RDJ

2.2K posts

RDJ

RDJ

@rdjonge

Katılım Ocak 2018
33 Takip Edilen198 Takipçiler
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: S&P 500 futures extend gains to over +1% on the day and hit the highest level on record as President Trump asks Iran to join the Abraham Accords. That's +$11.3 TRILLION in market cao since the March 30th bottom.
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
Expecting something like this on bitcoin:native
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RDJ
RDJ@rdjonge·
Thanks for the kind words and the detailed explanation! Definitely some interesting thoughts and especially regarding monday and wednesday. Should study/look into the price action around those days specifically. Also some great advice in the last paragraph! Even though it confluences with the 2022 scenario, it is still a very high probability level in my opinion because it aligns with strong demand and the FIB level, but I also don't think we won't go that low anymore. Curious to what monday is going to give us.
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DarkSide
DarkSide@CryptoDarkSide4·
First of all, really nice charts they look very clean. I see what you mean and I understand the idea behind it. Personally I’m not really monitoring for a structure break on the daily right now. There’s no significant time factor to observe during these days. What I mean by that is for me it’s not that important. So even if we close above the 74.9k today. it’s not going to make me think we go higher first and front-run the 73k region. What’s actually important are days like Monday and Wednesday. So even if Saturday and Sunday close above we could still see Monday move down because that specific date and timing matter more. And the same applies the other way around: even if we close below the 🗝️ today or tomorrow we could still see a fast expansion back up on Monday. So what I’m trying to say is: I understand your perspective, but personally this weekend isn’t that interesting to me until the new week opens. I’m always waiting for price = time. The paths you showed, I actually like a lot. But please, don’t rely too much on fractals. They can blind you. The price action is completely different, the geography is different, and the behavior is different as well. There’s a deeper reason why these ranges can look similar. So just because you saw a deviation in a fractal doesn’t mean we’ll repeat the exact same thing here. but the poi at 70k is also a place where I look for longs if we somehow come there. personally its to deep. I personally think there is still a chance for 1 more hunt. but we gotta wait for monday.
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DarkSide
DarkSide@CryptoDarkSide4·
bitcoin:native | Weekly Update & Next Setup Plans | Last week’s price action was boring and pretty predictable. I took a public long on Monday with zero drawdown and straight profits. We partially took profit on Wednesday. The reason for taking profit earlier was because we wanted to see an aggressive expansion on Wednesday, but we only got a small expansion. That indicated a high probability that price would move lower. Around Wednesday, I pre-planned the next short setup showcasing a pathway where we would short on Thursday after forming a Wyckoff M2. It played out exactly the way I wanted and gave me even more profits and the trade is still running. I’m currently on a 4 trade win streak. Let’s see if I can continue it. So, this week’s plan: I tweeted on May 21st about a pathway I anticipated trading. Tweet link below: x.com/CryptoDarkSide… As you can see, I was expecting a sweep down towards the 73k–74k region. We already got an aggressive move down but I still want to see price a bit lower. My first POI will be around 73k. This week has some major time pivots. We have a local bottom pivot with a continuation/local bottom pivot setup. The local bottom pivot gets activated on Monday, meaning the low of that day could potentially become the bottom. Small sweeps are always possible, but there’s a high probability we won’t go lower than Monday’s lows. Then around Wednesday, we have another local bottom/continuation pivot. From here, I expect one of these scenarios: • Monday dumps → Tuesday reversal → Wednesday continuation • Monday pumps → Tuesday continuation → Wednesday continuation • Monday pumps → Tuesday dumps → Wednesday move back up Personally, I would love to see a Monday dump into our POI so I can take a long, but we need to wait carefully here. If we don’t reach my POI and reclaim the 76k region while our time pivots align I might also take a long slightly higher. Overall I have a feeling we could see new highs this week 👀 We also have an astro reversal pivot on Sunday/Monday something to keep an eye on. Summary: Time pivots of the week: • Monday/Tuesday (long intraday time) • Wednesday ( long intraday time) • Friday ( best day to take profits ) POIs to long: 76k ♟♟♟ 73k; 72.8k ♟♟ 69.5k ♟♟♟♟ So we either look for longs on Monday or Wednesday around 73k or we look to long around 76k on Monday or Wednesday. If anything is unclear, feel free to comment below. All questions are welcome. NFA. DYOR.
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DarkSide@CryptoDarkSide4

