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Saurabh Agarwal
1.4K posts

Saurabh Agarwal
@saur_agar7
On a learning curve,sharing thoughts on the way.
Kolkata Katılım Temmuz 2015
12 Takip Edilen337 Takipçiler

Good #Q4FY26-30/5/26 post 8pm
End of #Q4FY26
A healthy,big earnings season for midcaps, Smallcaps, microcaps and SME companies
Probably,last set of results coverage for #Q4FY26
MSP Steel and Power Ltd
#MSPSteel
Solid Q4FY26 with big margin expansion QoQ and YoY
Rev at 816cr vs 760cr, Q3 at 639vr
PBT at 48cr vs 10cr, Q3 at 8cr
PAT at 85cr vs -34cr, Q3 at 5cr
FY26 PBT at 78cr vs 2.5cr
OCF at 148cr vs 189cr
Power and Instrumentation Gujarat
#PIGL
160bps margin expansion
Rev⏫6% at 58cr⏫21% QoQ
EBITDA at 6.4cr⏫25% YoY
⏫8% QoQ
PAT at 4cr ⏫40% YoY,⏫10% QoQ
PTC Industries
#PTCInds
Delivers a robust Q4FY26
Good QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
Rev at 225cr vs 122cr, Q3 at 156cr
PBT at 72cr vs 32cr, Q3 at 25cr
PAT at 60cr vs 25cr, Q3 at 18cr
OCF at -69cr vs 14cr
BR Goyal Infra
#BRGoyal
Solid H2FY26
Good growth vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Rev at 478cr vs 296cr, H1 at 342cr
PBT at 41cr vs 26cr, H1 at 22cr
PAT at 29cr vs 19cr, H1 at 16cr
FY26 PBT at 63cr vs 34cr
FY26 PAT at 45cr vs 25cr
OCF at 2cr vs -85cr
Sahana Systems
#Sahana
Solid H2FY26 with big uptick vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Highest ever set
Rev at 216cr vs 115cr, H1 at 115cr
PBT at 61cr vs 37cr, H1 at 38cr
PAT at 47cr s 25cr, H1 at 28cr
FY26 PBT at 98cr vs 56cr
FY26 PAT at 75cr vs 39cr
OCF at 41cr vs -48cr
Tenneco Clean Air
#Tenneco
Rev at 1552cr vs 1326cr, Q3 at 1286cr
PBT at 231cr vs 192cr, Q3 at 192cr
OCF at 1429cr vs 562cr
#CoastalCorp
Good Q4FY26
Rev at 325cr vs 157cr, Q3 at 303cr Other income at 12cr vs 4cr
PBT at 13cr vs 0.04cr, Q3 at 7cr
PAT at 10cr.l vs loss, Q3 at 7cr
OCF at -20cr vs 5cr
#AMICForging
Good H2FY26 and FY26
Last year had 20cr other income which isn't there this time
Rev at 75cr vs 67cr in H1
PBT at 23cr vs 17cr in H1
