Seb🅰️s DS
274 posts








$ASTS This will be a defining moment where shorts put their ego’s aside and either cover or go bankrupt from here. Let’s come back to this post as I think this/next week will be the last time AST ever trades around $50. The TAM is just too big and nobody can do what they do.



$ASTS: My updated summary of @AST_SpaceMobile post-Q1 2026 update 👇 PROVEN TECHNOLOGY + Broadband D2D technology, protected by approximately 3,900 patents and patent-pending claims + Demonstrated peak data rate of 98.9 Mbps over international waters + Proven spectral efficiency of at least 3 bits/Hz, with Block 2 BlueBird satellites expected to achieve ~200 Mbps downlink per beam + Proven seamless satellite-to-satellite handover + Actively working on ~10 distinct non-communications use cases, each in various stages of maturity and each having potential to grow into government contracts worth "hundreds of millions" of annual revenue each + Actively demonstrating low band radar applications to the US government, supporting the needs of Golden Dome PARTNERSHIPS + Multiple 5 to 10 year commercial definitive agreements and/or equity investments with major key MNOs around the world: AT&T, FirstNet, Verizon, Vodafone, STC Group, Bell, and Telus + Nearly 60 memorandums of understanding and/or agreements with global MNOs that are on a path to commercial definitive agreements + European joint venture with Vodafone: Satellite Connect Europe, which has partnerships with Orange, Telefonica, Axian Telecom, VodafoneThree UK, Vodafone Ireland, Romania, and Ukraine, CK Hutchison Group, Sunrise, and Taiwan Mobile + Prime Contractor to the US government/military + Teaming agreement with Fairwinds for communications applications for the US government/military REGULATORY/SPECTRUM + Full FCC commercial approval for 248 BlueBird satellites, which includes access to a total of up to 53x53 MHz low band MNO spectrum in the US + 1,150 MHz low and mid-band tunable MNO spectrum globally + 80 year access to Ligado's 45 MHz of MSS L-band in North America + Pending requests with the FCC for up to 45 MHz of MSS S-band internationally CONTRACTS/REVENUE BACKLOG + Over $1.2B of contracted commercial revenue backlog + Rapidly growing government revenue backlog with over 10 government contracts + Anticipates 150M to 200M revenue in 2026 with upside potential + Anticipates ~1B revenue in 2027 with upside potential MANUFACTURING AND LAUNCH + 6 commercial BlueBird satellites in orbit + Next 3 BlueBirds (BB8-10) scheduled to launch in mid-June on a SpaceX Falcon 9 vehicle + Guiding for approximately 45 BlueBirds in orbit by year-end + Multi launch contracts with SpaceX, Blue Origin, and an undisclosed medium/heavy lift vehicle on standby (in advanced discussions with ULA for Vulcan?) + Up to BB33 in advanced stages of assembly, with microns completed to BB33 + Phased arrays completed to BB28 + Manufacturing pace supports a launch cadence of every 1 to 2 months on average + Over 500,000 sqft of manufacturing at full production + Investments completed to enable a production capacity of 6 satellites per month with room to grow to 10 or 12 per month via automation and facility expansions + Dedicated micron production facility in Texas is now fully operational, with capacity to support over 10 satellites’ worth of microns per month + Over 2,000 global workforce CASH/LIQUIDITY + Robust ~3.5B cash/liquidity on current balance sheet, fully funded for ~100 BlueBird satellites + Reiterated no plans for more convertible notes in 2026











Is it making sense yet?









