Satish Subramanian

03/27 Notes 1) Fairly Simple Now - Market wants Clear resolution to Iran. 2) We sliced thru SPX 6500 after a dead cat bounce to retest 200 DMA from below. 3) Next magnet is the Previous All time Highs at SPX 6147. 4) Current Correction is 9.2 % and if we get to SPX 6147, it will be a 12.2% Correction - healthy enough for a tradeable bounce. 5) Let's see what happens on weekend. 6) Need to take it Level to Level 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution

03/21 SPY Analysis 1) SPY seems to indicate Capitulation Volume. 2) Last 3 times we have High Selling Volume we got a Strong Bounce. 3) We seem to be set up for a retest from below of 200 DMA and in the event of any good news on Iran front we might even retest 50 DMA from below. 4) Taking into account Larry Williams's Cycle forecast and the fact that we are yet to Retest Previous All Time Highs have my best guess forecast for this retest end of May. Lets see..... 5) Excited to see some Range Expansion from the Brutal/Extreme Consolidation we have been seeing for months . Gives opportunities to add to Long term portfolio. 6) Need to take it Level to Level. 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

03/20 Notes 1) Trump posting after Futures Closed Friday on Military Operations winding down and responsibility to other countries to police Strait of Hormuz- Need to see weekend headlines and wait for Sunday Futures Open to see market reaction. My take - slightly bullish for a relief bounce to retest some key breakdown levels from below per charts. 2) SPX - Nicely under the 200 DMA , but will likely test it form below on Monday 3) Oil at high 90s and surprisingly Gold and Silver selling off . Bitcoin holding 70 K. 3) ES Futures - Due for a Short covering bounce after putting in a Failed Breakdown of a key Sep 2025 Level . Closed with a 4 Hour Hammer Candle. Technically hinting at a relief Bounce . 4) Everything hinges headlines around on Strait of Hormuz. Nothing else matters. 5) Need to take it Level to Level 6) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

03/13 Notes 1) Its fairly simple now. We Gap Up on Sunday Futures Open if we have Iran War De-escalation for Ships to go thru the Strait of Hormuz. We Gap Down if no De-escalation, followed by the inevitable short squeeze and then another leg down till we have De-escalation. This pattern will be on autopilot by the algos till we have De-escalation. 2) Nothing else matters. Economic Indicators like CPI/PPI, Jobs , FOMC meeting (next Wednesday) - market likely won't care till No. 1 above is addressed. 3) Need to wait this out. 4) Need to take it Level to Level. 5) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

2026 Forecast based on latest Larry Williams's Cycle forecast on March 4

02/28 Quick S&P Futures Price Action Analysis of Russia Invasion of Ukraine 60 point Down in One Hour , 15 more points to bottom, Wednesday night 7 AM Pacific Thursday all 75 points recovered Thursday Close up 104 points Friday Weekly Close up 198 points

02/28 Quick Analysis of S&P Futures price action during Operation Midnight Hammer on June 21/22, 2025 60 Point Gap Down on Sunday afternoon Monday Open at exactly Friday Level i.e. all 60 points recovered Monday Close Up 52 Points ! Weekly Close Up 200 Points !

02/27 Notes 1) NVDA sell off and PPI hot Nos. pulled the market down but it is still in the Green Channel range - we are exactly in the middle of the Green Channel. 2) Very Slow and Choppy action today but we will get a better move next week with month end positioning complete. 3) Bears still control intra day and the Bull Bear Line - Lakshman Rekha has dropped lower from previous charts. 4) Weekend Iran headline risk could cause a Gap Down that will be bought immediately (100% win rate in markets). 5) Given ES Futures is structurally bullish, we have to assume we will try to claw our way up slowly. 6) Need to take it Level to Level. 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

SPX Same level as on Oct 2025 .

02/20 Notes 1) Quite an Eventful Day. GDP 1.4% vs 2.8% but explained due to Shutdown last Quarter. PCE (Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge) hotter than expected 0.4 % vs 0.3% giving fuel for Fed's hawks. OPEX Friday today and SPX pinned at 6909- and importantly recovered and closed above its 8,21 and 50 Day Daily Moving Averages. 2) Trump defiant with Supreme Court ruling against Tariffs. 3) Goldman: "This won’t be the end of tariffs… the administration will almost certainly roll out alternative legal frameworks. Net result is probably slightly fewer tariffs, materially more trade uncertainty, and some incremental deficit concerns. Net-net, that’s mildly supportive for equities and mildly negative for bonds… but largely priced for both" 4) Awaiting weekend reading and assess impact on Tariffs decision. Trump is clear refunds will be litigated for months/years. 5) Next week will be all about NVDA Results on Wednesday afternoon. We will have Trump's SOTU speech on Tuesday evening for entertainment with Supreme Court Judges sitting right in front of him . 6) Iran attack decision after 10-15 days. I suspect any action only after Ramadan. Any Iran attack dips need to be bought right away - 100% win rate in markets. 7) ES- S&P Futures path on plan per last Friday's forecast and will tag the Lakshman Rekha- Bull Bear Line from below likely on Sunday night/Monday morning and that's going to be a Decision Point. I am prepared for both Options, but am leaning Bullish. 8) Need to take it Level to Level. 9) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