PAT at 16cr vs 12cr in H1
FY26 PBT at 39cr vs 25cr
OCF at 9cr vs 6cr
Shri Venkatesh Refineries
#SVRL
Solid H2FY26 with big growth vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Rev at 821cr vs 393cr, H1 at 556cr
PBT at 33cr vs 15cr, H1 at 9cr
PAT at 24cr vs 11cr, H1 at 14cr
OCF at -70cr vs 1cr
Confidence Petroleum
#ConfiPet
Rev at 1215cr vs 925cr, Q3 at 1393cr
PBT at 42cr vs 33cr, Q3 at 27cr
PAT at 34cr vs 27cr, Q3 at 21cr
OCF at 400cr vs 5cr
#OneGlobal
Good QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
Rev at 133cr vs 55cr, Q3 at 33cr
PBT at 24cr vs 14cr, Q3 at 5cr
PAT at 18cr vs 11cr, Q3 at 3cr
OCF at 3cr vs 14cr
#BlueCloud
Blue Cloud Softtech
Rev at 277cr vs 184cr, Q3 at 265cr
PBT at 23cr vs 16cr, Q3 at 25cr
OCF at 208cr vs -13cr
#Transteel
Rev at 61cr vs 54cr, H1 at 78cr
PBT at 16cr vs 11cr, H1 at 13cr
OCF at -8cr vs 8cr
#SavyInfra
Rev at 422cr vs 185cr, H1 at 216cr
PBT at 34cr vs 23cr, H1 at 25cr
PAT at 24cr vs 13cr, H1 at 18cr
OCF at -51cr vs -14cr
#ShrinbasPradhan
Rev at 34cr vs 24cr, Q3 at 27cr
PBT at 4.5cr vs 3cr, H1 at 3.5cr
OCF at -7cr vs 1cr
#Macobs
Rev at 22cr vs 7cr, H1 at 19cr
PBT at 2.2cr vs 1cr, H1 at 1.9cr
OCF at 0.8cr vs -12cr
Vaswani Industries
#Vaswani
Good Q4FY26,but FY26 sees a sharp degrowth vs FY25
Rev at 143cr vs 115cr, Q3 at 124cr
PBT at 10cr vs 6.6cr, Q3 at loss
PAT at 5.3cr vs 2cr, Q3 at loss
OCF at 18cr vs 34cr
#MotherNutriFoods
Solid H2FY26
Big growth vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Rev at 73cr vs 48cr, H1 at 50cr
PBT at 7.6cr vs 2.5cr, H1 at 6.5cr
PAT at 6.3cr vs 1.1cr, H1 at 5.3cr
OCF at -45cr vs -3cr
#DeepPolymers
Rev at 27cr vs 23cr, Q3 at 21cr
Other income at 2.3cr vs 0.6cr
PBT at 4cr vs 1cr, Q3 at 1cr
OCF at 12cr vs 20cr
#AtenPaper
Rev at 120cr vs 81cr, H1 at 67cr
PBT at 7cr vs 4cr, H1 at 3cr
PAT at 5cr vs 3cr, H1 at 2cr
OCF at -25cr vs 5cr
#AffordableRobotics
Rev down sharply at 51cr vs 84cr
PBT at 7.3cr vs 4.5cr, Q3 at 1.4cr
OCF at 7cr vs -6cr
Decent:
#ZealGlobal
#UnilexColors
#SubaHotels
English

