Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)

3.3K posts

Adrian Thompson (skippyfx) banner
Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)

Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)

@skippyfx

Problem solver. Card show organizer @oregoncardshow, poker player, former mograph studio owner, built a SaaS, ex-streamer.

Central Oregon Katılım Şubat 2015
407 Takip Edilen542 Takipçiler
100T Nadeshot
100T Nadeshot@Nadeshot·
Can someone tell unc if it’s possible to enjoy a Pokémon game nowadays if we only know the 250 Pokémon after Silver and Gold were released in 1999? Like how can I possibly enjoy it when there are over 1,000 now? It’s probably impossible, right?
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Aston
Aston@asttcn·
@TheObiLeonard At this point you need to be unemployed to keep up with these updates
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Akhilesh Mishra
Akhilesh Mishra@livingdevops·
Hype train don’t care about ROI
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Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)
Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)@skippyfx·
@PokerIncome Are you still active? Export is broken but the app charged me for it. The backup & restore: broken Heroku page. The export feature leads to: "Can't send email. Please make sure at least one email account is setup..." but there is no where to set one up.
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malinvestment.jpeg
malinvestment.jpeg@malinvested·
Of course that's your contention. You're a first-time SaaS bear. You just got finished listening to some podcast, Dario on Dwarkesh, probably. Now you think it’s the end of white collar work and seat-based pricing is screwed. You're gonna be convinced of that til tomorrow when you get to “Something Big is Happening”. Then you’ll install ClawdBot on a Mac Mini, vibe code a dashboard on top of a postgres database and say we’re all just a couple ralph loops away from building a Salesforce competitor. That’s gonna last until next week when you discover context graphs, and then you're gonna be talking about how the systems of record will be disintermediated by an agentic layer and reposting OAI marketing graphics. “Well, as a matter of fact, I won't, because ultimately the application layer is just ….” The application layer is just business logic on top a CRUD database. You got that from Satya’s appearance on the BG2 pod, December 2024, right? Yeah, I saw that too. Were you gonna plagiarize the whole thing for us? Do you have any thoughts of your own on this matter? Or...is that your thing? You get into the replies of anyone posting a SaaS ticker. You watch some podcast and then pawn it off as your own idea just to impress some VCs and embarrass some anon who’s long SaaS? See the sad thing about a guy like you is in a couple years you're gonna start doing some thinking on your own and you're gonna come up with the fact that there are two certainties in life. One: don't do that. And two: you dropped thirty grand on Mac Minis and LLM API calls to come to the same conclusion you could’ve got for free by following a handful of VC accounts.
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Wise
Wise@trikcode·
99% of vibe coded websites look like this
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Mari
Mari@Tech_girlll·
Developers, where do you host your websites? •Vercel •Netlify •Heroku •Pxxl •AWS (Amazon Web Services) •Google Cloud Platform •Microsoft Azure •DigitalOcean •Render •Firebase •GitHub Pages •Railway •Cloudflare Pages •Glitch Which one do you think is the best hosting platform and why?
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sachin.
sachin.@sachinyadav699·
Databases are slow. Users are impatient. Redis exists. Problem solved
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Pharaoh👳🏾‍♂️👑
Go to ChatGPT and use this prompt: Create a caricature of me and my job based on everything you know about me. Come back and share your photo: I'll go first.😂
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Angry Tom
Angry Tom@AngryTomtweets·
This is 100% AI generated. No words.
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GREG ISENBERG
GREG ISENBERG@gregisenberg·
people just bookmark stuff on X with zero real intention of every checking those said bookmarks
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shah
shah@shahh·
Can someone explain to me like I’m 10 years old, how Bitcoin has gone down -$32,000 with NO BOUNCE in 14 days?
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Mau Baron
Mau Baron@maubaron·
when you ship your first app and realize you just trapped yourself in a marketing job
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JNS
JNS@_devJNS·
My greatest fear isn't spiders or heights, it's being asked to explain how my code works
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kuno
kuno@kunoo·
Bitcoin is down Altcoins are down Silver is down Gold is down Stocks are down How do we make money?
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Omkar
Omkar@psomkar1·
Codex is fucking insane i know literally NOTHING about coding. ZERO. and i just built a fully functioning web app in minutes. http://localhost:3000/ check it out
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Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)
@gnoble79 This is some serious copium. AI needs smart prompts and human intention behind it. If you’re pasting an UpWork brief and hoping for a miracle it’s going to be a bad time.
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George Noble
George Noble@gnoble79·
I just learned something that should terrify every AI investor: Six major large language models were tested on real freelance work - the kind actual humans get paid to do on Upwork. Not homework. Not summaries. Real commercial tasks that generate real revenue. Building video games. Creating presentations from rough notes. Architectural schematics. The BEST performing AI completed tasks well enough to get paid 2.5% of the time. The worst? 0.3%. Think about that. If you were an Uber driver who completed 2.5% of your rides, you'd be kicked off the platform in a week. This comes from academic research published in the Remote Labor Index - not some anti-AI hit piece. They eliminated jobs requiring physical work or heavy human interaction and focused purely on digital deliverables where AI should theoretically excel. And it failed 97.5% of the time. Meanwhile, US tech companies are spending $380 billion on AI infrastructure in 2025-2026. Data centers using the power of 619 houses per GPU stack. Oracle's shares are now BELOW where they were before announcing their massive OpenAI partnership. Blue Owl Capital (AI infrastructure funder): down 40% Fermi (data center REIT): down 60% The funding markets are already getting more discerning. And we haven't even hit the real reckoning yet. AI is excellent at correlation. But correlation isn't how the world works. It can regurgitate answers to questions it's been trained on. But ask it to actually BUILD something, execute a complex task, or operate in the real world where correlations don't hold? It falls apart. Scam Altman showed Operator - OpenAI's agent that's supposed to act like a CEO's assistant. 19 minutes into the demo, they revealed it worked 34% of the time. On their own metrics. Their own homework. That THEY graded. 34%. And that's in a controlled demo environment. In the real world with actual commercial deliverables it's 2.5%. The capital misallocation is 17 times larger than the dotcom bubble. Nvidia's receivables are up 770% in 33 months (Cisco's were up 140% before they collapsed). Every part of the AI stack is losing money except Nvidia - and they're the ones extending vendor financing to keep the whole thing afloat. This isn't a technology that's "almost there." This is a technology with fundamental architectural limits that can't be overcome by just adding more compute. I sat down with Julian Garran - one of the sharpest macro strategists I know - and he walked through why AI was "built to fail" from day one. The full conversation covers: - Why the economics of data centers guarantee losses - The Cisco 2000 playbook playing out in real time - What happens when the funding dries up - Where smart money is rotating (hint: it's not tech) This is a career-defining inflection point in markets. And most investors are still positioned for a productivity revolution that isn't coming. The full interview is in the comment below.
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Adrian Thompson (skippyfx)
Any Discords with people talking about AI tools and building products? Nobody in my sphere cares. I need some likeminded discussion. 😪
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