Steve Lewan

@dick_nixon I hate to say this Sir, but my original hypothesis of misogyny at the point of the ballot is coming to fruition as in 2016. His gains with the Hispanic population…machismo…points being shaved off to Clinton levels. This man offered nothing. This man…yet…

You can't use Florida to find patterns elsewhere, because they don't exist. Neither the circumstances nor the math translates.

@TalahonFella Big difference between the European “Union” and the actual confederation of the United States.

Happy Steve Kornacki Eve to all who celebrate!

@DavidCornDC I actually like that.

Trump referring to this final campaign stretch: “This is our last time forever.”

Proud to be with my IBEW brothers and sisters in York County, as we stand shoulder to shoulder to turn out the vote and help strengthen our middle class workforce!

@RadioFreeTom Very calm in PA just outside of Pittsburgh, we got this.

@dick_nixon I agee Sir, the same is happening in rural PA and GA. In PA, Harris should have a half million VBM buffer and many of us have yet to vote in person. PA will look close for a bit…but…

I like Ralston. We use his information here. As I said, I waver on Nevada in deference to him. Without making a prediction I think he's missing that the so-called rural "Red Wall" is tapped out. They have already voted. And how will the same day/DMV votes break?

“About seven weeks ago I was riding in an Uber in Bozeman, Montana, watching the fields and mountains go by, as my female driver happily chit chatted about the upcoming presidential election. More specifically, she was praising the virtues of Donald Trump and what a great guy he was. “Should I say something, I wondered? … What the hell more could I say? Forget it. … I was certain nothing could be done. Nothing I could say would have any effect. “Until... “‘I mean...those women who said Trump grabbed them,’ the driver continued, now angry, as we stopped at a red light. ‘They were all lying! Maria Bartiromo on Fox said so.’” “Effing Fox News, I swore under my breath. I wondered if this woman knew they owed $787.5 million for spreading false statements after the 2020 election. “I leaned forward in my seat.  “‘Really?’ I said, looking at her in the rearview mirror. ‘Well, one of those women is sitting in your back seat right now.’” “She looked up, startled. Our eyes locked.”

At the Trump rally in Reading, Pennsylvania, not even the floor is full. Campaign staff is trying to herd attendees into a couple of sections to make the place look packed. Very low energy.

Powerful, moral, patriotic woman beats pro-Russian man - in Moldovan presidential election

70% of Americans believe Roe v. Wade should remain the law of the land. Retweet if you're one of them.

Moldova, today you are victorious. Together, we’ve shown the strength of our unity, democracy, and commitment to a dignified future. Thank you, dear Moldovans, at home and abroad. Walk with pride—you are freedom, hope, and resilience. I am proud to serve you all.

@stuartpstevens Lol. Let’s hope so.

If Donald Trump loses, which I think is likely, he’ll be a candidate for 2028 presidential race in Feb. 2025. It’s his business and he needs the money.

@stuartpstevens First election after Iowa SC upheld 6 week abortion ban? Yes, I see a big middle finger coming to the state legislature. I’m with you on this.

I get the desire to say Ann Selzer’s poll is interesting but Harris isn’t going to win Iowa. Having worked in Senate and governor races in Iowa, I have a more obvious take. She’s probably right and Harris will win.

@RyanGirdusky @SteveKornacki I’m a 64 year old man with a 25 year old daughter. In PA. Think again. I’m voting Harris.

@SteveKornacki But the poll said the group that moved the most towards Democrats isn’t women, it’s men over the age of 65. They have men over 65+ moving 30 points towards Democrats. That has nothing to do with abortion.

June: DMR poll has Trump +18 vs. Biden in Iowa July 29: Iowa’s six-week abortion ban goes into effect with intense controversy and news coverage September 22: DMR poll shows 59-37% opposition to new abortion law — 69% among women. Also shows Trump lead over Harris at just 47-43% All fall: Saturation ad spending and campaigning on abortion by Dem candidates in the state’s two toss-up House races Now: Final DMR poll has massive gen der gap pushing Harris into 47-44% lead

This is like watching Trump in Helsinki all over again.

@loremip20317166 @un_a_valeable Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result) 2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12) 2020 President: R+7 (R+8) 2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7) 2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3) 2016 President: R+7 (R+9) 2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8) 2012 President: D+5 (D+6) About as good as any pollster gets.

@un_a_valeable "you wouldn't want to play poker against Ann Selzer" literally what does that mean in this context?

As promised, a little historical perspective on how the election of 1876 may foreshadow what we see in 2024 (and did foreshadow much of what happened in 2020). I'll use the hashtag #1876foreshadow as distinctive enough for those of you who want to gather this information later.

@HeathMayo I’m in Allegheny(Pittsburgh). We count fast. If Harris hits 60% here she’s on her way to a win. If she hits Fetterman numbers say 63% she could win by five. Many GOPers in the outer boros seem to have had it with MAGA. Door knockers tell me they say they’re voting Harris.

Starting to believe this may not even be close after all. Get out and vote. Run up the score. This is the last chance any of us may get to vote against Donald Trump. Make it count.