Understanding V2 Retail Q4FY26 Results and Unit Economics of business.
youtu.be/pgnMA9Xmi0U?si…

YouTube
English

Two dynamics plays around in any sector.
1)Percieved headwinds-->Which may detoriate future performance.
2)Yet continued execution from managemnt across different businessess in the same sector.
How how does the narrative change.
Stage 1-->Fear leading to severe downgrades and execution risks factors in.Risk Reports emerge.
Stage 2-->Continued Earning momentum,questions stage 1 every QoQ.
Stage 3-->Fear subsides,soon narratives change from fear to slight chnage to normalcy.
Stage 4-->Newer reports,justifying the performance and slowly Stage 1 threats becomes an opportunity.
Stage 5-->Ultimately earnings and performance wins over all above noise.
One such sector is Flex Space in India.
Allmost all leading players grew at >25% CAGR in last year,with better ROCE,Margins improvement.
There are signs of narrative changing from Stage 1 to Stage 2.
Slowly imo we will move to other stages,lets see where this unfolds.
One such is recently publised by Redseer
"AI and the Future of Flexible Workspaces",one can read and get an idea where things are moving.Same is the narrative across the sector.
I will be dscussing this sector in detail soon.
Can u name few more such sectors??

English

If someone is interested to see how Jwellery Sector actually works one can directly refer to B2B manufacturers rather than B2C retailers.
Retailers command higher TAM but the real process lies with Manufacturers.
Now among the manufacturers the shift of Unorganised to Organised is much more pronounced as they are coming from a smaller base.
Thus the scope for formalisation is tremendous,not adding TAM from export markets.
Also in case of rising gold prices organised players are much more likely to win.
Jewellery Sector is actually in a continuous bull run for the past 2-3 decades,which saw gold prices increasing many fold.
Also custom duty changes were many times in the past.
And the sector continues to perform.
Even the most laggard is growing at 20%+ CAGR.
I will discuss all the dynamics of this sector in a lecture form.
I don't know how long the video will be but it will be of immense help to anyone interested in this sector.
Video will include almost all listed major B2B and B2C players.
It will be a timeless video for investors.
Stay tuned for the video.
Tomorrow 7pm💪
@agarwal_saur?si=zzUFmUXgjO5fs4mb" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@agarwal_saur?…
English

If someone is interested to see how Jwellery Sector actually works one can directly refer to B2B manufacturers rather than B2C retailers.
Retailers command higher TAM but the real process lies with Manufacturers.
Now among the manufacturers the shift of Unorganised to Organised is much more pronounced as they are coming from a smaller base.
Thus the scope for formalisation is tremendous,not adding TAM from export markets.
Also in case of rising gold prices organised players are much more likely to win.
Jewellery Sector is actually in a continuous bull run for the past 2-3 decades,which saw gold prices increasing many fold.
Also custom duty changes were many times in the past.
And the sector continues to perform.
Even the most laggard is growing at 20%+ CAGR.
I will discuss all the dynamics of this sector in a lecture form.
I don't know how long the video will be but it will be of immense help to anyone interested in this sector.
Video will include almost all listed major B2B and B2C players.
It will be a timeless video for investors.
Stay tuned for the video.
Tomorrow 7pm💪
@agarwal_saur?si=zzUFmUXgjO5fs4mb" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@agarwal_saur?…
English

Hey everyone in this video I have analysed 9 EPC businesses almost all have seen some margin pressure.
Same is the case with Oriana Power will be analysing it also soon.
Till then if someone is interested to know what is happening in these business below.
One may look at this video made yesterday.
youtu.be/sveCHd8q5TY?si…

