SiHolt

@Allroundfantasy Thanks for all your posts and insight! I’m having a bit of a Conan/Doris, Mann/Botham and Timoney/Bradbury dilemma! Can only afford certain combinations!! SS always a bit of a lottery, aside from injuries any thoughts on likely minutes played by Conan and Botham?

2 hours til kick-off. No last-minute changes, no drama. It's been great to interact with so many of you in the last few weeks. May you win your mini league and have a fantastic super Saturday.

@FRugbyGeek 5-3 so do we think Cracknell will tag with Wainright?

@FRugbyGeek I’m feeling like I need some red in my back row… Botham or Mann, this is the question I think based on points form? What do you think about minutes for those two?

Huge value to be had in the Welsh pack, especially with the 5-3 split in place. Anybody not taking prop idol Rhys Carre??

@6NFantasyExpert Nice! Thanks for the detail! Same theory/logic for Lamaro and L.Cannone?

You’re right that on raw output and consistency alone, Tommaso Menoncello would likely edge it. Well spotted not many would have seen this. Both he and Sione Tuipulotu project for similar minutes and operate in very similar roles, so the base metrics are close. Menoncello is stronger on tries per 80, metres per 80 and kick returns, while Tuipulotu edges assists per 80 and offloads, with tackles and penalties conceded broadly similar. The factor that shifts the ranking in my model this week is captaincy weighting. I apply a small uplift for captains and kickers because they typically: Stay on the pitch longer Have slightly higher involvement in key moments Carry a marginally higher probability of POTM-type returns So purely on statistical output, Menoncello would score higher (about 28.5 vs 17.1 in the base model). But once the captaincy multiplier is applied, Tuipulotu’s expected return moves ahead slightly.

My top 20 players - interesting to see so many Italians dropping in now, as the bookies have given them shorter odds.

@FRugbyGeek Hi George, without Jalibert as my Captain, I’m wondering where to move it… FBB, LBB, or Ramos? I’m not sure what the move to 10 will do for his fantasy points chances!

When I woke up this morning I had Conan as Supersub and Jalibert as Captain. What an insane week of Six Nations. This is why we love/hate fantasy! 🤣😢 Come join me and share your stories of pain in the “Jalibert loss / Only 3 French / Garbisi or Marin appreciation society” 👇

@FRugbyGeek To use your podcast expression, he’s trolling me!

10 minutes left...

@FRugbyGeek Great tournament, thanks for the analysis and polls! I’m subscribed on YouTube! Final choices for me coming down to budget… it’s either Kinghorn+Moefana or Penaud+Fickou … any thoughts?

Poll results so far... CAPTAIN 1 - LBB - 53% 2 - Lowe - 14% 3 - Penaud - 6% 4 - Ramos - 4% 5 - Doris - 4% SUPERSUB 1 - Willis - 24% 2 - Marchand - 16% 3 - Aki - 14% 4 - NLG - 12% 5 - Jegou - 5%

@EnglandRugby Twickenham

Another big challenge on the horizon 👊 #ENGvSCO | #GuinnessM6N

@FRugbyGeek That’s amazing, thanks. Fascinating process! (I notice Negri went up 9 points last night… I guess in game callers missed some stuff!!)

@sch295 Hi Si, a company called Stats Perform (aka Opta) collects it for the Six Nations I believe. This reddit post explains the process... reddit.com/r/rugbyunion/c…

Tough day at the office for the 8% Menoncello captainers 😬

@FRugbyGeek To clarify, i mean who (or what?! AI?!) decides a tackle is a tackle etc

@FRugbyGeek Do you know how are the points are calculated out of interest? Yes, painful day at the egg chasing office today, but genuinely bemused by the Negri/Cannone stat comparison (and resulting points!) 😭

@gentlemanrhymer Ah well, next time may be!

@sch295 Sadly not old thing.

@gentlemanrhymer at Elderflower Fields…Collapsed Lung awesome….any chance your planning a surprise solo appearance on the Woodland Stage….?! One of our Elderflower highlights!!!

@meistertask Great app! Qu about task synchronisation. Is it possible to sync from MeisterTask back to MindMeister? Perhaps just creating a floating topic which can then be connected in the map? (sync from mindmap to task is working, would just be great to go the other way too)