Rob Mynott

@RoryStewartUK I sure as hell hope that you’re right!!

because: • Biden’s government’s been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote The polls are “herding” at 50:50 to protect themselves after past misses - ignore

Journalists would like the US race to seem as close as possible - it suits their appetite for suspense and @afneil ‘s desire to prod the establishment. But this won’t be a close race decided by a “couple of thousand votes”. He is wrong. And Kamala Harris will win.

ONLY 2x NOW REMAINING!! Hand-signed by Nigel Mansell in support of UK Youth badwolfminiatures.com/product/1st-ra… #nigelmansell #mansell #indycar #tameo #f1 #diorama #signed #charity #fundraiser #badwolfminiatures #ukyouth #modeller #modelkit #miniature

@LeoMars75 @faizashaheen One. Hundred. Percent.

The Labour leadership thought it was worth losing this seat to Iain Duncan Smith in order to get rid of me (even Ed Balls said so) - now look. And before all those that don’t know Chingford & Woodford Green start chatting rubbish, many of the almost 12.5k people who voted for me wouldn’t have voted for the parachuted in Labour candidate after how they treated me and Labour’s early Gaza stance

@MercedesAMGF1 @SilverstoneUK Me, please!!

Who wants one? 😉 @SilverstoneUK

@faizashaheen Ethically I am 100% with you, and I completely understand why you feel wronged by the Labour Party. However, by standing as an independent candidate you are splitting the non-Conservative vote, which very obviously makes an IDS return more likely. Simply… you should not stand.

This graph shows the Faiza Shaheen campaign's latest figures. There are lots of numbers and bar charts in circulation in Chingford & Woodford Green, which makes life difficult because many of you are trying to work out the best way to defeat IDS. Having dedicated a big chunk of my life to beating Iain Duncan Smith since 2018, there’re probably very few who understand that desire more than me! To clear up any doubts, I thought I’d write this post to explain what our figures show. Key points about our data: 1) This is based on thousands of doorstep conversations across the constituency. The graph makes it clear that it is based on canvassing data, not an opinion poll. Yes this is imperfect, but in the absence of detailed local opinion polling, it's all there is to go on. We knock on every door with registered voters. 2) Labour and the Conservatives also have canvassing data and, in all likelihood, it’s showing the same sort of voting intention as ours (if their figures were different, they probably would have made their way onto social media by now...) 3) Undecideds are being assigned using the Redfield-Wilton method, which is used by all the opinion poll companies to temper their results. This involves reallocating undecided voters in line with national polling trends. If we did not do this, the picture painted by the data would look even better for our independent campaign. 4) The point of sharing the graph is to emphasise that the tactical vote to beat the Conservatives is now less likely to be a Labour one. The graphs being pushed by the Labour Party are based on what is called a MRP (multi-level regression and post-stratification), a way of modelling voter preferences based on a combination of national trends and previous behaviour. This method makes them seriously flawed for a situation like ours. Their graphs are mainly based on 2019 data and don’t factor in the additional candidates standing in 2024. They also fail to reflect that when I stood as a Labour candidate my team pulled off a swing to Labour that was completely at odds with the collapse in Labour's national vote share. That's less helpful than publishing canvassing returns. Furthermore, this polling weights for different demographics - but interestingly not religion, which is important for this election because a large share of Muslim voters will no longer be voting Labour because of their position on Palestine. The decision of which way to vote has been difficult for so many of you – and I get that. After all, I was the Labour candidate until a matter of weeks ago and have knocked doors every weekend since I was reselected in 2022 to build up Labour’s reputation here. But I am now your independent, local candidate. I am running a positive campaign that talks about what our community needs and what it could be. Labour split the vote here when they deselected me. I ran the marathon, winning the biggest vote for Labour here in the worst election defeat for a generation, only for an unknown, unsupported candidate to be imposed 200 yards before the finish line. In the midst of flawed and outdated data being touted as truth, I ask you to make your decision with your heart and your head by voting for me, the local candidate who will be standing up for this community first and foremost. This is our chance for a new type of politics, even the data agrees. Read more about methods: redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/a-look-at.../ pollingreport.uk/.../edge-cases…...

@wearetherace Bottom three… easy.

Which three are you choosing? 👀

Laura Kuenssberg will be doing the BBC Election Night coverage. If she should be replaced with Victoria Derbyshire, RT.

@PG_F1 100%

Despite all the F1 things I’ve done, I’m a fan first and foremost. I’m absolutely gutted at the state of the sport I have always loved. Horner can do what he likes in his private life (allegedly) but when it’s front page news, it IS bringing the sport into disrepute. Denying Andretti because of the greed of 10 current teams is short sighted stupidity This FIA present has run roughshod over rules and agreements time and time again because he’s desperate for fame. Now it looks like he is fiddling results such is his power . Red Bull’s cost cap breach wasn’t properly punished despite them being able to lock in an advantage for years through overspending. Abu Dhabi 21 still stands out as a time where despite mistakes being made, they COULD have apologised and fixed it. I know I’ll be criticised, but these last 4 years have been such a poor reflection after what should have been the greatest sporting contest of all time. F1 will lose fans who’ve been present for many many years. It breaks my heart.

@Lionesses @wembleystadium @oranjevrouwen When do these tickets go on sale for My England members? The website says they go on sale today, but I’ve just tried logging in and cannot see them available yet.

Back to @wembleystadium 🤩🤩 Find out below how you can secure tickets for our #UWNL fixture against @oranjevrouwen! ⤵️

@Dinalli Agreed 100% - I watched my 1st GP as an 8 year old at Maggots bend in ‘91. It blew my mind, and I’ve been hooked ever since. Todays kids won’t get that chance (unless they can afford some serious real estate). Quite, quite obscene @SilverstoneUK @F1 @MBrundleF1 @johnnyherbertf1

This is amazing. @KRANTZ_OFFICIAL has put some serious work in to this. There are remixes &everything. YouTube is the best place to get it all. Do spread the word if you can.

Brilliant cover @TheNewEuropean

BBC chairman Richard Sharp must resign If you agree please RT

@Peston Yes, yes, yes. Impartiality cannot be set aside when it suits. We’re beyond the thin edge of the wedge now.

BBC wants to be seen as rigorously impartial, it cannot apply the principles of impartiality selectively.

Gary Lineker was pulled off air by the BBC because he refused to issue a public apology for his tweets criticising the government’s Illegal Migration Bill, according to sources close to him. Lineker rejects the idea he breached social media guidelines, which is what…

@edwardjsault @DorsetMuseum @DrIanGlass I remember the Christmas you got Mr Frosty, I was very envious! 😂

Fabulous visit to @DorsetMuseum to see the “I grew up 80s” expo! Proud to say I have all of the swimming badges & had a Mr Frosty! @DrIanGlass

Retweet if you saw your team play at the old Wembley!

@wearetherace @XPBImages 2021!

🗣️ The best Williams livery over the past few years has been __________ Let us know what you think in the comments!

Braverman and Zahawi should both be sacked TODAY. Retweet if you agree.

Please retweet if you find Braverman's Nazi era posturing and rhetoric disgusting, and would like to see her removed from Office immediately, and prosecuted for hate speech

If you agree that Braverman is simply a gutter fascist spouting Goebbels style hate rhetoric in Parliament, please retweet this and let’s build a movement together to remove her and prosecute her for her apparently criminal Misconduct .