R. Anjum Pervez

I built a personal research terminal to find setups and analyze sector rotations using Claude. I've named it YEAGER. It'll inform my analysis and trading going forward, and I hope it provides insights to the community here. Here's how it works ⬇️

Your worst enemy cannot harm you as much as your own unguarded thoughts

@Remzztrades Sorry to inform I'm in this one boss so it's going nowhere

Btw $NOK going 3-4x from here. Dont miss that one. Peace ✌🏻

Morning Luc! Wanted to ask you your thoughts on stock offerings. I've been in $VELO since last week, had a great 25% trade in just a few days. Have a look at what happened today. Do you ignore something like this since the core thesis hasn't changed? Not sure what my protocol is here

Felt artsy this morning...made a graphic. How I manage winning positions...simplified:

Move back into defensive themes the past week as markets frontrun any potential bad news that may come out of the Strait

With the insane run we've seen in $QQQ and $SOXX, it feels like a market that may need some digestion. I looked into an instance that popped up earlier this week, namely when all the MAs are stacked and the Nasdaq closes >2 ADRs above the 10D. Here's what happens historically -> The full sample (n=98) - Close > MA10 > MA20 > MA50 > MA 200 AND - Close > 2ADR above MA10 The immediate picture is essentially nothing. Over the next 20D, and across the 5D & 10D timeframes the market moves very little in either direction. The 50D is where it gets more interesting. Median return +2.3%, win rate 65%. Of the 34 losing episodes at 50 days, the median loss was -5.1% and the worst was -21.7% (January 2020, four weeks before COVID hit). The 200D is the most compelling number in the study. Of 93 episodes with complete data, 75 were positive. Median return +14.2%, win rate 81%. Of the 18 losers, the vast majority trace directly to identifiable macro shocks (dot-com bust, GFC, COVID, the 2022 Fed rate shock) The setup itself has essentially never produced a meaningful 200D loss in a normal market environment. When it happens at the all-time high (n=53) 53 of the 98 episodes occurred within 2% of the all-time high, including the current one. This is where the near-term picture deteriorates noticeably. The 5D win rate drops and the median return goes negative. Profit taking and short-term chop are the base case in the first week. By 10 days you're back to a coin flip (52%), and by 20 days the win rate recovers to 54% with a median of +0.2%. The 50D median is +1.5% with a 63% win rate, lower than the full sample but still positive. The 200D near-ATH picture is where the data gets most nuanced. Of 48 completed episodes near ATH, 38 were positive. Median return +15.9%, win rate 79%. The 10 losers all came from exogenous shocks. However the loser distribution is notably worse than the full sample: median loss -10.3%, worst -32.0%. When it goes wrong near ATH it goes more wrong, because those episodes are disproportionately the ones sitting at structural market peaks just before regime changes. Based on 53 historical precedents in the same configuration, the base case for the next week is mild chop and profit taking. The base case for the next year, absent an exogenous macro shock, is a market that's 15% higher. (Study done using Claude and yfinance data)

@FranVezz I bought at 24 sold at 38, so for sure. Probably 10x from here

$INTC monthly. Is it just getting started? 😤

I do weekly & daily write-ups on whats happening in the market (for personal use) by researching my terminal. This was my write-up from yesterday. The market always knows $MSOS Looking for an entry as soon as this consolidates.

To add to this, Genomics/Health Tech have been doing very well recently. ARK Innovation ETFs been doing okay now that the market's risk appetite is back and guess which one? ARKG - genomics. Every possibilty healthcare & pharmaceuticals might end up being the winner of the AI boom. Sure productivity is cool but nothing else could ever entice people like these sci-fi level drugs that are going to come to market the next 5-10 years

Social arbitrage 101...podcast edition. This is really weird. I started noticing a wave of podcasts all dropping episodes on: - peptides - healthcare - “big pharma” narratives Same week, same theme, different hosts/shows. These aren’t super niche health pods either…they’re mostly business/lifestyle podcasts. So I looked into it. Funny enough, RFK Jr just announced "The Secretary Kennedy Podcast" too, and you don't think he's going to be talking heavily about peptides?? Ok. Oh how about $AMZN getting into the same game yesterday? "Amazon enters weight-loss drug market with integrated management service starting at $25/month". now zoom out. Lots of media attention all at once huh? multiple podcasts, hundreds of thousands of listeners, big headlines, all hitting the same narrative at once. Not random imo. Attention is clustering here. You've heard "volume precedes price", but even more so...attention can even precede volume. Attention, then volume, then price...happening in real time right now with the peptides theme. Feels like the first inning btw. It's mainstream now. It's cool. It's trendy. But stock prices don't reflect the size of this market...yet. Plus we have a clear catalyst (with a date) for the somewhat beaten down peptide-adjacent stocks to rip into. "FDA advisory committee set for July 23-24, 2026 to review peptides for possible compounding". Massive run-up potential. I'm actively building exposure to this basket on any weakness. $HIMS is currently at $29.80...adding on dips. Cc'ing $NVO, $AMZN, $OSCR.

Everyone needs to study @OliverKell_ and his framework. The wedge pop has been my absolute favorite setup recently and the more you look out for it, the more prevalent and universal it seems to be. Been noticing it all over my recent case studies.

These weekly candles are so stupid

$BIRD setting off any red flags for anyone? Feels a bit pets.com ish

Breadth looking really good

$SPY up 10% in 10 sessions. Sample size of 28 occurrences. COVID feels like the most apt analogy for whats occuring here, in that the downturn preceding this was entirely event-driven vs the result of a secular bear market or market crash. Data is unambiguously bullish.

April 14th, 2026 - $QQQ up 12.6% in 10 consecutive winning sessions. >10% gain in 10 straight sessions has only happened once before - July 8-21, 2009 Following this, the market consolidated in the same range for ~44 days before continuing higher. +22.4% over the next 200 days. 1 data point does not constitute a sample you can draw conclusions from, but the scarcity of the precedent is itself meaningful. This is historic. Notably, the run in July 2009 had stronger volume confirmation than what we're seeing here.

@TrumpDailyPosts Added the ticker too just for our convenience. Thanks Mr President

𝗗𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗝. 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝟭𝟬:𝟯𝟮 𝗔𝗠 𝗘𝗦𝗧 𝟬𝟰.𝟭𝟬.𝟮𝟲 Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has proven to have great war fighting capabilities and equipment. Just ask our enemies!!! President DJT

Immaculate. Arguably my favorite trading book ever and a perfect successor to Reminiscences. Can’t wait to get through the rest of them.

Energy was a huge play prior to the last 6 weeks and I would wager this is even moreso the case following the damage to the energy infrastructure across the Middle East. $NEE one that popped up on my revenue and earnings growth screener. Looks fantastic

@KobeissiLetter Where's your playbook now?

BREAKING: Iran officially threatens to close the Bab al-Mandeb Strait "if the situation gets out of control," per Reuters. Details include: 1. Iran says the "entire region and Saudi Arabia will fall into darkness" if the US attacks Iran's power plants 2. The IRGC said it would not hesitate to retaliate if the US targets civilian facilities 3. The Bab al-Mandeb Strait currently accounts for ~12% of global seaborn trade 4. If Bab al-Mandeb is shut, we believe $150/barrel oil is a possibility Trump's deadline is now less than 10 hours away.

@nhfortini No limit to what you can do besides your creativity x.com/raptrader7/sta…

I just spent 15 minutes and created a VCP 8ema pullback scanner across the entire S$P 500 market cap greater than 10B with ADR > 2.5 and when you hover over the symbol you get daily chart. I am blown away honestly ....