YouTube
English

Good #Q4FY26-28/5/26 post 10pm
Taurian MPS
#TaurianMPS
#Taurian
Solid H2FY26
Great comeback quarter after not so great H1FY26
Highest ever revenue, EBITDA, PBT and PAT in comps history
Big growth vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Rev at 67cr vs 43cr, H1 at 32cr
PBT at 16.2cr vs 7.7cr, H1 at 5.2cr
PAT at 12.5cr vs 5.6cr, H1 at 3.6cr
FY26 PBT at 22cr vs 13cr
FY26 PAT at 16.2cr vs 9.3cr
OCF at -37cr with inventory at 47cr vs 26cr
Prime Focus
#PrimeFocus
#PFocus
Core growth is very good,there are few one offs which needs to be adjusted
Good revenue uptick
Solid EBITDA growth with good margin expansion QoQ and YoY
Rev at 1384cr vs 979cr⏫41% YoY
⏫15% QoQ
EBITDA at 488cr vs 232cr⏫110% YoY
⏫24% QoQ
OPM at 35% vs 24%, Q3 at 33%
⏫1100bps YoY,⏫240 bps QoQ
PBT at
Oriana Power
#Oriana
Decent H2FY26, margin pressure
Good topline uptick, margins under pressure
Rev at 1032cr vs 628cr, H1 at 781cr
EBITDA at 218cr vs 159cr⏫65%
OPM at 21% vs 25%
Employee expenses at 35cr vs 10cr
Finance costs at 43cr vs 17cr
PBT at 185cr vs 145cr, H1 at 162cr
PAT at 130cr vs 110cr, H1 at 122cr FY26 PBT at 347cr vs 212cr
FY26 PAT at 252cr vs 159cr
OCF at 337cr vs 251cr
Happiest Minds Technologies
#Happiest
#HappiestMinds
Better show, valuations still on higher side
Rev at 604cr sv 544cr, Q3 at 587cr Other income at 18cr vs 26cr
PBT at 77cr vs 55cr, Q3 at 76cr
PAT at 61cr vs 34cr, Q3 at 40cr
OCF at 261cr vs 236cr
12.5% revenue growth for FY27 with aspirations to reach 15%
EFC Ltd
#EFCI
Decent Q4FY26
Highest ever revenue, EBITDA, PBT and PAT in comps history
Rev at 293cr vs 211cr, Q3 at 270cr
PBT at 85cr vs 71cr, Q3 at 82cr
PAT at 68cr vs 49cr, Q3 at 62cr
OCF at 56cr vs 133cr
Sattrix Information Security
#Sattrix
Good H2FY26
Rev at 33cr vs 22cr, H1 at 28cr
PBT at 8cr vs 5cr, H1 at 3cr
PAT at 6cr vs 3.6cr, H1 at 2cr
OCF at 2cr vs -7cr
Cash UR Drive Marketing
#CashURDrive
#CUDML
Good H2FY26
Rev at 108cr vs 75cr, H1 at 78cr
PBT at 24cr vs 12.5cr, H1 at 14.5cr
PAT at 18.5cr vs 9.5cr, H1 at 11cr
OCF at -20cr vs -25cr
#Greenleaf
Greenleaf Envirotech
Rev at 40cr vs 28cr, H1 at 21cr
PBT at 5.9cr vs 4.5cr, H1 at 3.8cr
OCF at -13cr vs 6cr
#Divyadhan
Rev at 43cr vs 28cr, H1 at 36cr
PBT at 2.1cr vs 0.2cr, H1 at 0.2cr
OCF at 20cr vs 10cr
#MehaiTech
Rev at 62cr vs 52cr, Q3 at 22cr
PBT at 4cr vs 1.4cr, Q3 at 2.9cr
OCF at 14cr vs -22cr
Decent:
#MahalaxmiRubtech-PBT⏫16%
English

Q4 was a tough quarter for EPC players.
How is the outlook from here?
In this video I have analysed Q4FY26 results of 9 EPC players and outlook from here.
1) Vikran Engineering
2)Suzlon Energy
3)Pace Digitek
4) Transrail Lighting
5)Techno Electric
6)Advait Energy
7)KP Energy
8)KP Green Energy
9)KPI Green Engineering
To watch deep dive on q4 result of
10)Rajesh Power
11)Bondada Engineering
Refer Q4 playlist on my YT channel.
youtu.be/sveCHd8q5TY?si…
#epc
#transrail
#kpGroup
#technoElectric

YouTube
English

Based on Senco Gold's guidence of FY 27,their PAT is likely to decline in FY27.
Seems they are highly conservative,or too cautious to avoid failing.
Senco's business is facing tough competition from West & South [ie Gadgil and Kalyan],Titan is already the giant + local unorganised players.
This shows in geographies where Senco operate ,either their brand isn't strong(which is clearly not the case),thus meaning they don't have pricing power.
Effectively loosing mkt share to both organised and unorganised players.
Their hedging policy never makes any sense and is always struck between managing inventory vs getting advantage of gold price increase.Thus defeating the sole purpose hedging.
Neither of these lead to sustained margin expansion and operating leverage.Despite base becoming bigger and store expansion rate (in %) declining,thus loosing on the benefits which come from scale.
No wonder Senco's business model is given valuation even lesser than few of commodity business[as of now ofc].
Video coming soon discussing ~10-12 players from B2B and B2C Jwellery Sector.
Stay tuned !
English

@nid_rockz youtu.be/6GEa00qwOyQ?si…
Business Model Of Solarworld Energy was discussed 7 months back,good to see business continuing to perform consistantly.

