Elle
79.2K posts

Elle
@sofiaelpidagapi
🇺🇸🇬🇷 Economist | FOREX Trader | Conservative | Bikram Yoga | fluent in 3 languages | lived in Continental Africa, Europe, Seychelles, Ukraine and now USA
United States Katılım Temmuz 2015
4.3K Takip Edilen2K Takipçiler
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🚨 BREAKING – MASSIVE US BUILDUP
Reuters: The United States has now deployed more than 50,000 troops across the Middle East, with numbers continuing to surge. Thousands of Marines are being rapidly transferred from San Diego straight into the region.
📌 Anyone who thinks President Trump sent this entire armada — fleets, Marines, and all — just to accept a truce with Iran is completely delusional.
A full-scale ground intervention is coming. No doubt about it.
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🇺🇸🇮🇱 Americans are turning on Israel
60% of U.S. adults now hold an unfavorable view of Israel.
🔵 That number jumps to 80% among Democrats, and 84% for those under 50.
🔴 Republicans are far less critical at 41%, but 57% of younger Republicans still view Israel unfavorably.
The divide is generational, and widening fast.
Source: Pew Research Center



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$SPX
Sideways...... Chop!
Market Data from @ConvexValue
-Volatility expectations (Term structure) crashed on the peace deal (red = yesterday; yellow = today) and remain at the lows
-GX surface -Friday's run shows we ended in positive gamma territory and remain in steep gamma territory - It's hard to run up a hill for 500 points and continue running. Let me walk!
-Overnight straddle is~49 points giving us an ON straddle range of [6733, 6837]
-Morning straddle is 39 and using spot 6755 gives us a range of [6716,6794]
-Weekly Straddle remains [6430, 6735]
-Overnight Volumes are really light (about 50%)- slightly more put volume; 6820 calls and 6750 puts are highest volume
Net Exposure from @OptionsDepth
$SPX
-Pivot is 6765
-Over pivot is 6775, 6785, 6800
-Under Pivot is 6750, 6740, 6725, 6710, 6700
$VIX - Left = VIXEX, Middle = following week into May VIXEX, right = all
-I'd be shocked to see VIX break 19.5 and 22.5 on the upside....
Thoughts
-I like edge plays..... Two areas look interesting.... 6725 and 6743
-Can we just say the thing everyone wants to hear --- realized volatility crush lives matters - Let's call it .3% close.
#MDFS at 1245 EST - Who wins the pin game today????
@tony_mansour, @iV_trader or myself???
x.com/i/spaces/1MJgN…




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The original announcement for the ceasefire did include Lebanon.

Shadow of Ezra@ShadowofEzra
JD Vance has taken the side of Benjamin Netanyahu, saying the ceasefire with Iran never included Lebanon, where many Christians live. He says that promise was never made and now believes Israel is setting the United States up for success. “I think it comes from a legitimate misunderstanding.”
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