Daniel Schlaug

The current proceedings should be about unsupervised FSD rather than whether I can activate a proven lifesaving system under my constant supervision.

This is so excellently well put by @wholemars. The fact that authorities even have a say on this other than ”the driver is responsible for the car” and ”the driver must be able and prepared to take over control at all times” is treating citizens like children.

@ekonomigurun_ Ö-drift

1kr elräkning, 1146kr elnätsavgift. Något är riktigt snett med nätvolagens monopol

@grok @BitPaine @Plinz Is this the Andes strain?

**Fact check on the hantavirus claims from the cruise ship outbreak (MV Hondius, ~147 people aboard):** - **Airborne virus**: Yes, via aerosolized rodent urine/droppings/saliva. Human-to-human spread is rare (documented in some strains like Andes virus). - **Mortality 30-50%**: Matches HPS (New World strains); CDC/WHO note ~38% CFR for pulmonary syndrome, up to 50% in Americas. - **R0 like COVID**: No. Low person-to-person transmission; not sustained like COVID's R0 of 2-6+. - **Incubation 5-6 weeks**: Plausible (range 1-8 weeks). Handling included air evacuations for the sick and routing the ship to port. WHO assesses low public risk—no evidence of easy pandemic spread.

If we have a boat full of people exposed to an airborne virus with a suspected mortality rate of 30-50%, an expected R0 in the range of Covid and an incubation period of 5-6 weeks, and we respond by asking them to book flights to travel home, we totally deserve another pandemic

@grok @Melkor_0208 @hallen_a Hungary: 1.23 -> 1.61 -> 1.3 Czechia: 1.45 -> 1.83 -> 1.3 I see little difference in those developments.

The data shows temporary gains: Hungary's TFR rose above peers initially (1.23 → 1.61 peak vs. Czechia/Slovakia/Poland staying lower), adding an estimated 5-15k extra births early on before converging back to ~1.3 range. No sustained completed fertility boost. At ~5% GDP annual cost, any fiscal ROI is 40-60+ years out and uncertain—largely timing shifts, not net population growth. Incentives helped short-term but didn't reverse broader trends.

SÄNK SKATTEN REJÄLT FÖR FÖRÄLDRAR "En skattereduktion på 1 300 kronor per barn och månad skulle på allvar kunna förändra barnfamiljers ekonomi. Det föreslår Carl Eos, tankesmedjan Oikos, med anledning av de fallande födelsetalen i Sverige." svd.se/a/d4Jozj/foral…

@grok @Melkor_0208 @hallen_a In conclusion the incentives seems to have done nothing and will likely have a negative ROI?

Hungary TFR 2011: 1.23. Peers (no comparable scale incentives): Czechia ~1.45, Slovakia ~1.40, Poland ~1.30. 2021: Hungary 1.61 peak, Czechia 1.83. 2024-25: Hungary 1.39 down to 1.31 (72k births, record low); peers ~1.3-1.45. Extra births attributable: modest/short-term (est. 5-15k cumulative early years per analyses), mostly timing shifts, not sustained higher completed fertility. Cost: ~5% GDP/yr (~$11B). Those extra children reach working age ~2040s at projected ~$40k+ GDP/capita. Net fiscal payback, if any, 40-60+ years—studies show high ongoing spend yields no lasting TFR reversal vs. peers.

Wider and more detailed comparison. What did the baseline look like in 2011, 2021 and 2025? How many extra births would that translate to? What is the expected GDP per capita when those children come of age? Compare that to the cost of the incentives, how many years would it take for the extra births to generate enough GDP to reclaim the investments?

Compared to similar CEE peers without Hungary's scale of incentives (e.g. Czechia TFR ~1.45, Slovakia ~1.49 in 2023; both lower spending), Hungary's rose temporarily to 1.61 peak but converged to ~1.39 by 2024—now below some peers amid shared economic/cultural pressures. Poland's cash-heavy approach hit even lower (~1.16). At ~5% GDP cost, short-term births gained modestly before fading; no sustained reversal or strong long-term ROI per analyses—driven more by timing shifts than completed fertility.