YouTube
English

Good #Q4FY26-26/5/26 post 1pm till 5pm
Marksans Pharma
#Marksans
Solid Q4FY26
Big QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
Rev at 856cr vs 708cr, Q3 at 754cr
PBT at 200cr vs 116cr, Q3 at 151cr
PAT at 149cr vs 91cr, Q3 at 114cr
OCF at 458cr vs 206cr
Ambika Cotton
#AmbikCot
Good Q4FY26 with good QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
Rev at 215cr vs 136cr, Q3 at 174cr
PBT at 33cr vs 22cr, Q3 at 20cr
PAT at 25cr vs 16cr, Q3 at 15cr
OCF at 228cr vs 129cr
RedTape India
#RedTape
Good Q4FY26 with highest ever Q4
Rev at 676cr vs 506cr
PBT at 96cr vs 57cr
PAT at 70cr vs 41cr
OCF at 174cr vs 4cr
Diamond Power
#DiaCabs
Solid Q4FY26
Rev at 696cr vs 333cr, Q3 at 474cr EBITDA at 77cr vs 14cr worth good margin expansion YoY
PBT and PAT at 62cr vs 9cr, Q3 at 51cr
Good QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
OCF at -80cr vs 17cr
Goodluck India
#Goodluck
Rev down, margin expands QoQ and YoY
Rev at 1078cr vs 1092cr
PBT at 77cr vs 57cr, Q3 at 59cr
PAT at 56cr vs 42cr, Q3 at 44cr
OCF at 200cr vs 158cr
Procter and Gamble Health
#PGH
Solid Q4FY26
Rev at 370cr vs 311cr, Q3 at 373cr
PBT at 133cr vs 79cr, Q3 at 109cr
PAT at 95cr vs 61cr, Q3 at 78cr
OCF at 338cr vs 169cr
Solarworld Energy Solutions
#SolarWorld
Good Q4FY26, lower QoQ
Very good YoY
Rev at 592cr vs 176cr, Q3 at 578cr
Other income at 15cr vs 10cr QoQ
PBT at 64cr vs 14cr, Q3 at 67cr
PAT at 49cr vs 9cr,flat QoQ
OCF at -48cr vs 54cr
AIA Engineering
#AIAEngg
Rev at 1266cr vs 1157cr, Q3 at 1066cr
PBT at 460cr vs 357cr, Q3 at 381cr
PAT at 393cr vs 285cr, Q3 at 293c4
OCF at 591cr vs 1162cr
Grauer Weil
#GrauerWeil
Good Q4FY26
Solid QoQ and YoY uptick across all parameters
Rev at 353cr vs 337cr, Q3 at 288cr
PBT at 67cr vs 34cr Q3 at 45cr
PAT at 51cr vs 26cr, Q3 at 33cr
OCF at 154cr vs 145cr
Jasch Industries
#Jasch
Solid Q4FY26
Rev at 78cr vs 50cr, Q3 at 57cr
PBT at 8.5cr vs 3cr, Q3 at 2.4cr
PAT at 6 3cr vs 2.5cr, Q3 at 2.5cr
OCF at 3cr vs 8cr
Rupa and Co
#Rupa
Good one after ages
Rev at 440cr vs 424cr, Q3 at 312cr
PBT at 52cr vs 42cr, Q2 at 23cr
PAT at 36cr vs 30cr, Q3 at 16cr
OCF at 45cr vs 59cr
JK Tyres
#JKTyre
Rev at 4223cr vs 3758cr, Q3 at 4222cr
EBITDA at 546cr vs 384cr, Q3 at 583cr
PBT at 323cr vs 146cr, Q3 at 358cr
OCF at 1443cr vs 715cr
Asahi Songwon
#AsahiSong
Rev down at 144cr vs 152cr, Q3 at 122cr
PBT at 15cr vs 9cr, Q3 at 3cr
PAT at 11cr vs 7cr, Q3 at 2cr
OCF at 43cr vs 58cr
TIPCO Engineering
#TIPCO
Solid H2FY26
Good growth vs H1FY26 and H2FY25
Rev at 95cr vs 57cr, H1 at 50cr
PBT at 21ce vs 9cr, H1 at 11cr
PAT at 17cr vs 6.5cr, Q3 at 8.5cr
OCF at 16cr vs -31cr
