danat
37 posts


#NBA '26 Regular Season Recap🏀
Excluding Futures🔥
468 Bets, 0.97U Avg. Bet Size
284-184, 60.68% Hit Rate
+71.72U, 15.82% ROI
With Futures🔮
476 Bets, 0.96U Avg. Bet Size
287-189, 60.29% Hit Rate
+73.85U, 16.09% ROI
Best regular season capping yet. ✅
Finished the regular season winning 50 of my last 65 Bets (~77%) last 3 weeks.
Definitely learned a lot after a horrible szn last year. Reduced volume and picked my spots way better. Got better at not letting losing streaks get to me. Also helped that I finished my military service in December as well. Thrilled to continue getting better every day and extend this run into the playoffs🔥
@propsmadness and straightbettin.com, 2 tools I recommend to everyone if they want to get better at betting on the NBA, helping me everyday💸
(MVP was deffo the guy below, 7-1 on his props)

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1U - Joel Embiid over 1.5 3PM (2.10 @ Unibet)
Sneaky spot. We’ll for sure see Spurs mix coverages v Embiid. He’ll see smalls and Wemby both. I think we won’t see much Barlow here (complete non-shooter) bc it’s just way too easy for Sas to put Wemby on him and make Philly o difficult. Spurs also don’t have big forwards you’d need Barlow against. If Barlow gets little PT, Philly should have pretty much 5 pretty good shooters on the floor in the Embiid mins which would make putting Wemby on a small tougher. That should make it more Embiid v Wemby which benefits this prop.
We saw Minny dare Embiid to shoot 3s with Gobert by leaving the pick-n-pop open and crowding the paint with Rudy against VJ/Maxey/PG. Embiid has to shoot and hit 3s here to keep Wemby honest and to make the game easier for everyone else.
We saw Jokic not take as many 3s v similar coverages that I expect v Embiid from Spurs. They had Braun/Brown on the floor for most of the game, worse offensive players than I expect Philly to have on the floor v Wemby which made it easier to for Wemby to guard them. Embiid is also more likely to settle for long jumpers v smalls than Jokic, bc he’s a bit better long range shooter and in worse condition than Joker.
Avg. 4.4 3PA per 34 on the season, do think in a matchup like this he’ll get 5-6 3PA which should be enough.

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#NBA Recap
1u Kawhi o27.5 Pts✅
1-0 (+.87u)
Legacy cashh😮💨
Madi🏀🇫🇮@Madi_bets
1U - Kawhi Leonard over 27.5 Pts (1.86 @ 365, -123 @ DK) Just a pretty low line in pretty much the best matchup ITL. Like that Siakam/Nembhard not on the injury report so this should stay pretty close like we saw v LAL. Kawhi is averaging 30.3 Pts per 29 with both Mathurin/Garland in the lineup. Since Garland played his first game for LAL, Kawhi is averaging 30.5 Pts per 31 mins.
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1U - Jaylen Brown over 29.5 Pts (1.97 @ Unibet)
Miami #21 v pull-ups L15 games, switching a ton, playing single-coverage. Simons off the team and PP coming off the bench, even more usg for JB. Miami also play really fast.
Over in 12/17 avg 30.8 Pts w White/PP, 28-38 mins.

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#NBA Recap
1u Huff✅
1u Rollins✅
1u VJ✅
1u Gillespie✅
1u Williams❌
1u Flagg❌
4-2 (+1.69u)
Rollins, VJ, Gillespie - elite reads. Huff 4 3pa, okish, Williams 1 Ast, but Oso had 6, will continue to target ast v Clingan. Flagg was horrible, he’s just playing different atm.
GIF
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"I would rank Kevin Durant above Kobe."
- @ChandlerParsons on all-time rankings
(Via @RunItBackFDTV )

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