The Le Baron

86 posts

The Le Baron banner
The Le Baron

The Le Baron

@Simonless

Katılım March 2009
67 Takip Edilen7 Takipçiler

2026 Yıllık Özeti

@Simonless hesabının Twitter yılını gör

anul agarwal
anul agarwal@anulagarwal·
why would you post ai generated photos of your office 😭😭
anul agarwal tweet mediaanul agarwal tweet media
Ayush Agarwal@ayushagarwal

i'm late to share this. we moved into a new @dodopayments office in indiranagar. 3x bigger than our last one. a year ago we went from a 9-seater to a 30-seater thinking we'd have room for a while. we didn't. the team outgrew it fast enough that we had to split up. my team stayed in the original office, @garGoel91's team moved into the antler office. took two months to find the right space. now everyone's back under one roof. it's not really about the office. it's about what the office means. more merchants, a stronger product, and a team that keeps outgrowing every space we put it in. and it won't just be ours. we're opening it up to bangalore builders. build irl ep 1 already happened here.

English
224
181
17.2K
9.6M
Liam
Liam@LegoRacers2·
Noticing
Liam tweet mediaLiam tweet media
English
20
50
6.8K
475.8K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@DHughesy Hughsey: "Can you read this response and create a smart rebuttal for me to look good on twitter." ChatGPT: "Sorry but you got absolutely cooked, try and change the subject and hope they don't notice"
English
0
0
4
332
Dave Hughes
Dave Hughes@DHughesy·
Sorry for late reply to your reply but you have missed vital information in your reply. The Howard Costello Govt started the fund and put in the first sixty billion, Labor added 4 billion,from the last of the Telstra sale in their first year back in charge, Not a further cent has been added to the fund, It’s growth to 255 billion is all from those contributions. People may have thought that further contributions happened. They didn’t. That’s the power of financial discipline. From 60 billion to 255 billion without an extra cent of contribution. I know how that works personally from my own investments. Net debt, which has included positive of the fund since its inception, was zero when Howard/Costello left office. No one since has contributed to the Future Fund. This is my actual point. If the Governments, and I include the Coalition here, hadn’t spent like maniacs over the last twenty years, we would be in such a better position. Aaron what do you think of Government spending? Do you agree it would be better for everyone if Government was much smaller and money was left in the private sector where it is put to better use, leaving better outcomes for the whole of society?
Aaron Smith@aaronsmith

Thank you, Dave. I appreciate you reaching out to ask what you got wrong. The clip we’re discussing is less than 90 seconds long. What I’m about to do demonstrates Brandolini's Law: where the amount of energy required to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude greater than that required to produce it. Or, in this case, it takes around 600 words to correct 90 seconds of your economic fan fiction. 1⃣ Between 0 and 30 seconds You begin by confusing government debt with the Future Fund and appear to suggest that the Future Fund can't exist along side Govt debt. They’re different things. One can exist without the other, and in Australia they do. Australia's Future Fund was established in 2006 with an initial govt investment of about $60B. Its first annual report, in 2008, showed assets of around $64 billion - not the $100B you suggested. Then, at around 27 seconds, you talk about the Future Fund as though it ceased to exist (you used the word 'had' as in past tense). It still very much exists Dave. In fact, it's grown every single year since it was created. Today it's worth around $270 billion, or over $330 billion once the other funds under management are included (eg Medical Research / Housing Australia / Drought). So before we're even 30 seconds into the clip you've managed to confuse government debt, the Future Fund, its size, and whether it still exists. That’s a lot of economic history to get wrong in under 30 seconds. 2⃣ Around 32 seconds You then claim Kevin Rudd used the Future Fund to "flush money through the economy". Again, that’s simply false. The Future Fund wasn't used to fund the stimulus. It wasn't used to build school halls. It wasn’t used for any of the things you’re describing. In your defence, you do briefly flirt with the possibility that you don’t actually know what you’re talking about. Sadly, it was a very short-lived relationship. The GFC stimulus was funded through government borrowing. For context, construction approvals were collapsing, more than a million Australians worked in construction, and the objective was to stop unemployment exploding during the worst global financial crisis in generations. You're welcome to argue that was the wrong policy (but you didn't). You’re not entitled to rewrite where the money came from. 3⃣ At about 44 seconds You say, "I might be wrong". I concede you were correct during this part of the video. 4⃣ From 44 seconds onwards You make a series of broad claims about the GFC response. Yes, government debt increased. That's true. What you omit is that Australia's stimulus largely went directly to households rather than primarily rescuing financial institutions, as happened in many other countries. The aim was simple: keep people spending, businesses operating and Australians employed while global demand collapsed. It's known as counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Whether you agree with it politically is your business. The specific outcome for Australia isn't contested though - Australia was one of only two economies in the OECD to avoid recession during the Global Financial Crisis. There's no reality where that wasn’t a comparatively impressive outcome. The money didn’t need to "trickle down". The entire point was that it started at the bottom. 5⃣ Government debt Throughout the clip (and in life generally) you repeatedly return to the theme Labor is responsible for Australia’s debt (which btw is comparatively low). Here are the actual numbers of net debt added by each Govt since 2007. > Rudd/Gillard: about $190 billion over six years. > Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison: about $366 billion over nine years, around two-thirds of which pre-dated COVID. > Albanese: about $75 billion over four years. Those figures don’t support the story you've been telling people. And that’s really the issue. This isn't about getting one date wrong or misremembering one statistic. Nearly every claim in your 90-second clip turns out to be either wrong or misleading. If you're going to publicly lecture Australians about economic history, the bare minimum expectation is that you’ve first acquainted yourself with it. Because once the errors have been pointed out, as they have been to you multiple times, every repetition stops looking like an accident and starts looking like a strategy. Given your very public coffee with Angus Taylor last week, perhaps people are entitled to ask what that strategy might be.

