@pakpakchicken I sold $tem so it will go up now. You are all very welcome
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Degen
110 posts
Short $intc
Notational value $600k short
Challenge portfolio attached
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Sold all $pg ( worked well as a cash / defensive position )
Long / bought $weat
Trades done 3 mins ago
Challenge portfolio attached
I’ll deploy more cash soon
Just a note:
I’m trying to do as little trades as possible on this portfolio to help reduce noise and make it easier for everyone.
If I had my way, I would have made more moves.
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@pakpakchicken Indeed. Everyone is too happy. Too many screenshots of their portfolio everywhere
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U KNOW WHAT. I’M JUST NOT “FEELING” IT
SELLING EVERYTHING ON MY CHALLENGE PORTFOLIO.
UP 60% SINCE DEC
$860K to $1.37M
SHARED EVERY MOVE IMMEDIATELY
LESS THAN 6 TRADES A MONTH
ENTIRE PORTFOLIO
WHILE NO BIG KOLS DARES TO DO WHAT I DO.
BALLESS FINANCE KOLS. PUSSIES.
I know 60% in a few months it’s not a lot. But it’s decent.
May miss the upside but I DON’T CARE.
LOOK AT THIS FKING $SPY CHART
+ SCREENSHOT OF MY PORTFOLIO B4 market open AND AFTER.
TRADES DONE 3 MINS AGO.
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@pakpakchicken Feeling dumb that i always know how to click buy. But never how to click sell. The only time i sold is PLTR at $9.50
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What’s your emotional state now?
Tell me. Write it down, so you’ll remember.
I feel we are about there. All over my timeline are emotions running high, rage, blame, despair, giving up. So predictable. Remember, you clicked, nobody pointed a gun at you.
If your emotional state hasn’t changed. You won half the battle. If it changed, probably borrowed conviction and oversized.
P.S. im posting less, to reduce noise. Every move i make on my challenge portfolio is shared. No day trading. Full portfolio transparency and position size. No private groups. It’s my hope we win together again and again.
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New video. Not CGI. UBtech walker S2.
Real B2B commercial orders. Already scaling.
I do not know of any other humanoid robotics company doing this at this at this scale now.
Will not talk about this company anymore. Need to buy more shares.
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Price came down a little. This is a copy pasta I sent to my close friends a while back:
Reducing exposure to crypto was a good / lucky call. Avoiding massive liquidations. Of course we can go higher from here. It’s way oversold. However it’s time to look elsewhere for better asymmetric risk.
First thing 1st. Open a brokerage that allows you to buy Hong Kong / China shares.
Multiple reasons:
> USA trading at multiples way higher and requires perfect execution to remain this high.
> REE ( Rare earth elements ) geopolitical risk. It takes 7-15 years to solve this.
Total Market cap ( Trillion )
Humanoid Robotics - 0.11 ( ex Tesla )
AI - 8.5
Semicon - 7.2
Biotech - 2
Crypto - 4.2
Humanoid Robotics is highly overlooked as nobody got any clue where to start except for TSLA. Else it depends on your connections with VC to get allocations.
How is a multi trillion industry worth 0.1 Trillion now?
Robotics is Physical AI. Physical AI replaces human labour. Solving for human labour is by far the biggest opportunity that will ever exist and here we are at 0.1 Trillion while Biotech is at 2 and crypto is at 4.2 Trillion.
I’ve done the primary research. I’ve also shared a pdf on robotics earlier this year. It’s on my X profile, click highlights tab. 4th post.
Ranked List: Who Succeeds First in Mass Scaling
1. Unitree Robotics (G1/H1) - $7B valuation (pre-IPO, Q4 2025)
Why First? Mass production underway at Hangzhou factory (10,000 sqm, 1,000+ units in 2025). $16K price point at Walmart.
Timeline: Now (2025: 1,000+; 2026: 10,000+).
Risks: Geopolitical
Edge: Fastest to market; open-sourced AI. Chinese State VC Investment
2. Agility Robotics (Digit) - $1.25B valuation (Series B, Mar 2025)
Why? RoboFab (Salem, OR) at 10,000/year capacity; hundreds in Amazon/GXO warehouses. $400M funding fuels RaaS for logistics.
Timeline: 2025: Thousands; 2026: 10,000+.
Risks: U.S. REE supply constraints.
Edge: Proven commercial contracts.
3. UBTech Robotics (Walker S1/S2) - $7B market cap (HKEX, Oct 2025)
Why? Foxconn/SF Express partnerships for 1,000+ units in 2025; MIIT subsidies target 500 robots/10k workers.
Timeline: 2025: 1,000+; 2026: 15,000+.
Risks: Geopolitical
Edge: State-backed industrial push. Chinese State VC Investment. Deployed areas with more orders = Proof of concept.
4. Tesla (Optimus Gen 3) - $1.4T market cap.
Why? Gigafactory aims for 10,000 internal units in 2025; It’s Elon. Don’t bet against him.
