
ryanryan
160 posts



As for $VLN, I don't think I'm wrong. But markets clearly disagree with my opnion.
I've learned two things:
- Some stocks like Japanese ones can trade way under book value
- Markets don't like stocks from Israel like $ETOR for some reason (lost a lot on that too).
I still think it's undervalued. Net assets ($92.6M pure cash) vs. $132M MC.
Net assets is $105M with zero debt.
So EV is ~$27M? For a growing company with 60% GAAP gross margins on $70.6M FY 2025 revenue.
So valuation looks stupid. But somehow stocks operate that way.
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If you don't know my style by now:
I identify upcoming sectors (photonics, memory, drones), then go long on the entire supply chain.
I'm not always right, though.
$AVAV and the drone sectors were my biggest losses this year outside of $RDDT ( $OSS did end up 60%+ ).
I still believe fundamentally companies like $AIRO, $LPTH and others are extremely solid long term. ( $AIRO is still up ~15%, but lost majority of it's 70%+ gains, Draganfly dropped way more)
And there's very unrealistic expectations from looking at $SNDK supercycles that everything can go up 100% a month.
The main catalyst I've identified around that sector was the Venezuela invasion's usage of hidden drone + edge defense contracts/subcontractors.
And I expected there to be follow-up funding into the sector.
However, I mentioned I de-risked around the Greenland deal (majority of defense contractors crashed) but kept smaller concentration in stuff like $AVAV.
SCAR program loss to others like $AVAV was even a bigger surprise and I lost even more.
Unfortunately, the War in Iran focused around larger defense contractors like L3 Harris, $NOC and private companies like Anduril, and some energy directed suppliers like $LASR.
So there weren't many tailwind recoveries for drone companies.
That being said, I do know how to cut losses.
But I still get a lot of crap saying oh look at "X stock they've liked earlier in the year".
I'm very transparent when it comes to these things: A certain executive in the $IREN community are known to delete all their posts after their followers lose 90% on $BKKT or $ASST post-dilution.
Majority of my stocks I identify are extremely solid fundamentally so they either hold their level since my original thesis.
And I post risk-levels / conviction-levels with them too (risky ones obviously have more downside).
I have skin in the game compared to others that just post hot takes.
So if my thesis is wrong, I lose money personally (there's ton of more fills like this, just endless losses on $AVAV).
But I leave everything up so you can see how things play out.

Serenity@aleabitoreddit
@bennybigbull Nope, sold for solid 6 figure loss on $AVAV and rotated to photonics.
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🌝 $GMFAM 5X Allowlist Airdrop Booster 🌚
For 7 people. Drop a gm, like & rt to join the raffle
To apply for Airdrop Allowlist if you haven't:
🌞Join the discord: discord.gg/gmfam
🌞And then: join-allowlist
$pepe $wojak $turbo $doge $king $guac $mong
art @potato_wards

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ryanryan retweetledi

Very proud of Shinnihon Corp, TSE:1879
Doing great! 🇯🇵 #tse1879
Who’s been holding with me since alerted?


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@itscharliemar Charlie, can you take a quick look at #ZEPP. It’s NCAV is $4, currently trading at $2. Maybe you can spot something you don’t like about it? #valueinvesting
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@itscharliemar What are your general thoughts on the market with the holiday season and early next year? Additionally, any thoughts on #PINS?
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ryanryan retweetledi

In honor of me about to hit 1000+ followers and @PGodjira Floor going over 20eth. I am giving away ONE Gen. 2 Godjira WL Spot.
1⃣ Follow Me: @H3llPlanet
& @PGodjira
2️⃣ Like, Retweet
3️⃣ Tag 3 friends
Winner will be chosen in 24 hours (5am est 2/10/22)
GOOD LUCK! #McJiras

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ryanryan retweetledi

We've got 2 whitelist spots to giveaway for the upcoming @Llamaverse_ mint!
This is going to be huge 🤯🦙
To enter:
1⃣ ❤️, RT, & tag 3 friends
2⃣ Follow @Llamaverse_ & @NightOwlsNFT
3⃣ Join their Discord: discord.gg/llamaverse
4⃣ Join our Discord: discord.gg/nightowls
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ryanryan retweetledi

