Sean

157 posts

Sean

Sean

@sean_________

TMT catalyst/event-driven trader with a focus on research. My hedgie colleagues publish actionable ideas every morning: https://t.co/3YFPP1nw4v

Katılım Mayıs 2019
2.9K Takip Edilen5.4K Takipçiler
Sean
Sean@sean_________·
GS on Kioxia ( $MU/ $SNDK): The company commented that NAND market will be very tight for both 2026 and 2027. Stronger ASP growth and higher NAND OPM implied from CY2Q26 guidance: "Kioxia USD-based blended ASP more than doubled... ASP is expected to drive the bulk of the 70% growth projected for CY2Q26, we believe this signals higher potential for further upside in NAND ASP growth."
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$SNDK/ $MU: GS on Kioxia "potential for a larger increase in ASP in 1Q3/27 (Apr-Jun) than previously assumed, and raise FY3/27-FY3/28 op. profit est by +22%/+24%. Expect Apr-Jun ASP to rise by >30% qoq (vs. +15% previously) and CY26 ASP to rise 2.7X yoy (vs. 2.4X previously)."

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Sean@sean_________·
Citi on $INTC / $TSM & ABF: "ABF technology readiness is critical for EMIB-T Adoption — Given EMIB-T’s design methodology, the readiness of the ABF substrate ecosystem for ultra-high-density routing, precise bridge embedding, and advanced power delivery is critical for EMIB-T adoption. We believe the capacity and technology readiness will be key checkpoint for EMIB-T penetration in the next 2-3 years."
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Sean@sean_________·
$ANET u/g at Raymond James: " $ORCL maybe next ANET 10% customer... Arista noted $AMD where it is more likely to supply switches in 20-25% of deployments, up meaningfully.... $AVGO chips may present a constraint... other factors fab capacity, wafgers, optics, PCBs, etc."
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Sean@sean_________·
UBS raising $NVDA est: "We believe Rubin chip/compute board production is on track to start this Q, though some fine tuning on rack-level cooling issues seems to be pushing mass production for racks into the Sept/Oct timeframe." $TSM CoWoS upside too.
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Sean@sean_________·
$MU: JPM-strikes "2Q26 memory contract pricing is tracking well above expectations (DRAM +58-63% q/q, NAND +70-75% q/q vs. JPM's prior +40-50% estimate), which could largely neutralize the labor cost headwind and even make the strike a tailwind for near-term pricing negotiations"
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Sean@sean_________·
(2/2): $ANET, $CLS, $MU, $TSM:
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Sean@sean_________·
AI inference ramp. "assume 100M Agentic AI users, 10 agentic task drive 1B agentic execution task workloads, need for 500M CPU cores, at least 2-3M incremental server CPUs (industry ~12-14M server CPUs), underlined by $ARM, $AMD and $INTC ...weekly token generation now >26T"
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Sean@sean_________·
UBS d/g $DELL: "given Dell's AI exposure is more neocloud and enterprise, Dell customer capex should grow slower than hyperscaler capex given stronger balance sheets and cash flow generation at companies like Meta, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft." $SMCI, $TSSI
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Sean@sean_________·
Aletheia's Warren Lau's $NVDA channel checks suggesting Rubin delays on heat-spreader redesign:
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Sean@sean_________·
JPM on AI Token costs: "Eating Internet Profits Alive" $SHOP, $SPOT, $META, $PINS
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