English
328
57
951
213.5K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@aaronsmith @DHughesy "the stimulus was a waste of money, we didn't even have a recession!!" Thank you for spending the time on this.
English
0
0
1
1K
Aaron Smith
Aaron Smith@aaronsmith·
Thank you, Dave. I appreciate you reaching out to ask what you got wrong. The clip we’re discussing is less than 90 seconds long. What I’m about to do demonstrates Brandolini's Law: where the amount of energy required to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude greater than that required to produce it. Or, in this case, it takes around 600 words to correct 90 seconds of your economic fan fiction. 1⃣ Between 0 and 30 seconds You begin by confusing government debt with the Future Fund and appear to suggest that the Future Fund can't exist along side Govt debt. They’re different things. One can exist without the other, and in Australia they do. Australia's Future Fund was established in 2006 with an initial govt investment of about $60B. Its first annual report, in 2008, showed assets of around $64 billion - not the $100B you suggested. Then, at around 27 seconds, you talk about the Future Fund as though it ceased to exist (you used the word 'had' as in past tense). It still very much exists Dave. In fact, it's grown every single year since it was created. Today it's worth around $270 billion, or over $330 billion once the other funds under management are included (eg Medical Research / Housing Australia / Drought). So before we're even 30 seconds into the clip you've managed to confuse government debt, the Future Fund, its size, and whether it still exists. That’s a lot of economic history to get wrong in under 30 seconds. 2⃣ Around 32 seconds You then claim Kevin Rudd used the Future Fund to "flush money through the economy". Again, that’s simply false. The Future Fund wasn't used to fund the stimulus. It wasn't used to build school halls. It wasn’t used for any of the things you’re describing. In your defence, you do briefly flirt with the possibility that you don’t actually know what you’re talking about. Sadly, it was a very short-lived relationship. The GFC stimulus was funded through government borrowing. For context, construction approvals were collapsing, more than a million Australians worked in construction, and the objective was to stop unemployment exploding during the worst global financial crisis in generations. You're welcome to argue that was the wrong policy (but you didn't). You’re not entitled to rewrite where the money came from. 3⃣ At about 44 seconds You say, "I might be wrong". I concede you were correct during this part of the video. 4⃣ From 44 seconds onwards You make a series of broad claims about the GFC response. Yes, government debt increased. That's true. What you omit is that Australia's stimulus largely went directly to households rather than primarily rescuing financial institutions, as happened in many other countries. The aim was simple: keep people spending, businesses operating and Australians employed while global demand collapsed. It's known as counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Whether you agree with it politically is your business. The specific outcome for Australia isn't contested though - Australia was one of only two economies in the OECD to avoid recession during the Global Financial Crisis. There's no reality where that wasn’t a comparatively impressive outcome. The money didn’t need to "trickle down". The entire point was that it started at the bottom. 5⃣ Government debt Throughout the clip (and in life generally) you repeatedly return to the theme Labor is responsible for Australia’s debt (which btw is comparatively low). Here are the actual numbers of net debt added by each Govt since 2007. > Rudd/Gillard: about $190 billion over six years. > Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison: about $366 billion over nine years, around two-thirds of which pre-dated COVID. > Albanese: about $75 billion over four years. Those figures don’t support the story you've been telling people. And that’s really the issue. This isn't about getting one date wrong or misremembering one statistic. Nearly every claim in your 90-second clip turns out to be either wrong or misleading. If you're going to publicly lecture Australians about economic history, the bare minimum expectation is that you’ve first acquainted yourself with it. Because once the errors have been pointed out, as they have been to you multiple times, every repetition stops looking like an accident and starts looking like a strategy. Given your very public coffee with Angus Taylor last week, perhaps people are entitled to ask what that strategy might be.
English
537
1.6K
7.9K
1.1M
Aaron Smith
Aaron Smith@aaronsmith·
Dave Hughes’ understanding of the economy appears to be on par with his understanding of US entry requirements.
English
164
203
1.9K
142.1K
FinTechExec
FinTechExec@FinTechExec12·
@Simonless @maddoxrules I actually believe most people would not function well if they took the money up front. They would struggle working for 9 years with zero cashflow.
English
1
0
0
67
🏴‍☠️Maddox🏴‍☠️
Hi, I'm a billionaire. It doesn't make sense to tax unrealized gains because you can't predict the future! Anyway I'm going to build a data center and depreciate the full value of the assets I'm buying immediately on day one instead of when (or if) they depreciate. I'm also going to do that with luxury vehicles over 6,000 lbs. Okay bye!
English
14
14
525
30.2K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@FinTechExec12 @maddoxrules Lets say you worked at a company for 10 years. Over that time your wages total $1 million (make it simple) would you rather get paid at the start or at the end of the 10 year period? It's just the same either way right?
English
1
0
0
60
FinTechExec
FinTechExec@FinTechExec12·
@maddoxrules Sure, I don't feel strongly about depreciation one way or another. You still get to depreciate the same amount. The only difference is how many years it is spread out. If I take it all upfront then I get zero beyond that.
English
