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shorty

@simpletrader77

long time derivatives trader. futures / options / commodities / forex and now mainly 2-3 tickers. $SPX $ES_F $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/P4nBLtoU98

Virtual Katılım Temmuz 2020
210 Takip Edilen15.2K Takipçiler
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shorty
shorty@simpletrader77·
$ES_F Unlock the power of your charts with these simple steps to chart standard deviations/sigmas. Follow along and see the difference it can make in your trading strategy. Empirical RULE!
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shorty@simpletrader77·
Here are China & Taiwan news 😂🤷‍♂️ $TSM $INTC Xi Jinping pressed Donald Trump on the issue of Taiwan and warned of a potential conflict if mismanaged, in blunt remarks that punctured an otherwise cordial start to the first visit to China by a sitting US president in nearly a decade. “If mishandled, the two nations will experience collision or even clashes, pushing the entire China-US relationship into a highly dangerous situation,” Xi said in their meeting at the Great Hall of the People.
shorty@simpletrader77

China and Taiwan friction will be a topic soon… $INTC

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shorty retweetledi
Intel
Intel@intel·
We're thrilled to partner with @Google on something we've been building with them - Googlebook. Premium, powerful devices designed for Intelligence. We can't wait to get it into your hands this fall. Learn more at ms.spr.ly/6013vuzjt #Googlebook #NEXT #Intel
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shorty
shorty@simpletrader77·
$INTC I preached about intel for awhile. Its a political play and now has some major steam behind it. $440 is exit goal. There will be pullbacks but what a move and full position for me still intact.
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shorty@simpletrader77·
China and Taiwan friction will be a topic soon… $INTC
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shorty@simpletrader77·
$INTC VERY strong earnings. Intel has a lot of room left especially with AI frenzy. I do cover monthly equities scan where we typically find some gems for long term hold. If interested in joining visit patreon.com/orb_it
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shorty@simpletrader77

$INTC - i have mentioned this a few times but it feels like US gov't will treat intel similar to $BA in a way. Just a speculation but have a position. We can certainly get lower prices here but this would be in a long term portfolio locked for bit.

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shorty@simpletrader77·
@9iVes If you use TV i can give you some directions.
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shorty@simpletrader77·
$ES_F was not the ideal spot to be long and some bulls most likely trapped. You can combine last 4 weeks into single profile so you can see distributions much cleaner. Bulls really did not want to lose that march vah + feb val (zone). Now they need to auction above and find acceptance. Eventually getting above single prints 6846.25 to continue higher and potentially fix the poor high left at ATH. Failure to reclaim 6846, ultimately a visit to 6785 (look below tap 6765.25. Losing 6765 opens the doors to 6647.
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shorty@simpletrader77

$ES_F not a spot to be long. Feb VAL + March VAH. Treat this cease fire deal as "Time for US to develop a real strategy for war". They realized Iran was not Venezuela.

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shorty@simpletrader77·
@3nder555 Agree always a tweet away it seems.
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shorty@simpletrader77·
EBITDA = Earnings Before Iran, Tariffs, and Donald Announcements.
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shorty@simpletrader77·
$ES_F this movie is just starting.
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shorty@simpletrader77·
$ES_F not a spot to be long. Feb VAL + March VAH. Treat this cease fire deal as "Time for US to develop a real strategy for war". They realized Iran was not Venezuela.
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Aakash Gupta
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta·
Intel's foundry division lost $10.3 billion last year. Ten billion dollars in operating losses on $17.8 billion in revenue. The most expensive job application in corporate history just got accepted. Lip-Bu Tan has been CEO for 10 months telling Wall Street the foundry turnaround is real, that 18A yields are improving, that external customers are coming. The entire bull thesis on INTC, which has run from $18 to $52 in 12 months, depends on one thing: a marquee foundry customer signing on to validate the manufacturing. Elon just walked through the door. Run the math on why this makes sense for both sides. Terafab's stated target is 1 terawatt per year of compute. The project budget is $20-25 billion. Elon said publicly that every fab on Earth produces roughly 2% of what Tesla and SpaceX need across all projects. He can't get enough capacity from TSMC or Samsung because they're already supply-constrained for Nvidia, Apple, AMD, and Qualcomm. TSMC's CoWoP advanced packaging has a two-year waitlist. Intel has fabs. Intel has 18A. Intel has advanced packaging capacity that nobody is using because nobody has signed up to use it. Intel is literally the only company on Earth with leading-edge fab capacity and no line out the door. Now look at Intel's side. The stock trades at 50x forward earnings with negative free cash flow. Morningstar's fair value estimate is $19. The entire gap between $19 and $52 is the market betting that the foundry will land real customers. Before today, the biggest name attached was "rumors about Amazon and Google for packaging." Today it's Elon, SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla, with a $20-25 billion project behind them and SpaceX filing for an IPO this spring. That's not a partnership announcement. That's the foundry thesis becoming investable overnight. The part worth paying attention to: Elon chose Intel over building from scratch. He has $20-25 billion budgeted. He could have poached TSMC engineers and built a greenfield fab. He looked at the 3-5 year timeline to stand up bleeding-edge lithography from zero and decided Intel's existing infrastructure was the faster path. That tells you Intel's 18A and packaging capabilities are further along than the skeptics believe. Both sides needed this deal more than either will admit publicly. Elon needs chips faster than any foundry on Earth can currently supply them. Intel needs a customer large enough to fill fabs that lost $10 billion last year. The handshake in that photo is two companies solving each other's existential problem.
Intel@intel

Intel is proud to join the Terafab project with @SpaceX, @xAI, and @Tesla to help refactor silicon fab technology. Our ability to design, fabricate, and package ultra-high-performance chips at scale will help accelerate Terafab’s aim to produce 1 TW/year of compute to power future advances in AI and robotics. It was fun hosting @elonmusk at Intel this past weekend!

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