StatsOverScore

StatsOverScore MLB beta is LIVE statsoverscore.com/mlb-home Note this is a Beta test and explainers to follow since there’s a lot here! I want to get some feedback on what works for YOU so I’m letting you all dive in for free right now and test it out. Highlights! For starting pitchers you get full distribution of projections which is influenced by the lineups which are editable including lineup orders. Batters will give you their median point estimates which assume a split between the pitcher and the opposing teams bullpen. We have pitch mix data including composite pitch mix which is using the pitchers arsenal usage vs a batters handedness to blend the batters pitch mix and create a single weighted stat line for you. We have the ability to get projections for plate appearances of any batter vs any pitcher. Umpire data! Bullpen data! Remember all models are hand built here; they are more volatile at the beggining of seasons and early season projections should be taken with a larger grain of salt. Ask questions, click around, make suggestions. It’s baseball season!

The statsoverscore.com free game of the day is the Phillies at Marlins! So you can see the full power of all the tools we have at SOS, every day there is one game, with both teams rosters totally unlocked site wide.

In fact Anderson being their first pitcher today is really interesting and something to keep an eye on how they manage the pen the next few days

With Woodruff’s early exit today you’re going to see a ton of people betting Misiorowski outs tomorrow blindly. Don’t fall for the trap. The Brewers pen was in good shape before today’s game so before assuming anything be sure to check the statsoverscore.com bullpen report

We’re all wondering if the Mets will ever win again….probably not. Twins projected to pull out a tight one today over at statsoverscore.com

Statsoverscore.com identifies the Cardinals as the bullpen in the worst shape going into tonight. Only 2 truly available arms and 1 guy who could go but is questionable. How many outs do you think Michael Mcgreevy is good for tonight?

New page alert! statsoverscore.com/mlb-research This is our new hit rate tool, letting you see a players data for over 30 stat categories from anywhere between the simple splits to 80+ stackable filter options. Additional pitch mix and more information just a scroll down too!

CASHED 💰 +597 | 3-leg HRR parlay Simple formula: good hitters + good matchups = results. Big shoutout to @statsoverscore all my data comes from his site. Absolute weapon. Running it back tomorrow. Come ride with us for free @propcultureX #MLB #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter

Statsoverscore.com #bullpenwatch The Astros bullpen we have as the most taxed in the league and going today. Realistically only 4 arms could appear and the stats of those 4 pitchers have one of the highest Daily Effective ERAs How much run do they give Burrows?

With Imai’s disasterclass last night the most taxed bullpen in the league belongs to Houston. But don’t let fool you; they still have 6 arms we’ve identified as good to go. If McCullers doesn’t get length they are fine but it might start stacking up. statsoverscore.com/mlb-bullpen

Want to see a bullpen in trouble? May I present the twins. Abel is starting. After this start our evaluation will remove him from the pen (he has a relief appearance rn) Rogers available Orze has to go despite going Mon/Tues Banda has a built up workload, Lawyerson too.

Lugo’s Pitch Count and Sequencing Charts are a work of art.

Are you a lefty on the New York Yankees? Hope you like sliders from a lefty. Right handed? How about some changeups. These charts and data also fuel our pitch predictor. Pick a player, pitcher, count and choose if you want scouting reports to skew it!

@royr33 You can get a derived bullpen load score by team, counts of relievers by availability status, derived expected stats from the available arms, open the cards to see each relievers stats, availability flag reasons, and a 14 day timeline as well!

@StatsOverScore That’s an awesome feature

A lot of talk around Seth Lugo Outs today because of Cole Ragans injury yesterday and “heavy” pen usage. But are you sure? Check the bullpen again. Five available arms good to go. No one covers bullpen availability like we do at statsoverscore.com/mlb-bullpen

Tonight’s opening game umpire looks to be Bill Miller. Miller last year saw more high scoring games that also included slight bumps to K% and BB%. Max Fried figures to benefit a little more than Logan Webb with the assignment. Statsoverscore.com for more!

The first deep dive for the MLB stats over score side of the site is on Slate Overview! This is your home to see all projections for all players on a given day in one convenient place. Batters either estimated or confirmed to be in lineups will show up immediately you can include all bench players too by deselecting lineup only in the top right. Making fantasy decisions? You can pin up to five players to the top which will stay independently of searches and sorting as you find the players to compare for the day. For pitchers you can open their line to see the full projection distributions too! Click the game matchup to go straight to the game page for more information and a good place to confirm lineups and their effects on the projection.

Few small notes now! Lineups are estimated based on most common historical lineups vs the pitchers handedness. We do daily checks for updated lineup announcements. Always check the opposing lineup and probable pitcher when looking at projections; example since Arraez is new to the giants he’s not on that lineup yetz Luis Arraez does not strikeout, so adjusting the lineup to include him does drag the Max Fried K projection down.

@JointOpsPlays Calgary shot suppression vs defensemen 😳

🍃 CGY is allowing the 2nd most SOG per game over their L10 and are a top 10 matchup for opposing D. 🍃 Targeting Mo Seider here who has increased his shot volume recently .. averaging 3.8 SOG and 7.2 SA over his L5 compared to his season long average of 2.2 SOG / 4.9 SA. 🍃 Mo has cleared in 5/L6 games and has had back to back games with 9 SA. 🍃 Seider has also recorded 3+ in 4/L5 home games. 🍃According to @StatsOverScore , CGY tends to allow the most SOG to opposing D and grade out as a top matchup 🔥 🍃 At this price, I can’t say no… especially considering the Wings are a solid home ice team.

NHL PLAY 🏒 0.75u - Seider 3+ SOG +160 (NOVIG) #LGRW