Precise Market Analysis.
67 posts
There is a 53% chance that Kevin Warsh and the 🇺🇸 Fed raise rates sometime in 2026 according to Polymarket traders
Polymarket Money@PolymarketMoney
JUST IN: Odds of a Fed rate hike this year plunge to 55% after June inflation turns negative for the first time since 2020.
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New York is imposing the nation’s first statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers using 50MW or more of power.
VanquishTrader@VanquishTrader
New York is imposing the nation’s first statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers using 50MW or more of power. The one-year pause takes effect immediately while the state studies energy, water and environmental impacts, though already permitted projects are exempt.
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YOUR UBER RIDE DEPENDS ON SPACE INFRASTRUCTURE. SO DOES YOUR WEATHER APP, PACKAGE DELIVERY, AND IN-FLIGHT BROADBAND
The space economy isn't just rockets. It's the backbone powering over $1 trillion in downstream services per our partners over at Tema ETFs
Here's how it actually breaks down, per a McKinsey/World Economic Forum and Space Foundation analysis:
THE BACKBONE
- Government (Civil & Defense): state-sponsored space programs, military space, exploration
- Digital Communications: broadband, broadcast TV, mobile connectivity
- Positioning, Navigation & Timing: GPS, GNSS, location infrastructure
- Earth Observation, Launch Services & Ground Infrastructure: imagery, launch vehicles, ground stations, satellite manufacturing
THE REACH
- PNT-Enabled Services: ride-hailing, last-mile delivery, fleet management, logistics
- Comms-Enabled Services: digital economy access, IoT, maritime and aviation connectivity
- EO-Enabled Services: agriculture insights, insurance risk pricing, climate monitoring, construction
- Cross-Sector Applications: financial services, energy, healthcare, smart cities, disaster response
Tema ETFs@Temaetfs
Your Uber ride depends on space infrastructure. So does your weather app, package delivery, and in-flight broadband. The space economy isn't just rockets, it's the backbone powering $1 trillion in downstream services. Explore the opportunity: tema.us/4wFhrZs
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LUCID $LCID IS DOWN -45.9% AFTER A REPORT THE EV MAKER IS WEIGHING OPTIONS INCLUDING GOING PRIVATE OR CHAPTER 11
Restructuring adviser AlixPartners has reportedly been asked to present findings to Lucid's board before its next meeting, per EV. The report says no decision has been made.
What AlixPartners is reportedly urging:
- Another restructuring round across the US and Europe
- A sharper focus on Gravity SUV production and quality
- A pause on further European expansion
The backdrop that makes a report like this land so hard: Lucid has been burning roughly $1B per quarter, suspended its 2026 production guidance, and recently drew $800M from a Saudi-backed term loan.
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He Wants to Make Crypto Normal Again. Alex Shevchenko on Confidential Money On-Chain
x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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US Inflation data for June just came out below expectations (CPI)
REX Shares@REXShares
BREAKING CPI (MoM) Act.: -0.4%, Est.: -0.1%, Prev.: 0.5%
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The memory trade has been ripping so hard the 2x Long Micron ETF has to do a 20 for 1 stock split 😅
ETF Tracker@TheETFTracker
The Direxion Daily 2x Long MU ETF which trades under the ticker $MUU will be completing its stock split after the close today The 2x Long Micron ETF started at $25 per share and has ended up trading at $722 per share When the stock market opens tomorrow MUU will be trading at 1/20th the price with 20x more shares outstanding If you hold MUU shares you will have 20 shares for every 1 you hold today but each share will be worth 1/20th the price ... No Change in the value Disclosure: Direxion is a WOLF Financial Partner. This post is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Always read the fund's prospectus.
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ALL ROADS IN AI LEAD BACK TO 1 PLACE ... Nvidia $NVDA
We asked semiconductor expert @josenajarro what percentage of SK Hynix's near-term output is spoken for by Nvidia, he admitted he doesn't know the precise figure.
What he does know: Nvidia reportedly holds over $100 billion in inventory, much of it tied to memory costs, and Micron has said it's largely sold out through 2026 and into 2027, with previous management not expecting the supply-demand imbalance to shift until 2028.
On whether AMD could push SK Hynix to diversify away from Nvidia: he says AMD is working more with Samsung on memory right now, and any supplier eventually wants multiple customers anyway, it's what gives them pricing leverage. But he stopped short of saying that shift is happening yet.
One shift he does expect: more US investors starting to actually track SK Hynix's own earnings instead of using Micron as the default proxy for the whole memory trade.
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A 1X SHORT SK HYNIX ETF JUST LAUNCHED IN THE UNITED STATES TODAY
The leveraged and inverse SK Hynix single stock ETFs start trading today
Here are the tickers to be watching out for
1x Short SK Hynix - $SKHZ
2x Long SK Hynix - $SKHX
In this clip we have our sponsors over at Leverage Shares joining the show to talk about their launch. This post is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Leveraged and Inverse ETFs are made for traders who know what they’re doing not long term investors
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SK HYNIX JUST LISTED ON THE NASDAQ 20 TO 30% CHEAPER THAN MICRON. THE MARKET NOW HAS ANOTHER WAY TO PLAY THE SAME TRADE
@DanielTNiles explains SK Hynix actually got HBM up and running before Samsung, the company with the largest overall memory market share globally.
That head start is why he sees the discount to Micron as a gap that closes over time, not a reason to stay away. Whether that happens because Micron comes down or SK Hynix moves up, he says, is still an open question.
Samsung complicates a pure memory comparison since it's also a phone and foundry business. Strip that out and the real comparison is SK Hynix against Micron, same trade, different price.
Up until today, US investors only had two ways into that trade: Micron and Sandisk. Now there are three.
His approach: don't concentrate the memory theme into one name if you don't have to. Spread it across all three rather than picking a winner.
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