

Ryan | Loading... 🇺🇸
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@ryanconnor
Head of Research @blockworksres/ @blockworks_ The most profitable arb is time horizon. Progress is boundless🇺🇸 tg: @ryanrconnor.



Personal Update: This is my last week at Blockworks. What @JasonYanowitz & @MikeIppolito_ have built is truly exceptional - high talent density, high work ethic, *great* people. I’m gonna miss this team, & I’m grateful for everyone here that made this chapter special. I’m just lucky to have been a part of it. There is no doubt in my mind Blockworks continues to grow and dominate data, research, & podcasts. This team SHIPS like no other. @smyyguy, @EffortCapital, @0xMether, @GoldDefi, @fejau_inc and the rest of the team are just getting started. Excited for what’s ahead. On to the next thing. More soon.








Unbelievably radicalizing exchange The fact that Newsom (correctly?) thinks this will gain him points is horrific Any competent politician (forgive the oxymoron) would tighten budgets at every turn To openly mock those exposing the disgusting fraud and abuse ... Insane.




It's interesting that the only overblown market reaction to AI thus far has been to the downside - i.e. the "SaaSpocalypse" - which is the opposite of what we've seen from public markets historically, and the opposite of what bears predicted. (side note: thank you C.C. Wei and Oracle bond investors for putting a temporary cap on public market exuberance) Anything can happen in 10-20 years, especially to incumbents during a business model & platform shift. But on timeframes that we can actually reason about, the TAM of SaaS is exploding, which should drive aggregate tech sector market cap higher. This should benefit both startups *and incumbents*, as addressable areas of the economy are increasing due to LLMs and scaling laws. Startups can tackle the SaaS frontier (e.g. legal and healthtech today), whereas incumbents can solve the long-tail of edge case features that their installed base has been begging for for years & expand their bundle. Incumbents that embrace AI and take pain on margins will be rewarded. We've seen this play out in tech before (i.e. hyperscalers). Take a look at the top 20 holdings in IGV. What do you see? Network effects, bundled products with extraordinarily high switching costs, and, most importantly, business *context*, which, funny enough, AI startups & foundation model companies do not have. Yes, the cost of producing software is dropping dramatically. But writing code is far from the most important part of building a successful SaaS company. Always has been. There are some obvious areas to be bearish on (e.g. ticketing software or single feature calendar products). But I am *not* bearish on the vast majority of incumbent SaaS here, and believe the current re-rating is in many cases an opportunity. And one more positive - any irrational move to the downside extends the economic cycle and pushes the inevitable bubble further into the future. "SaaSpocalypse" headlines & podcasts are welcome.



Seattle’s socialist Mayor Katie Wilson has officially declared war on grocery chains. She claims she will unilaterally BAN grocery stores from closing down in her city, arguing that food access is a human right that overrides business decisions. She said : "We cannot allow big grocery chains to close stores at will!" The Plan: If a private business tries to leave due to theft, taxes, or safety concerns... the government will step in. Her allies in the state legislature have even introduced a bill (HB-2313) allowing the city to use Eminent Domain to SEIZE grocery store properties and turn them into government-run shops. Mayor Katie Wilson calls it "protecting the community." Critics call it "holding businesses hostage." Thoughts?