6th Man Bets

Monday Morning CLV Report 📈 Week: 5/18 - 5/24 Average CLV: +3.68% Total units W/L: +0.45 Not a very profitable week but we destroyed the closing lines which is what matters long term. Some weird variance lead to minimal profit but this is just a subtle reminder that it's always process > results. Right back to it again this week 💪 lets get it

Arthur Rinderknech ML -110 (1u) FD #RolandGarros Feels weird to say this about this matchup on slow clay but I think Rinderknech should be a slight favorite here - specifically in a five set format. Berretini has had poor fitness all year, and I just can't see his body holding up too well if this match extends. Not to mention the French Crowd behind Arthur in what should be a very lively night match. I think the Frenchman has a slight edge here.

Roland Garros Recap 5/27 🎾 Fonseca/Prizmic o37.5 -130 ✅ Medjedovic +1.5 sets +102 ❌

What a comeback win by Joao Fonseca 🔥 Prizmic looked unplayable the first two sets but Joao just stayed solid and kept fighting. Very important hard-fought win against a fellow young rising star in Dino. respect to both. Great match #RolandGarros

Dino Prizmic plays tennis like his family is tied up in a dungeon and he has to win the match to set them free

DeAaron Fox o20.5 PA -113 (1u) DK #PorVida Taking a buy low spot here on Fox who has been pretty bad in this series to be very honest. However, the shot volume and playmaking upside is still there - 13+ FGA and 12 potential assists in the three games he’s played. Another thing to note is that as good as this Thunder defense is, Fox is still getting to his spots on a lot of his FGAs - he’s just missing. Overall, the opportunity should be there, we just need Fox to convert on a few.

Jesper De Jong +1.5 sets +107 (1u) BetRivers #RolandGarros I like this number here for a sneaky good clay player in De Jong against a vulnerable Karen. Karen hasn't really looked like himself all year. He was kinda lucky to get out of the Trungelliti match without seeing a decider after he was broken serving for match. You could see Karen visibly getting frustrated as the match progressed and I think De Jong can do the same - and actually has some weapons to capitalize unlike Trungelliti. De Jong has also had some decent results here in Paris - beating Draper and taking a set from Carlos in 2024. Overall, I think these odds are too wide and De Jong should be able to make this a very competetive match.

Mensik tried everything in his power to lose that match but Navone just wouldn't accept victory

Frances Tiafoe ML +128 (1u) DK #RolandGarros Not sure at all why Hubie would be a clear favorite here. Neither of these guys are necessarily clay court masters. Neither are very reliable players in general at the moment. Slower conditions definitely favor Tiafoe on paper but there's not much to separate these two in these conditions imo. Not to mention Hubie has had a very weird year full of fitness and confidence issues. Tiafoe doesn't love the dirt but he isn't exactly clueless on it either. Foe also tends to raise his level in bigger events, although historically RG hasn't really been one of those events lol. Overall, I have this as a 50-50 matchup at worse, maybe even slightly favoring Tiafoe with Hubie's fitness and form issues this year. I'll gladly take these odds.

@FightOdds_io Pardon?

UFC Fight Night Opening Odds: Iwo Baraniewski (+220) Junior Tafa (-260) fightodds.io/fights/iwo-bar…

Shai almost just ended Wemby's season with that step back 😭

Hamad Medjedovic +1.5 sets +102 (1u) BetRivers #RolandGarros Love this spot for Hamad against what appears to be a fatigued and vulnerable Ruud. Ruud is coming off two long weeks of tennis in Rome and Geneva and it showed today as he was taken to a 5th set by Safiullin - who isn't very good on slow clay. Hamad is also a tough matchup for Ruud in general. Ruud has historically struggled with big hitters who don't give him time to load up his ol' reliable forehand, and that's exactly the play-style Hamad brings. Taking +1.5 sets just cause it's always kind of risky betting on Hamad in 5 set formats due to his poor fitness. Love these odds for him to win two sets.

@MB1of1_ @jalenbrunson1 Man this the guy that saved my life

@jalenbrunson1 @reverseCLV this the guy that pays my bills?

Nothing was the same 😏

❌ hilariously bad tennis from Quinn

Fonseca/Prizmic o37.5 games -130 (1.25u) DK #RolandGarros Another total games line that feels pretty low. Two very good young clay courters with contrasting play-styles. Fonseca is an aggressive big-hitter while Dino is more of a grinder who drags out rallies and matches. Whoever can execute their game-plan better will lead the dance, and I think we see a lot of back and forth momentum changes here from two relatively unexperienced players in 5 set formats. Both are solid servers as well. All signs point to long match. I would have this line at 39.5