1
0
0
69
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@DHughesy Conveniently starts to realise government isn't perfect once his real estate portfolio takes a hit. Please outline the policies of liberal party/one nation that will reduce corruption and rorting?
English
0
0
1
3.2K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
My timeline is just tap and hold and "I hate tap and hold". I hate tap and hold.
English
0
0
0
6
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@tomas_mikula @unclebobmartin Also this heavily relies on careful tests/rails. And I'd be sceptical on this approach right now for major work, but feels like this is the end goal approach.
English
0
0
0
12
Tomas Mikula
Tomas Mikula@tomas_mikula·
@Simonless @unclebobmartin > This is basically how human training works too. Is this assuming that the automated guardrails point humans to (nearly) all the right things? I would contest that.
English
2
0
0
22
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@tomas_mikula @unclebobmartin I probably misread your point a little. You would be correct I don't think the guard rails would help improve a human engineer. But I also still think that the idea is that an AI agent would have a different work pattern, much more iterative.
English
0
0
0
11
Adam Rackis
Adam Rackis@AdamRackis·
Got ‘em!
Adam Rackis tweet media
English
171
30
1.4K
150.7K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@tomas_mikula @unclebobmartin This is basically how human training works too. The difference is that AI can brute force their way to the solution faster. Where as with a human is probably faster to teach someone a process rather than just have to keep doing the same job over and over again.
English
1
0
1
158
Tomas Mikula
Tomas Mikula@tomas_mikula·
@unclebobmartin Do you think your constraints turn a mediocre engineer into a good one, or a good engineer into an excellent one (judging by their output)? If not, then why would it work better on AI agents?
English
5
0
16
1.5K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@Plinz @DmitryRybin1 The conjecture can still live it's own truth. Just because there are counter examples, doesn't mean there isn't a strong consensus.
English
1
0
2
516
Joscha Bach
Joscha Bach@Plinz·
@DmitryRybin1 People are using immature AI to recklessly destroy lots of math. We should wait until the models are good enough to *prove* conjectures instead of just disproving them. It's so much easier to destroy than to build! We need a moratorium on using AI against math.
English
39
8
183
19.4K
Dmitry Rybin
Dmitry Rybin@DmitryRybin1·
Dinitz-Garg-Goemans conjecture is false. This graph theory problem was open for ~30 years. The graph below has fractional flow cost 58. Any unsplittable flow (with capacity violation <=15) has cost at least 60. Chat with GPT 5.6 Pro where this was found: chatgpt.com/share/6a60b2eb…
Dmitry Rybin tweet media
English
263
935
10K
4.8M
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
Lots of arguing about the modern language used in the Odyssey, but was pretty cool when Matt Damon shoots Polyphemus and says "How do you like them apples!?"
English
0
0
0
11
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@brettgallman Do you really think if Michael Jackson stole one of your songs, you'd handle things better?
English
0
0
1
4K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@StarmapsLLC @Mecha_Kong Because it's designed to help people intuit that a mass travelling near a larger mass would be drawn in towards it. Does this only work with downward gravity operating on the example. Yes. Do average humans experience downward gravity. Also yes.
English
0
0
0
37
Starmaps / Galarem
Starmaps / Galarem@StarmapsLLC·
@Mecha_Kong Yeah the choice of warping more massive objects downwards is arbitrary, like why doesn't the graphic have spacetime warp upwards? Because on Earth gravity is down. I don't think it's entirely useless as a graphic but it's always stuck out to me too.
English
1
0
1
825
MechaKong
MechaKong@Mecha_Kong·
i’ve always hated this example of gravity bc it’s using gravity to explain how gravity works
English
47
7
390
68.4K
BoudaSmoke
BoudaSmoke@DanielTStocks·
@KonstantinKisin No Konstantin. It's because Messi doesn't have a thousand employees doing all the football, then he gets to keep all the football money. He actually MAKES the product he is selling. He also doesn't set the prices of the tickets. This is not true for business owners like Bezos.
English
362
4
91
631.1K
Konstantin Kisin
Konstantin Kisin@KonstantinKisin·
This is because the anti-capitalist left is not actually against people being crazy rich. They're against certain types of people being crazy rich. Artists and athletes make sense to them because they've played music and sports and because their success can be explained by "luck" and "talent". Messi's wealth is not offensive to them because they understand Messi is much better at football than they are. But when it comes to business, the anti-capitalist leftist has no framework for understanding why Jeff Bezos might be super rich since 99% of them have never ever created a product, business or service that was of value to other people. They've never taken entrepreneurial risk. They've never employed people and felt the burden of responsibility that comes with that. They've never pick up a business and given it a play in the way they've picked up a ball or a guitar. They *literally* don't understand wealth creation. They think there is a fixed amount of money and the only thing a business does is split it unfairly. It's why they rage at Elon and other successful business leaders. Because they genuinely don't understand why they're wealthy. Also, and this is just as important, athletes and artists are disproportionately young, attractive, "diverse", left wing etc. Business leaders are "evil" middle aged white men whose success offends the average anti-capitalist leftist because they don't understand a) what it is they do and b) that Elon Musk has the same talent advantage on them as Messi does, it's just harder to measure.
Rob Henderson@robkhenderson