02/13 Notes 1) After Favorable CPI Nos. today, Bulls held the Bottom and put in a Failed Breakdown but the follow thru has been slow. 2) Bears still control the action Intra day but bulls have the path to test the Bull Bear Line (Lakshman Rekha) at 6954. 3) We have early formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and once we clear the Neck Line - we should get ~200 points for the measured move. 4) We do need support from the Mag 7 for the Rally back to All time Highs . NVDA results is on Feb 25 and perhaps we may have slow grind up next week to fully from the Right Shoulder. 5) Monday is a NYSE Holiday but Futures will be open till 10 AM Pacific from Sunday afternoon open . 6) No major earnings except Palo Alto Networks on Tuesday and Walmart on Thursday. 7) FOMC Meeting Mins on Wednesday and Core PCE and GDP print on Friday on the Economic Calendar. 8) Expect a slow week next week (assuming no Trump truth social bombs) as we have Monthly OPEX next Friday on 02/20 as well. 9) Need to take it Level to Level. 10) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

02/11 Notes 1) Good Consolidation today slightly below All Time Highs . 2) Bulls Filled the last Bearish 4 Hour Fair Value Gap Supply today at the top and have now cleared the way for a Move Up. We have a newly formed Megaphone in Blue as well. 3) With a Blockbuster Jobs report , market is figuring out whether to treat it as a Good News for Stock Market or Bad News . Good Jobs reports lessens the need for fed Cuts .... 4) CPI Friday morning and think we will have a chance to break out of this consolidation. I have two possible paths and prefer Scenario B i.e. some more consolidation till Friday. 5) On the Daily Level ES Futures printed a Doji (Indecision Candle ) across the entire width of the Megaphone. 6) Need to take it Level to Level 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution

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02/06 Notes 1) Massive Failed Breakdown of the Dec 17 Low and ES futures put a 150+ Point Day ending at the High of the Day. 2) There were 4 Fakeouts of the Bull Bear Line this week - which is rare and we had an extremely Strong Close . Honestly I am prepared for Fakeout No. 5 next week. 3) We likely need a day or two to cool off next week and digest the gains before moving up .. 4) We have been consolidating at the same level since October and if we clear the Green Flag, we likely have a significant move upwards. 5) Crypto might have bottomed - at least beginning of capitulation and added IBIT and ETHA . 6) Need to take it Level to Level 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

02/05 Notes 1) Relentless Selling today (but SPX is just 3.2 % from All Time Highs) that we hit a week or so back . 2) From yesterday's update , we lost 6900 and sold 100+ points per yesterday's chart. 2) No major news , but Crypto fell - Bitcoin and Ethereum in complete meltdown leading to 'FORCED DELEVERAGING" due to Margin Calls. This will end hopefully soon. 4) Waiting for Crypto experts to explain the reason for Crypto Meltdown . Waiting for Tom Lee's next CNBC appearance .. 5) AMZN had mixed results , and has on massive CAPEX spending forecast ( ~$200B ) like other Hyperscalers. Good for the AI trade but looks like Market is trying to figure out whether to like or dislike this level of CAPEX spending . 6) Technically Bears have the Ball now and till the Updated Bull Bear Line- Lakshman Rekha is recovered (rather convincingly), we are in Sell the Bounce mode. 7) My Lean is we will have a Bounce/Short squeeze tonight /tomorrow and what happens at the Bull Bear Line ~6900 on ES will set future direction. 8) Need to take it Level to Level 9) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution.

02/04 Notes 1) We have had 3 consecutive Fakeouts this week - Failed Breakdown of the Bull Bear Line (Lakshman Rekha) and all 3 times we have recovered the line- currently a zone from 6920-6935 in ES. Today we closed right inside the zone. 2) GOOGL had Great Results and increased CAPEX from $115B - $180B. Has been whipsawing and flattish.. 3) We did put in a Failed Breakdown of the Sunday Low and can continue up (My lean) on the recovery of 6935 f, but I am prepared for Fakeout No. 4 tomorrow with AMZN results .. 4) Crypto Sell Off continuing and Bitcoin hit Target 2 .. No sign of Bottoming yet. 5) Software (SaaS) Sell Off seems Extreme. Separate thread on it later on opportunities in that sector. 6) Need to take it Level to Level. 7) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution

01/30 Notes 1) Consolidation Day in ES futures today, but Bulls have the ball and Flagging in a Bull Flag below All Time Highs 2) GOOGL and AMZN results next week , but appears NVDA broke out on the weekly chart and have to assume the path of least resistance is UP for now- may Consolidate inside the Green Bull Flag for a few more days . 3) Silver and Gold pulled back heavily - but doing more analysis over the weekend . Looks like another bounce possible here . 4) Need to take it Level to Level 5) Know Your Levels and Focus on Execution