robot
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robot
@robotevm
optimizing my trade execution, yc alum
C-137 Katılım Eylül 2018
622 Takip Edilen2.4K Takipçiler
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in honour of X the Everything App reinstating CT, here's a smol thing I wrote on my current portfolio allocation
excited to look back on this in future years
tygra.pages.dev/a-portfolio-fo…
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love to see people leave @ethereumfndn to start their own eth aligned thing
bet they are hungry to prove themselves after all the criticism
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gm ☀️ robinhood chain brought some life back to the wider ecosystem
over $500M swapped through @matchametaxyz last week 🏆
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@findmeonchain rebuilding data sets described by papers recently published and see if there is still alpha there
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bigquery is surprisingly good for bulk onchain research.
for a new polymarket bot strategy, i pulled 200m fills from google’s public polygon dataset, decoded the raw event logs, and exported 50gb of compressed parquet.
dune is great for exploration, but charges way more than my $20 google bill
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had the same thought when i read it but a few thoughts:
- do the manipulators wait until the very end and push the prediction market to wherever they feel comfortable pushing it (in that case you can’t really follow them in the trade as they will have bought through the limited liquidity on prediction markets)? or do they build their position slowly over the 5m/15m market?
- it’s not that hard for manipulators to switch wallets and then it becomes hard to track
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Interesting paper that surprised no-one. Here is some potential alpha: Given that Polymarket trades are public, a trader should be able to identify when these whales are participating and how they are positioned, and front-run them.
Ruizhe Jia@RuizheJia
Binance is arguably the world's largest crypto exchange. Feb 2026: Polymarket lists a small 5-minute Bitcoin contract. Since then, Binance order flow spikes in the final seconds before settlement; prices revert soon after. New paper with David Dai and Shihao Yu ( @ShihaoY ): Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets (papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…)🧵 The finding, up front: Traders push Bitcoin's price in the final seconds to decide the contract. That push makes the price less informative, yet Bitcoin's market more liquid. Market makers are largely insulated; ordinary traders lose $7.6M in two months.
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@k_schellinger the gc learns banking is more profitable than gambling
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@HansTheElder the moment 5% rake was mentioned everyone wanted to be the banker
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@FishyDeFi @Vistadex it's just showing one market, or am i missing where it shows the market on different venues?

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