Lokesh Machines
#Lokesh
Rev at 59cr vs 39cr, Q3 at 51cr
PBT at 2.7cr vs 0.3cr, Q3 at 0.9cr
OCF at -13cr vs 21cr
Dhabriya Polywood
#Dhabriya
Rev at 70cr vs 63cr, Q3 at 66cr
PBT at 12cr vs 7cr, Q3 at 10cr
PAT at 8.3cr vs 5cr, Q3 at 7.6cr
OCF at 8cr vs 17cr
Bizotic Commercial
#Bizotic
Rev at 177cr vs 59cr, H1 at 74cr
PBT at 13.7cr vs 4.4cr, H1 at 11.2cr
PAT at 10cr vs 4cr, H1 at 8cr
Recievables at 90cr vs 24cr
OCF at -40cr vs 5cr
Deepak Spinners
#DeepakSpin
Turnaround
Rev flat at 121cr
PBT at 3.6cr vs loss, Q3 at 3.3cr
OCF at 19cr vs 16cr
Northern Spirits
#NorthSpr
Rev at 616cr vs 466cr, Q3 at 596cr
PBT at 7cr vs 3.3cr, Q3 at 9.4cr
PAT at 5cr vs 2cr, Q3 at 7cr
OCF at 7.5cr vs -7cr
TAAL Tech
#TAAL
Rev at 55ce vs 43cr, Q3 at 44cr
PBT at 20cr vs 15cr, Q3 at 14cr
PAT at 17cr vs 11cr, Q3 at 11cr
OCF at 29cr vs 36cr
Benchmark Computer
#Benchmark
Rev at 37cr vs 24cr, H1 at 29cr
PBT at 2.6cr vs 0.9cr, H1 at 2cr
OCF at 8cr vs -4cr
CSL Finance
#CSLFin
Rev at 69cr vs 57cr, Q3 at 64cr
PBT at 30cr vs 25cr, Q3 at 25cr
#PasupatiSpin
Rev flat at 28cr
PBT at 2.5cr vs 0.3cr, Q3 at 0.3cr
OCF at 4.7cr vs 4.3cr
Decent:
#VenusTubes
Rev at 302cr vs 258cr, Q3 at 297cr
PBT at 35cr vs 30cr,flat QoQ
#TransportCorp
Rev⏫12%, PBT ⏫3%
#JubilantIngrevia
PBT ⏫10%
#BlackBox
PBT at 83cr vs 70cr, Q3 at 83cr
#Sumitomo
Rev at 683cr vs 679cr
PBT at 147cr vs 133cr, Q3 at 118cr
#FractalInd
Rev down
PBT at 7.6cr vs 5cr, H1 at 8cr
English

Nahi ... positive for both EPC And module makers.
1)Most EPC modules are purchased by developers.
2)In any case even if the module is purchased by EPC players it's a pass on cost (see full turnkey has better Margins vs BOM epc projects)(turnkey includes modules as part of BOM).
3)Here the developer's perspective is important to fully answer this question.
Now ,for a developer a project is determined by its IRR,these small price changes don't affect IRR.
So no impact there,
4)When a developer and client PPA are negotiated these factors are already taken into account.
5) Now,for purchasers like us or let's say a steel plant or data centre.
Here Renewables has huge cost arbitrage vs coal ,hydro and nuclear thus,these policy changes don't distort the picture by huge margins.
6) Finally it's the push from the govt , before this many such changes have already come,and the ecosystem has strengthened post that.
This is the same, rather it's a positive for the whole sector,
Chinese cell, module price won't impact margin of domestic established players (B/C integrated)
@samisosa1234
Samisosa@samisosa1234
Positive for Solar Mnaufacturers But Negative for Solar EPC players ?
English