Timeline: 2025: 10,000 (internal); 2026: 100,000+.
Risks: REE bottlenecks, execution slippage, cost per unit VS China
Edge: Unmatched capital and AI.
5. Figure AI (Figure 02/03) - $39B valuation (Series C, Sep 2025)
Why? BMW pilots with OpenAI/MSFT backing; $1B+ raise fuels AI but no factory yet. Targets 100,000 by 2029.
Timeline: 2025: Pilots; 2027: 10,000+.
Risks: Hardware scale lag.
Edge: Elite AI ecosystem.
6. Boston Dynamics (Electric Atlas) - $1.1B valuation (Hyundai subsidiary, 2025)
Why? Hyundai orders thousands; TRI enhances agility. Production not prioritized.
Timeline: 2025: Hundreds; 2027: 5,000+.
Risks: High costs, slow pivot.
Edge: Best-in-class mobility.
7. Apptronik (Apollo) - $500M valuation (Series B, Feb 2025)
Why? Mercedes/Walmart pilots; $350M for warehouse scaling. Jabil partnership aids production.
Timeline: 2025: 500+; 2026: 5,000+.
Risks: Durability at scale.
Edge: Industrial focus.
8. 1X Technologies (Neo) - $1.5B valuation (Series B, 2024)
Why? OpenAI-backed household pilots; Norway factory starts low-volume.
Timeline: 2025: Low-volume; 2026: 2,000+.
Risks: Consumer safety regulations.
Edge: Domestic AI niche.
9. Sanctuary AI (Phoenix) - $1B valuation (Series D, 2025)
Why? Logistics pilots with Carbon Robotics; fine-motor AI focus.
Timeline: 2025: Pilots; 2027: 3,000+.
Risks: Precision scaling.
Edge: Adaptive learning.
10. Fourier Intelligence (GR-1/GR-2) - $300M valuation (Series E, 2025)
Why? Healthcare production at 1,000+/year; EU hospital shipments.
Timeline: 2025: 1,000+; 2026: 8,000+.
Risks: Broader market pivot.
Edge: Medical adoption.
This is not some crypto ADHD play. Just like how I sat on Tesla for years, this is how I’ll play this. I'll buy more if it goes down to the blue line.
If price goes down, I’m not your customer support. Don't thank me if it goes up too. You will jinx me.
I also know the Tesla fanboys will come after me. Your stock been flat for 4 years. That's a fact. While I'm very sure Tesla will do very well technically. I don't like buying $1.4T Market Cap. That's me. Good luck.
Chicken Genius@pakpakchicken
what should I do? I want to recommend you this stock. Broke out of multi year range. Narrative should rotate here soon. But price refuse to go down near the blue line. If I recommend NOW and it drops to blue line. > Everyone gonna scream like pussies > I become customer support 😐 > You blame me for you not having risk management > If it goes up, you will fomo 😐
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@pakpakchicken Ooo robotics. Is it the same stock that you showed the chart recently? Could it be something that rhymes with lurve? ❤️
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2021 - Stocks top exit ( Publicly 20X )
2022 - Shifted to crypto ( Publicly 7X ) ( Private Portfolio not disclosing for obvious reasons )
2025 - Shifting to Robotics & Emerging Markets
While I still maintain small exposure to crypto. Eg: hype, pump, metaplanet (timed the bottom AGAIN publicly)
Trenches are dead, liquidity dried up, just rotations. Brain resource is better optimised elsewhere.
Will share more once I think there’s a good entry. I hate to shill at tops. Rather miss it.
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Now it's time to make a list of 3 tickers that you will hold through regardless.
my main 3 are $btc, $hype, $pump FOR NOW
you?
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$peepo
0x9409c81D5bf8fd6e651F08E1C81c8b175A1E64F7
This is getting bid directly from Coinbase.
Memes are different now.
Pump fun doesn't have memes straight to a CEX like base.
$uOS value with utokenize does give creators the ability to list on Coinbase for only a few dollars.
This is live, and real.
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Gave you multiple warnings. Again who is 1st on X to warn you? ME
Aug 1st:
Who was the first on X to tell you rate cuts are bearish?
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
Who was the first to started scaling out at the very top? ME.
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
Who was the 1st to tell you to rotate out from $eth to $hype and $sol for outperformance? ME
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
Who was the first to tell you to rotate to out of $hype and $sol? ME
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
Sorry I didn’t have any “charts” “proof” “thesis”
All I had was a “bad feeling”
x.com/pakpakchicken/…
Cycle always repeat. Haters shit on me at the top.
Don’t fear the man who is always bullish
Don’t fear the man who is always bearish
Fear the man who is bullish at bottoms and bearish on top
Chicken Genius@pakpakchicken
You don't need to be 100% invested at all time. Zoom out. SP500, BTC, GOLD, REAL ESTATE. We went max long in 2022. Good enough. Also: Rotation working perfectly to $sol and $hype I'll take more off the table. Find me any KOLs that called for that rotation. At the same time called for eth bottom. My flow state is fking back. To all those shitting on me asking you to rotate from $eth, jokes on you. Suddenly quiet. Death threats gone. 🤡
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Fully out of $hype and $sol
Thank you for playing. Dear $eth maxi, jokes on you.