@grok @Melkor_0208 @hallen_a Compare that to a baseline of countries similar to Hungary that did not implement this. Also put an expected ROI on the policies.

Hungary's pro-natalist policies (tax breaks, loan forgiveness for 3+ kids, housing grants) since 2010 cost ~5% of GDP. Fertility rose from 1.23 (2011) to ~1.59 peak ~2021, but has since fallen—1.39-1.55 in 2024, with 2025 births at record lows (~72k) per recent KSH/Economist data. Short-term gains faded; no sustained reversal of decline.

@Melkor_0208 @hallen_a @grok Compare that to a baseline of countries similar to Hungary that did not implement this. Also put an expected ROI on the policies.

@Melkor_0208 @hallen_a @grok get the data on this

Sensible incentive to not produce or buy something that’s terrible for the body and society. As much as I dislike undue taxes this is not one of them. Alcohol consumption costs society about 100 billion SEK per year. Alcohol tax bring in about 20 billion. So tax should be 5X. @grok fact check please.

Nu är det dags att utbyta lite kunskap i socialism och det fantastiska ekonomin sossarna skapat i Sverige Grattis ni har valt maffian att styra landet i 100år🫩

This road feels like it was custom-made as a challenge level for FSD. All kinds of situations keep popping up nonstop. 😀

@LinkN01 @AndrThie No worries. You can get a SigenStor instead which will also let you power your house from your Model Y. @grok what’s the UPS latency on the power wall vs a sigenergy system with the power gateway?

@AndrThie There is only one problem. I can't order it in Sweden 🇸🇪

Pretty cool event and proud of hosting the Tesla energy team for the presentation of Powerwall 3P

@realMeetKevin @Breaking911 There are ways. Right @takeonGravity?

@Breaking911 How did the first two snipers / point rifles get on the top of the container to watch the bridge while the second heli came to land? Separate, smaller heli?

CENTCOM: “Earlier today in the Arabian Sea, U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit boarded M/V Blue Star III, a commercial ship suspected of attempting to transit to Iran in violation of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports. U.S. forces released the vessel after conducting a search and confirming the ship’s voyage would not include an Iranian port call. American forces continue to operate and enforce the blockade across the Middle East. So far, 39 vessels have been redirected to ensure compliance.”

@JOBhakdi Cybercab should be robotaxi and is way too slow. Slowly and then all at once.

Not my numbers, but a nice graph! And I directionally agree.

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

@yacineMTB User data, user lock in, user mind share and network effect.

he's right. it's brutal to watch more spacex value get destroyed

@grok @TruthFairy131 @grok What is the relative give/take ratio of Hungary compared to the eu average? Before, during and after the freezing of the funds.

The frozen EU funds (around €17B of €27B allocated) are Hungary's share from the EU's 2021-2027 budget. Specifically: €7.6B from cohesion policy (for infrastructure, jobs, regional development) and €10.4B from the Recovery and Resilience Facility (NextGenerationEU post-COVID recovery program, funded via EU common borrowing). The EU budget comes from member states' contributions (mainly GNI-based, plus VAT/customs), including Hungary's. They were suspended over rule-of-law, judicial, and anti-corruption concerns under the prior government.

🔥 BREAKING 🔥 The EU is Blackmailing Hungary’s new prime minister. They have given him 27 conditions that he MUST accept in order to unlock over €30 billion in frozen funding. The conditions include: abandoning policies on LGBTQ rights, immigration, border control & foreign policy & policies regarding Ukraine. Failure to comply with the EU’s demands could result in the permanent loss of further funding. The Globalist EU DEMANDS that all European Nations must give up their independence & sovereignty or they will be cut off.

Tesla autonomous vehicle in Netherlands confidently drives with two wheels off the road to narrowly avoid a tractor.