bitcoin:native | LTF + scenario path way update | As quoted below. we expected a wyckoff m2 to form out on Thursday and we got exactly what we wanted. Something that made this trade higher RR was the refined 3m time + wyckoff. into our lpsy. confirming the wyckoff. News pushed price into the lpsy. we are in a simulation ifykyk. Was expecting Friday a continuation. but saw that bulls are weak. so led my short run to tp 1 nice 14RR setup. In the weekend gonna make a new plan with the astrology + time pivots. A super nice setup incoming. if this post gets 15 likes will share the setup also here.💆

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RDJ
RDJ@rdjonge·
@DynamoXDD Good one, or maybe a possible retest to broken support to then continue downwards...
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
Large bids are placed at around 73.2k on bitcoin:native , probably a good area to look for longs
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RDJ
RDJ@rdjonge·
@DynamoXDD True, let's see indeed. That 71k could be interesting imo because it aligns with 0.5 FIB level on the daily from bottom to top with a great demand zone that sits right beneath it that initiated a 5k rally.
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
@rdjonge I don’t like to predict tops and bottom because no one knows it Probably 73-74k is a good area to look for longs if it holds
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
I can be wrong one time but not everytime on bitcoin:native Idiots
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DarkSide
DarkSide@CryptoDarkSide4·
bitcoin:native I would marry this idea 👁️
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RDJ
RDJ@rdjonge·
@DynamoXDD Congrats on the short mate!
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
We need atleast $1 billion liquidations to call for the bottom to be in on bitcoin:native
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Kaz
Kaz@XBTkaz·
@rdjonge Yes, looking at how negative the Perp and Spot CVD is, we are gonna see some sort of short squeeze sooner or later. BUT, for now, seeing how aggressive sellers are around this level, I am expecting the price to dump to 74-75k first, then pump to squeeze the shorts.
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Kaz
Kaz@XBTkaz·
$BTC Price is dropping and going back to the lows of this range, exactly like we mentioned will happen. We swept pdL/pwL which is at 76.7k and price is currently towards 77k, OI is massively spiking while price is dropping, that means we are getting AGGRESSIVE short positions adding up. Perps are still very negative but stabilizing now, Spot CVD is making new lows meaning Spot sellers are accelerating, So the thing to notice here is that Spot selling is getting worse. There weren't any major liquidation yet but I am expecting a long flush soon, + A significant short position just built up that could lead to a squeeze later (after the flush) when any catalyst appears. If spot keeps declining and no catalyst arrives, Shorts will be right and we will see further downside. If anything triggers a move up from here, it's gonna be a very volatile move due to OI spiking, So far price is following the idea we made and if things continues like this, we will sweep 74-75k liquidity soon.
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Kaz@XBTkaz

$BTC Price has been ranging between 76-78k for four days now, It might look calm from the outside view, But the internals aren't neutral. They are slowly getting worse, OI keeps on bleeding, meaning longs keep on closing their positions. + No new longs are being added. Spot CVD also keeps on rolling back down, meaning spot sellers are returning again. Perps are selling and are back to the lows. There weren't any major liquidations in the past four days as well. This doesn't really look like a range where we will go straight up from here, Cuz, range before a move up shows OI building and CVDs recovering. But here, everything is slowly bleeding, The longer this continues, the more 78k looks like resistance, and 76k looks like the next. If we really have to go straight up to 80ks, OI needs to stop declining, and Spot CVD needs to reverse. Though if it continues to be like this, then the level that I mentioned before and currently targeting will be here in no time ( 74-75k sweep ).

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RDJ
RDJ@rdjonge·
@btcinsiderr Also leaning bullish but not as high, eyeing for 79 - 80k and then 70k
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BTC INSIDER
BTC INSIDER@btcinsiderr·
82k before 75k
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Maartunn
Maartunn@JA_Maartun·
🚨 Coinbase is seeing its STRONGEST SELLING PRESSURE since February.
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DYNAMO
DYNAMO@DynamoXDD·
Which path will bitcoin:native follow? I”ll go with White
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