I'm still super sus about the markets, we are obviously in late cycle.
~ On my public port, I'll only have minimal allocations to alts. No majors. If alt season comes, alts will carry my port. If entire market nukes, I lose a little. Maybe do miserable yield farming.
~ Main strategy going forward away from the public eyes due to liquidity concerns will be delta neutral strategies. My usual returns range from 50% to 80%. You need skill and experience for this.
Chicken Genius@pakpakchicken
Rotate. $eth is done for now. The only buyers were the DATs. Now mostly trading at NAV. Raising capital becomes impossible. Who else is buying? Even if entire market goes up, eth will lag. We played the rotation from $1.5K. Be grateful. Rotate to what? For now, I like $sol & $hype But look, we've had so many winning streaks together. I was in my flow state. The last call shattered it. Let me get back into flow state again before recommending.
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You don't need to be 100% invested at all time.
Zoom out.
SP500, BTC, GOLD, REAL ESTATE.
We went max long in 2022. Good enough.
Also:
Rotation working perfectly to $sol and $hype
I'll take more off the table.
Find me any KOLs that called for that rotation. At the same time called for eth bottom. My flow state is fking back.
To all those shitting on me asking you to rotate from $eth, jokes on you. Suddenly quiet. Death threats gone. 🤡
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@pakpakchicken Hi sir, i noticed Block dropped a lot and you sold all of it. What happened to it?
Btw i will still hold $sbet a while longer
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it's time to move on from $sbet
consistent underperformer. Goes down faster + goes up slower. Total shit show. My apologies for this recommendation. At least I waited for retrace for buy signal, so it's not far.
I've not sold. Feel free to dump this trash stock on me.
Leadership pretty questionable at this point, abusing the ATM. I own $2.4M of this shit.
Chicken Genius@pakpakchicken
facts: $sbet is a consistent underperformer vs $eth and $bmnr I chose to recommend the wrong horse, that's on me. Or maybe some of you jinx followed me into this trade. Either that's still on me. Have not taken any action. Still riding both. If I cut, I'll let you know
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eth/btc following my yellow line 🎯
1st to call for eth outperformance 🎯
called for rotation 🎯
What's next?
I'm seeing a lot of $eth should be valued at $10K, $15K, $20K post. Top signal short term.
Plenty of spot eth sell pressure while eth treasuries scoop them up. Maybe short term consolidation or quick nuke.
Random onchain shitters popping up. Alt / shitcoin rotation incoming.
Chicken Genius@pakpakchicken
Next CALL: ETH Outperformance. Here’s Why: Crypto needs traditional finance (TradFi) money to move, not retail. BTC outperformance is purely a function of that. What comes next will shock most: the U.S. government needs $ETH. Way more than bitcoin. What’s the biggest problem the U.S. government faces now? Nobody wants to buy their debt. Yields up, gold up, dollar down, not good. Capital is flowing out. Let’s explore how ethereum will help alleviate this problem. Of all the crypto policies, two bills stand out: the SBR and the Stable coin Bill. If you monitor policy, the Stable coin Bill will likely be the first to pass, as it’s on the fastest track. Why? Stable coins create a yield compression effect by driving massive demand for U.S. debt. See the study linked posted below for details. Key Findings from the Study: → Yield Compression (Main Effect): A 2-standard deviation stablecoin inflow (approximately $3.5 billion) lowers 3-month U.S. T-bill yields by 2-2.5 basis points (bps) within 10 days. → Limited Spillover to Longer Tenors: Stable coin flows show little to no significant impact on 2-year or 5-year Treasury yields, with only limited evidence of spillover to 10-year yields after about 15 days. → Asymmetric Effects: Stable coin outflows have a larger impact, raising 3-month T-bill yields by 6-8 bps, 2-3 times the effect of inflows. This suggests less discretion in timing during stress. →Issuer-Specific Contributions: USDT (Tether): Accounts for ~70% of yield compression, consistent with its larger market capitalization and T-bill holdings. USDC (Circle): Contributes ~19%. Other Stable coins: Contribute the remaining ~11%. The Stable coin Bill will bring trillions of TVL into ETH. Not SOL, fk SOL, an extraction chain with toxic KOLs, builders, founders, and meme coin degenerates. Ops, got a bit emotional. Simply buying ETH is a play on its own, alternative is check my public portfolio and DYOR. I won’t mention specific names to avoid becoming customer support. I’ll leave this picture here for you. Not even BlackRock’s Ondo was invited, lol. I don’t know when ETH will start outperforming, but I’m prepared when the time comes.
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@jroy0 @pakpakchicken If its good enough to screenshot, its good enough to sell. And usually people dont sell and it drops
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clear indication of bottom;
cycle tops out far from here and it's the final phrase I'm most looking forward too.
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