It’s criminal the CEO makes 400X what the average worker makes but it’s perfectly fine that Taylor Swift makes 100000X more than the people who clean the arena after her concerts. A just society is one that rewards the exceptional qualities of the musician but not the executive.

English
1.2K
5.2K
31.5K
3.8M
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@Z1R343L I only read fantasy books where characters quote the simpsons to each other.
English
0
0
0
19
LOVE
LOVE@Z1R343L·
my pet peeve is word etymology and the inherent implications in fiction and fantasy usage. for example, I wanted to use the word galvanize in my novel. started thinking about the root language and came up short, only to research and realize
English
297
695
29.8K
3.1M
Jonathan Blow
Jonathan Blow@Jonathan_Blow·
We will have something new to announce about Order of the Sinking Star, in about two weeks… !
English
60
24
1.1K
50.4K
The Le Baron
The Le Baron@Simonless·
@mattbarton "I hereby swear we never looked at stack overflow during the making of this game"
English
0
0
4
148
Matt Barton
Matt Barton@mattbarton·
Requiring devs to pass an AI purity test is wrong. I don't need to know how and whether you used AI to enhance your game, just as I don't need to know who taught you to program or who you call when you can't figure something out. This is dumb and must stop.
Matt Barton tweet media
English
212
14
196
66.2K