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Russia Watcher

Russia Watcher

@russia_watcher

The Russia Watcher is a daily tracking survey of Russian public opinion, run by political scientists at @Princeton @PUPolitics. Learn more at https://t.co/sdTCXt9Tjb.

Princeton, NJ Katılım Temmuz 2022
5 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler
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Isabelle DeSisto
Isabelle DeSisto@isadesisto·
Playing w/ Google Trends data in the wake of Russia's Telegram ban. Throttling began in Feb. 2026, as far as I can tell, & got more serious in Mar. (explaining the spikes). The interest in VPN is much greater now than the Feb. 2022 when the full-scale invasion began.
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Support for the “special military operation” in Russia is also at its lowest point in a year, although it’s hard to tell if this is a new trend or an aberration.
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Interestingly, we observed a notable drop in Putin approval within our daily surveys of the Russian public during the month of October. Given that Putin approval has been highly stable for years, per our data, this may be a notable finding. Any ideas as to what may underly this?
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
In Russia, approval of Trump increased significantly leading up to and after the “Alaska Summit.” But in the past month, disapproval has crept back up to the level it was when Trump took office.
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
As talk of negotiations continues, ordinary Russians remain uncompromising. Around 40% say that troops should withdraw only after annexing part of Ukraine & regime change (i.e., ousting Zelensky). Only 10% support an unconditional, immediate withdrawal.
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
How has Russian public opinion shifted in the wake of the "Alaska Summit," which took place on August 15. One notable change: approval of Donald Trump has increased considerably from its all-time low at the beginning of the month.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher

Just two days before the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, disapproval of Trump has reached its peak in Russia, with nearly 40% of Russians saying they strongly disapprove of him and another 25% saying they somewhat disapprove. 1/

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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Only about 10% (down from nearly 15% in September) say Russia should withdraw without any conditions, and >10% still say Russia should annex all of Ukraine. /END
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
But this doesn't mean Russians are willing to give up much. Our data show that as approval for negotiations has been going up, willingness to compromise has been going down: the % who say they want to annex part of Ukraine & achieve regime change has grown since February 2025. 4/
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Just two days before the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, disapproval of Trump has reached its peak in Russia, with nearly 40% of Russians saying they strongly disapprove of him and another 25% saying they somewhat disapprove. 1/
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher

Trump’s rating in Russia just keeps going down… this is the lowest approval rating we’ve ever recorded as part of Russia Watcher. (We started tracking this stat daily in April 2024.)

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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Meanwhile, approval of negotiations is also at an all-time high, with a sizable majority expressing support. This is probably because negotiations seem increasingly likely to occur, and also (we suspect) because Russians believe they are in a good negotiating position.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
However, Trump approval is still much higher than Biden approval was; less than 10% of Russians said they approved of the former US president before Trump took office.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Now, around 60% of our respondents say they disapprove of Trump, and only about 20% approve.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
Approval of Donald Trump among Russians is now at the lowest level since fall 2024. After major upticks in approval in early February and early May, approval of the US president has been steadily eroding.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher

Approval of Donald Trump in Russia has been climbing since the US president's inauguration in late January. When Trump took office a plurality of Russians (>30%) said they "strongly disapprove" of his actions. Now strong disapproval is only ~20% of respondents. 1/

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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
If anything, Russians have become less worried about the economic effects of the so-called "special military operation." This suggests that although there is considerable dissatisfaction with the economy, many people don't blame their economic troubles on the war.
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Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
How do Russians view the economic effects of the war against 🇺🇦? On the one hand, people have become increasingly dissatisfied w/ their personal financial situations in the last 2 months. On the other hand, worry about the economic consequences of the war hasn't changed much.
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Russia Watcher
Russia Watcher@russia_watcher·
At the same time, most Russians don't think that the war poses a serious threat to them personally. In fact, threat perceptions have actually decreased somewhat over the past ~1.5 months.
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