #Egypt #Sudan #SouthSudan #Uganda #Kenya #Tanzania #Rwanda #Burundi #EthiopiaEgyptSudan

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Ralph R. Smith retweetledi

The heavy engagement of Eritrean tweeps on Ethiopian affairs, while they barely bring their own affairs into a picture, reflects a deeper regional dynamic in which Eritrea functions as a proxy state whose core national interest has long been to undermine and destabilize Ethiopia. Created and sustained in part as a geopolitical buffer, Eritrea serves as the regional middleman for Egypt who has centuries-old strategic obsession with controlling the Nile’s headwaters. Cairo, who see strong and unified Ethiopia as an existential threat, quietly support Asmara and via that turned Eritrean “nationalism” into an outsourced Egyptian foreign policy tool.

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Ralph R. Smith retweetledi

ፅንፈኛ ብሄረተኝነት
በቀላሉ የማይድን የአእምሮ በሽታ ነው‼️
-ውሸታም ያድርጋል‼️
-ህሊናቢስ ያደርጋል‼️
-ሴረኛ ያደርጋል‼️
-መሀይም ያደርጋል‼️
-የማመዛን ችሎታን ይሰልባል‼️
-ጨካኝ ያደርጋል‼️
-በሀሰት መስካሪ ሀጥያተኛ ያደርጋል‼️
-ለሌላው ርህራሄ እንዳይኖርህ ያደርጋል‼️
-የሀገር ፍቅር እንዳይኖርህ ያደርጋል‼️
-ጠላቴ የሚለውን ለማጥፋት የትኛውንም አይነት ኢሰብአዊ ድርጊት እንድትፈፅም ይገፋፋል‼️
-ለጠላት በቀላሉ የሚገዛ ባንዳ ያደርጋል‼️
ፈጣሪ ከዚህ በሽታ ስለጠበከኝ አመሰግንሀለሁ 🙏

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