Rational Aussie

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Rational Aussie

Rational Aussie

@rationalaussie

Humans are fungible compute. I write about economics and AI. Fix the money, fix the world. #Bitcoin

Katılım Eylül 2011
7.1K Takip Edilen35.2K Takipçiler
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
There is going to be mass unemployment of white collar workers by 2028 and it will collapse the entire debt based Ponzi scheme western governments have relied on for decades to paper over the cracks of a fake economy. The bubble will burst, they will try print again and hand out UBI, but this time they'll get either hyperinflation or social revolution, or both. Bitcoin hits $1m USD by end of 2028 as the world grapples with the biggest sovereign debt crisis in the history of mankind. We are very close to the End Game now. There is no stopping this.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Been listening to a lot of Alan Watts lately. What a legend he was. It's not clear to me what comes after the Fourth Turning, but I think some type of return to spirituality (call it religion? Or community?) or something new, will be a big part of it.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
'AI Agents' are the biggest slop term I have ever heard. Whenever someone uses the term I automatically think they are retarded. What you are after is called Claude. You don't need some useless wrapper. Read and understand the Bitter Lesson. The only software that matters anymore is the software for artificial general intelligence. That's your 'AI Agent'. You don't need some useless slop wrapper company nor some useless 'multi-agent orchestration layer' nor 'vertical AI' nor some slop prompt creator. You don't need any of that shit. You need one AI - and it's what the AI labs provide out of the box. It blows my mind that people still don't get this.
autumnkyoko@akcushman

Request for startups: I want an AI agent that plugs into my slack, email, Attio, LinkedIn, granola, etc. tracks all correspondence with our pipeline + potential prospects — and then reminds us to follow-up if we haven’t heard back from them and ingests all relevant context

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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
I find it amusing watching everyone on here scrambling to build and invest in AI wrapper companies. Deeply lazy thinking. The wave where you could make money building and investing in software is dead. The only way I have got ahead in life to date is through positioning correctly before the next big wave. Software is not it. It's a solved problem now. AI enables infinite replication of all digital artifacts. The next great era is not software, it's hardware, biology and space. You have to do things that are hard to make money. Software is not hard anymore. It's that simple. Humans can sniff scarcity from a mile away even if they don't know how to intuit it. You want to position yourself in front of the next wave of a growing sector and industry, not ones that will shrink.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
@Blackeye808 I'm not criticising you I am simply saying it's not a macro solution (if everyone mowed lawns, supply increases, price decreases, market settles at lower equilibrium). It's good you're making money from it keep it up 👍🏼
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Blackeye
Blackeye@Blackeye808·
@rationalaussie You can't make books and publish them or afford tokens to make AI rendered video without Capital. It's not a career. I was at ZERO. Kids to feed and projects to realise. I won't be mowing lawns this time next year.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
There you have it folks. The solution for every high end white collar worker that gets replaced by AI is to start a lawn mowing business
Blackeye@Blackeye808

@rationalaussie IF YOU HAVE A LAWNMOWER, YOU CAN BE YOUR OWN BOSS AND MAKE DECENT COIN. People are such useless pricks. Find a need and service it. Save and invest in your next idea. Stack skills on your down time. GET GOOD.

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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
If you have a mortgage, and are in a white collar profession right now, you should take very seriously the prospect that you will be 'back to the mines' sooner than you think. Except this time the mines are data centre buildouts. The government will give you a job and allow you to defer mortgage payments indefinitely if you help them build out data centres. They will likely have massive training programs in place to facilitate this, to try to appease the disgruntled, previously high status white collar workers. I expect this to begin in 2028 and not end until we have robots building robots in the early 2030s. If you don't want to work in the mines to survive, you need enough money to not have to work until about 2032. After that we will be in an entirely new era. The interim period, however, is going to be both extremely volatile and extremely dangerous for everyone.
prinz@deredleritt3r

Co-signed under every word of this excellent post. AI adoption will skyrocket to levels that are unimaginable to us today if the labs are actually able to prove that the models can discover novel science. No amount of compute will be enough, and there will be tough decisions to make regarding compute allocation.

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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Nothing short of unwavering nationalism will save this country now. Ending mass migration and beginning the remigration process is now the only thing that matters. Or your children will grow up in Indian culture in a country previously known as Australia.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Modern Australia = India Diversity is our strength = Indians are cheaper than you and better for SlopCorp number 15 Toxic masculinity = we want you so docile and afraid of your own strength that we can replace you with weak Indians who won't revolt (weakest grip strength of any nationality in the world)
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
I am deeply concerned people do not appreciate how fucked the impacts of AI are going to be on the economy, not just in Australia but globally. The entire global economy will collapse through an aggregate demand shock. Many theoretical papers have been written about this now already. It is a global prisoner's dilemma. Businesses are incentivised to cut costs and replace people with AI or their competitors will. Employees are forced to use AI otherwise they will be replaced. Consumers end up with less money to spend because they are unemployed. Because they are unemployed businesses have less revenue and have to cut costs again. And on and on it goes. What is the government doing to address this, you might ask? Importing millions of Indians to replace you. Yeah, the word I am looking for starts with T.
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie

I'm hearing on the grapevine that trying to get a job right now if you're unemployed is like trying to get through the Strait of Hormuz in one piece. Does anyone care to share some anecdotes?

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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Boomer: "Back in my day, we just looked the Strait right in the eye, and with a firm handshake they let us pass through. Have you tried that??"
Griefcliff@griefcliff

@rationalaussie I think getting though the strait is possible with effort and skill

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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
@judge_au_au Why? What are we constructing? More houses for Indians? For infrastructure for Indians? Genuinely why bother?
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Akrasia
Akrasia@judge_au_au·
@rationalaussie If you want to actually work and not just push a pen around paper or play on a computer you can get a job tomorrow on any construction site in Australia.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
I'm hearing on the grapevine that trying to get a job right now if you're unemployed is like trying to get through the Strait of Hormuz in one piece. Does anyone care to share some anecdotes?
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Lots of great tips here for those currently unemployed and seeking work. This is my personal favourite, a real go-getter attitude: just be a trans Aboriginal
Nobody - don't follow me 🇮🇱@PHB67168788

@rationalaussie Lie and say you are trans? Perhaps tell them you are a Native as I am sure they will not ask for Status Documents. Even if they do, tell them you are Native through your mother. Just become one of the favored class of applicants.

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sticks
sticks@blockchaingod69·
@rationalaussie Yes my cousins gf completed a marketing degree and can’t find a job Didn’t have the heart to say she’ll likely never find one Easiest industry for agents to swarm in and take care of Zuck already doing this with his ads on reels
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